Smarter Politics
48 episodes - English - Latest episode: almost 5 years ago - ★★★★★ - 13 ratingsPolitical campaigns and politics have become more crazy, confusing and polarizing than ever before. What are political candidates and campaigns really thinking? Listen to an insightful and engaging discussion each week from the senior staff of Magellan Strategies. Each week veteran pollsters and campaign operatives David Flaherty, Courtney Gibbon and Ryan Winger talk about current events, politics, campaigns and how using voter data, technology and survey research leads to smarter politics.
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Episodes
S3 EP 1: Polling in the Time of Coronavirus
March 30, 2020 15:47 - 1 hour - 83.7 MBIn this episode we discuss the business of conducting polls in the midst of the coronavirus pandemic before reviewing some recent polls on President Trump’s handling of the crisis. We then discuss the government response at both the federal and state level, covering everything from the stimulus package being debated in Congress to local stay-at-home orders here in Colorado. Segment 1: To Poll or Not to Poll? In a typical election year, our political and government clients would be plannin...
S2 EP 6: The Politics of Gun Control
August 28, 2019 15:33 - 1 hour - 112 MBToday we are going to discuss one of the politics of gun control. We will discuss the current state and federal gun control laws, some new gun control proposals coming from the Democratic candidates for President, and the ever-changing gun control positions of President Trump. We also discuss how Republican candidates and incumbents could communicate their more effectively. Segment 1: David, Courtney and Ryan’s Backgrounds Segment 2: Current Rules and Regulations 1994 – Federal Backgro...
S2 EP 5: Our TABOR Survey
August 14, 2019 11:30 - 1 hour - 89 MBIn this episode, our latest survey of Colorado voters on TABOR and Proposition CC, where things stand right now and what it means for this year and beyond. Segment 1: Proposition CC? Let’s start by discussing Proposition CC, before getting into TABOR more generally. As a reminder, here is the text of Proposition CC. The Colorado Sun had a helpful breakdown of the arguments in support of CC back in April, and here is a breakdown of arguments against CC from Mike Krause at Complete Colo...
S2 EP 4: Discussing Round 2 of the Democratic Presidential Debates
August 07, 2019 18:57 - 1 hour - 128 MBIn this episode, we discuss last week’s second round of the Democratic Presidential Debates. How were they different from the first round? Who did well? Who did poorly? Who has a lot more work to do? Have the tiers moved, and is there anyone new that could actually win the Democratic nomination? Segment 1: What Issues Were Discussed and Not Discussed? Healthcare, Medicare for All, the Public Option, Private Insurance Immigration, De-Criminalizing the Border, Seeking Asylum vs. Breaking ...
S2 EP 3: Our Poll of Likely 2020 Colorado Voters
July 31, 2019 12:00 - 38 minutes - 53.2 MBIn this episode, we discuss our Colorado 2020 General Election Survey that we released this week. Where does President Trump stand going into 2020? Governor Polis’ Approval and potential recall? Was there overreach during the 2019 legislative question? Colorado 2020 General Election Survey Methodology 500n – 250 online and 250 phone interviews Why online? Does it make a difference? Survey Demographics How we came to our final turnout forecast? Unaffiliated voters at 36% 18-34 at ...
S2 EP 2: The Democratic Debates
July 10, 2019 12:35 - 1 hour - 94.1 MBIn this episode, we discuss last week’s Democratic Debates. Who did well? Who has work to do? What are the tiers, and how many of these candidates could actually win the Democratic nomination? The Democratic Debates: Who “Won”? We’re starting to see some polling numbers that reflect what Democratic voters thought of the debates, and it seems clear that among the more top tier candidates, both Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris did well, while Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders failed to improv...
S2 EP 1: What the Heck Happened in 2018?
June 05, 2019 17:53 - 43 minutes - 59 MBSmarter Politics is officially back for Season 2! In this episode, we discuss the extraordinary 2018 election in Colorado, and what it means moving forward to 2019 and 2020. We are glad you are back with us! Re-Introduction What have we been doing? Where has Magellan been? Why was the 2018 General Election Extraordinary? It was extraordinary because never has one political party, been so overwhelmingly rejected at every level of government by the voting electorate. Both Democratic a...
S1 EP 41: What Happened in Virginia and What Does It Mean for 2018?
November 15, 2017 18:05 - 1 hour - 98.1 MBIn this episode, we examine the results of Tuesday’s elections in Virginia and around the country and explore how they may impact the 2018 midterms. We also dig into the results for local races here in Colorado. Virginia Election Results On Tuesday night, Democrats finally got the post-Trump wins they’ve been waiting for, in Virginia and around the country. As reporter Gabriel Debenedetti notes for Politico: “Democratic leaders reset their expectations for the 2018 midterms. They’re now ...
S1 EP 40: A Look at the 2018 U.S. Senate Map
October 19, 2017 19:24 - 1 hour - 106 MBIn this episode, we look at the 2018 U.S. Senate map and discuss current events as they relate to each state. We’ll focus on Steve Bannon’s efforts to recruit candidates to challenge Republican incumbents. 2018 U.S. Senate Map Today we are going to cover 19 states that have an election for the United States Senate. The 2018 elections for the United States Senate is heading up. Politico – Democrats see path to Senate majority in 2018 – where Senator Chris Murphy comments that: “The map ...
S1 EP 39: Redistricting is Coming
August 31, 2017 05:34 - 38 minutes - 87.1 MBIn this episode we talk all about the art of redistricting, gerrymandering, what it is and why it matters. Segment 1: What is Redistricting? Simply put, redistricting is the process by which new congressional and state legislative districts are drawn. The reason redistricting is necessary is that population growth does not occur equally across states or districts, and so following the completion of the United States Census every ten years, the districts must be “redrawn” to ensure that di...
S1 EP 38: What Does Steve Bannon’s White House Exit Mean for the Republican Party?
August 24, 2017 14:01 - 1 hour - 147 MBIn this episode, we examine the behavior and agenda of former White House Senior Advisor Steve Bannon. We discuss his politics, his influence on Donald Trump, and his self-described enemies list. Most importantly, what impact will Steve Bannon have on the thinking of Republican primary voters. Segment 1: Who is Steve Bannon and Why Does He Matter? Steve Bannon is 62 years old and has a very interesting background. He grew up in Virginia, served in the U.S. Navy, graduated from Harvard Bus...
S1 EP 37: GOP Congressional Agenda, Sen. Jeff Flake, Gov. Jim Justice and Walker Stapleton’s Super PAC
August 10, 2017 13:42 - 1 hour - 150 MBIn this episode we discuss a grab bag of political topics, including the challenges facing the Republican Congress when they return from their August recess, Arizona Senator Jeff Flake’s criticism of President Trump, West Virginia Governor Jim Justice’s switch to the Republican Party and Walker Stapleton’s super-PAC. Segment 1: Congressional Recess • The basis for our first segment on the Congressional recess is a Wall Street Journal article (Congressional Recess, Full Plate Keep the Hea...
S1 EP 36: Reviewing the Fundraising Totals for Colorado Candidates
August 04, 2017 01:15 - 1 hour - 91.7 MBIn this episode, we discuss the latest fundraising totals for the Democrat and Republican candidates for Governor and other down ballot races. Segment #1 Fundraising Totals for Governor In the first segment we discuss how much money candidates raised in the election for Governor, Attorney General, Treasurer and Congressional District 5. Republican Victor Mitchell - $3 million, $2.7 million on hand Republican Doug Robinson - $208,000, personal loan of $57,000 Republican George Brauch...
S1 EP 35: An Interview with Ian Silverii of Progress Now Colorado Part 2
July 27, 2017 14:26 - 1 hour - 94 MBIn this episode, continue our discussion with ProgressNow Colorado’s executive director Ian Silverii. We discuss the most competitive State House districts in Colorado for the upcoming 2018 elections. Overview of Battleground State House Districts Following up on our discussion of the Colorado’s battleground Senate Districts podcast, we now take a look at the State House, where Democrats won back three seats that they lost in 2014 and now hold a 37-28 advantage. Republicans need to flip...
S1 EP 34: An Interview with Ian Silverii of Progress Now Colorado (Part 1 of 2)
July 20, 2017 21:48 - 1 hour - 103 MBIn this episode, we welcome our first guest on the show, ProgressNow Colorado’s Ian Silverii. Ian Silverii provides an experienced and informed Democrat point of view to our discussion about the national and Colorado political landscape. Topics that are discussed include Congressman Ed Perlmutter’s withdrawal from the Governor’s race, Donald Trump’s influence on our elections, and a wide range of state and national political trends. This episode is a good one. Segment 1: Introduction of I...
S1 EP 33: Five Insights From the Clinton Campaign Memoir, Shattered
July 13, 2017 21:37 - 48 minutes - 66.6 MBIn this episode, the Magellan team discusses five insights into the 2016 Clinton Presidential Campaign memoir, Shattered. It is a fascinating book, and delivers a well-documented, truthful story of what happened to the Hillary Clinton campaign in 2016. Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton’s Doomed Campaign Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton’s Doomed Campaign is a New York Times best seller that came out this past April. The book is co-authored by veteran journalists Jonathan Allen of Polit...
S1 EP 32: Evaluating Jared Polis and the Democrat Candidates for Colorado Governor
June 15, 2017 15:47 - 46 minutes - 64 MBIn this episode, we discuss the big announcement of Congressman Jared Polis’s entry into the Democratic race for Colorado Governor. The discussion also covers the impact on the other Democrat candidates in the race, and who is a perceived winner or loser. Jared Polis’s Campaign Priorities – To our surprise Jared Polis has joined the race for Governor! One thing that we find fascinating about the campaign is the Congressman’s top three priorities. These are education, the environment and the...
S1 EP 31: An Analysis of the 2018 Senate Battleground Districts in Colorado
May 25, 2017 16:00 - 45 minutes - 62.2 MBIn this episode, we look ahead to 2018 at key State Senate districts in Colorado, and provide insight into how we view the fundamental demographics and the true competitiveness of each district. Key State Senate Districts Senate District 3 - Democrat Leroy Garcia won this Pueblo district with just under 55% of the vote in 2014. He defeated Republican George Rivera, who had replaced Angela Giron in the 2013 recall election following her support of new gun control legislation. Interestingly...
S1 EP 30: Colorado Legislative Session Wrap-Up
May 19, 2017 02:43 - 54 minutes - 74.8 MBIn this episode, we discuss the end of the Colorado legislative session, which big issues were tackled, and where there still remains work to be done. We’ll refer back to our January 10thpodcast on which issues were top priorities – that podcast can be found here. Show Segments Fixing Colorado’s Crowded Crumbling Roads – Governor Hickenlooper, in discussing last week the potential for a special sessions, had this to say about transportation: “If we don’t invest in transportation, if we ...
S1 EP 29: Colorado Voter Opinion Survey Results Part 2
May 11, 2017 18:36 - 54 minutes - 75.2 MBIn this episode, we finish discussing the results of our Colorado survey. We cover the topics of repealing and replacing Obamacare and how well the Democrat and Republican parties are connecting with Colorado voters. We also discuss voter opinion of a building a wall along the Mexican border, the Trump administration’s temporary travel ban from seven Muslim countries and withholding federal funding from cities that do not enforce our nation’s immigration laws. Overview Among likely 2018 v...
S1 EP 28: Results of Part 1 of Our Colorado Survey
May 04, 2017 12:35 - 44 minutes - 61.1 MBIn this episode, we discuss part one of our recently released survey of likely 2018 voters in Colorado. Segment 1: Survey of Likely 2018 Voters in Colorado We begin by discussing decisions about survey weighting, and why we chose to weight the survey as we did. Simply put, a survey of likely 2018 voters is far more relevant for any political observer than a survey of registered voters. Among likely 2018 voters, 47% approve and 49% disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President...
S1 EP 27: President Trump's First 100 Days and France's Presidential Election
April 27, 2017 12:00 - 41 minutes - 57.6 MBIn this episode, we discuss the recent round of polls showing voter opinion of President Trump’s first 100 days. How important are these polls, how relevant are they to the 2018 midterm elections, and what are some important indicators? We then briefly discuss France’s Presidential election, the polling, and what it suggests for the future of European politics. Segment 1: President Trump’s First 100 Days The last week has brought us two major polls, one from NBC News/Wall Street Journal...
S1 EP 26: How to Run a Data-Driven Political Campaign
April 20, 2017 16:48 - 1 hour - 91.8 MBIn this episode, we take a break from current events and discuss the fundamental steps of putting together a successful data driven political campaign. We walk through all the steps that we follow for our clients so you have a better understanding of how data and campaign strategy come together. The Steps to Run a Successful Data Driven Political Campaign Review voter registration and past voter turnout demographics for the state or district. This exercise will tell you what voter subgro...
S1 EP 25: Special Elections and What, If Anything, They Can Tell us About 2018 Midterms
April 13, 2017 14:00 - 39 minutes - 53.9 MBIn this episode, we take a look at some special elections being held around the country, and explore what they may reveal about the 2018 midterm elections. We also check in on Colorado’s Democratic candidates for governor, now that two more have made it official. Segment 1: What’s So Special About Special Elections? Campaign watchers don’t have to wait long to attempt to gauge exactly how much Donald Trump will affect midterm elections around the country next year, as three special congre...
S1 EP 24: Reviewing the 2018 Democratic Primary Candidates for Colorado Governor and Opting-Out of Proposition 108
April 06, 2017 20:38 - 43 minutes - 59.5 MBIn this episode we take an early look at the candidates in Colorado’s 2018 Democratic Gubernatorial Primary and consider the possibility that Colorado’s major parties might opt-out of Proposition 108. Segment 1: Assessing the Candidates With the announcement by Ken Salazar that he will not run, the field in Colorado’s Democratic Primary for Governor is becoming a bit clearer. Congressman Ed Perlmutter has to be considered the frontrunner at this point. Though he has not officially anno...
S1 EP 23: The Republican Failure to Repeal and Replace Obamacare
March 30, 2017 23:38 - 1 hour - 89.3 MBIn this episode, we discuss the failed Obamacare repeal and the implications it has going forward, both among the Republican party’s base and among 2018 general election voters. Segment 1: What Went Wrong, What Next? While the specific blame has been spread pretty much everywhere in Republican circles in Washington, there are clearly major differences among House Republicans that may have doomed the effort from the beginning. Both the Freedom Caucus and moderate Republicans were critic...
S1 EP 22: European Election Online and Phone Polling Disasters and the French Presidential Election
March 24, 2017 02:00 - 56 minutes - 77.4 MBIn this episode, we discuss recent European election polling misses and how their polling challenges are different than the polling challenges we face in United States elections. Segment 1: Recent Misses for European Election Polls Following the first presidential debate in France’s upcoming Presidential election and with the first round of voting only a month away, U.S. interest in the French election is only going to increase. HuffPost Pollster is now tracking polls for the first rou...
S1 EP 21: Colorado’s Republican Primary Voters and Fixing Colorado’s Roads
March 16, 2017 14:20 - 58 minutes - 80.2 MBIn this episode we discuss our survey of Republican primary voters in Colorado, where they stand on President Trump and his policies, and how they fit into the battle over how best to fix Colorado’s roads. Segment 1: Colorado’s Republican Primary Voters We conducted an internal automated survey of Colorado’s Republican primary voters last week, to find out where they stand on President Trump, his policies, and other state-level issues. The first major finding is that these voters are comp...
S1 EP 20: President Trump’s Address to Congress and The Obamacare Replacement Bill
March 09, 2017 15:27 - 49 minutes - 67.3 MBIn this episode we discuss President Trump’s address to Congress last week, check in on the public polling data after one month of the Trump administration, and take a look at the Obamacare replacement bill released by House GOP leadership last night. Segment 1: Presidential Address to Congress President Trump’s address to Congress on Tuesday night was widely praised as his first “presidential” moment, a moment that voters watching at home seem to have responded to. A CNN/ORC poll of vo...
S1 EP 19: All About TABOR and the Politics of Colorado Transportation Funding
March 02, 2017 23:39 - 1 hour - 83.5 MBIn this episode we focus on Colorado’s Taxpayer’s Bill of Rights, or TABOR, twenty-five years after its approval. Does TABOR still enjoy majority support among Colorado voters? What are the factors that influence support and opposition for TABOR? What have been the positive and negative impacts? Segment 1: All About TABOR Last Friday, the Denver Post editorial board published a piece outlining their argument for why TABOR needs to be reformed. Yet even in doing so they acknowledge the ob...
S1 EP 18: Reviewing the 2018 Republican Primary Candidates for Colorado Governor and the Trump Effect
February 24, 2017 00:39 - 48 minutes - 66.4 MBIn this episode we take an early look at the potential candidates in Colorado’s 2018 Republican Gubernatorial Primary, and how they are positioning themselves in a crowded field, and how President Trump’s policies, and the support he still holds among a large majority of the Republican base, will impact the race. Republican Candidates for Governor – Colorado 2018 State Treasurer Walker Stapleton – If one candidate could be called a front-runner at this point, it’s Stapleton. Over the yea...
S1 EP 17: The Future of the Democrat Party and Polarization in the Colorado Statehouse
February 16, 2017 16:54 - 57 minutes - 78.9 MBIn this episode we continue our discussion of the anti-Trump movement by taking a look at Elizabeth Warren’s potential impact on the 2018 Midterm elections around the country. We then move on to a discussion of the current polarization in the Colorado statehouse, whether it is simply the “new normal” given the state of our political parties and to what extent it can be attributed to President Trump’s actions. Segment 1: Elizabeth Warren, The Race for DNC Chairmanship and the Future of the ...
S1 EP 16: Will the Women’s March Become a Political Force Like the Tea Party Movement?
February 09, 2017 23:01 - 50 minutes - 69.5 MBIn this episode we discuss the possibilities of the Women’s March growing into a political force like the 2010 Tea Party movement. Segment 1: The Tea Party Brought New Voters Into Republican Primaries…Will the Women’s March Do the Same for Democrats? Across the country, Tea Party candidates have been successful in Republican Primaries since 2010 by appealing to voters who are not traditional Republicans and do not traditionally vote in primaries. Two clear examples of this phenomenon i...
S1 EP 15: Donald Trump’s Muslim Immigration Ban and Starting a War with the Media
February 02, 2017 19:30 - 52 minutes - 71.8 MBThere are three segments in this episode. The first segment discusses the political fallout from the Trump Administration’s executive order to increase security vetting for travelers coming into the United States from Iraq, Iran, Syria, Libya, Yemen and Somalia for 90 days. We also discuss how members of Congress are positioning themselves around this decision. The second segment is a discussion about historical voter opinion research showing a majority of Americans opposing proposals allow...
S1 EP 14: Donald Trump Job Approval, the Womens March, and Polling 101
January 26, 2017 14:00 - 47 minutes - 64.6 MBIn this episode, we discuss Donald Trump’s job approval numbers according to a poll by Gallup. The Gallup article also discusses how Donald Trump’s approval rating compares to other Presidents at the start of their first terms. The show also covers some basic polling fundamentals. Finally, we discuss what the political impact of the Women’s March on Washington and other marches on January 21sr could have on Colorado and national politics. Segment #1 – Presidential Job Approval Link to Ga...
S1 EP 13: Forecasting the Political Impacts of the Trump Agenda
January 20, 2017 01:12 - 1 hour - 85.1 MBIn this episode, we discuss the findings of two recent surveys from the Pew Research Center and Politico/Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. Both surveys measured public support and opposition for repealing Obamacare/Affordable Care Act. The Politico survey also measured public opinion of immigration reform, increased infrastructure spending, increased defense spending, tax cuts for individuals and corporations and filling the vacancy on the Supreme Court. Segment #1 – Discussing th...
S1 EP 12: The Top 10 Issues Facing the Colorado Legislature in 2017
January 12, 2017 18:48 - 59 minutes - 82.3 MBIn this episode, we discuss the top 10 issues facing the Colorado legislature in 2017. For this show we reference an article in the Denver Post, “The Top 10 Issues Facing Colorado Lawmakers in the 2017 Session”, published January 8th by Brian Eason and John Frank. Segment #1 - The Trump Effect Will legislators try to adopt the style and tone of Donald Trump even though he lost Colorado to Hillary Clinton by 137,000 votes? We think this is a bad idea, but some legislators will not get th...
S1 EP 11: Colorado 2016 Post Election Highlights and Looking Ahead to 2017
January 05, 2017 16:51 - 38 minutes - 52.4 MBIn this episode, we discuss our findings from a 500n post-election survey of unaffiliated voters and what to expect in the early part of 2017. Segment #1 – Discussing Our 500n Colorado Post Election Survey of Unaffiliated Voters Among voters 44 and younger who tend to vote for Democratic candidates, human rights, civil rights, LGBT rights, abortion rights, the cost of education and the environment were the most important issues. Older Democrat-leaning voters cared more about climate chang...
S1 EP 10: Reviewing Voter Registration and Turnout Trends in Colorado
December 22, 2016 20:35 - 42 minutes - 59 MBIn this episode, we discuss the evolving Democrat strategy to stop the Trump Administration’s agenda. Segment #1 – Voter Registration Trends in Colorado From December 1st, 2015 to December 1st 2016, voter registration increased by 324,153. Among those registered voters, 40% identified as Democrat, 28% as unaffiliated, 26% as Republican and 6% with a minor party. Millennials, or voters that are 18 to 34 years old, make up 31% of all registered voters in Colorado. They are the largest v...
S1 EP 9: The Democrat Strategy to Stop the Trump Administration
December 15, 2016 22:59 - 58 minutes - 80.2 MBIn this episode, we discuss the evolving Democrat strategy to stop the Trump Administration’s agenda. Segment #1 – What is Being Reported by Media About Democrat Soul Searching Democrats have lost the support of traditional working families Donald Trump talked more about the struggling economy and how to fix it New York Times Article reference: Democrats Hone a New Message: It’s the Economy, Everyone by Alexander Burns and Jonathan Martin Time Magazine article reference: Inside Demo...
S1 EP 8: What Happened in Colorado?
December 08, 2016 21:47 - 55 minutes - 75.7 MBIn this episode we discuss the election results in Colorado and give our thoughts on politics in our home state. Segment #1 – Turnout in Colorado What did turnout look like in Colorado? Was it substantially different from 2012? Why didn’t Colorado “ride the Trump wave”? Segment #2 – State of the Political Parties in Colorado What is the current state of the Republican Party in Colorado? What is the current state of the Democratic Party in Colorado? How does the rise of Unaffilia...
S1 EP 7: What a Recount Means and Where the Polls Went Wrong
December 01, 2016 15:21 - 53 minutes - 73.8 MBIn this episode we discuss what really happens during a recount, and then try to give at least some explanation for what happened with political polling this year and why very few were predicting a victory for Donald Trump. Segment #1 – Recounts What does a recount mean? What does the process look like? What is unique about these recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania? Segment #2 What Went Wrong With The Polls? Where were the polls wrong? Why were they wrong? Was the pro...
S1 EP 6: He Actually Won?!
November 17, 2016 18:05 - 42 minutes - 57.9 MBIn this episode we discuss the biggest surprise in American politics since Harry Truman beat Thomas Dewey for the Presidency in 1948. Segment #1 – Donald Trump Shocked the World and Got It Done Why did Donald Trump win? Were there changes to voter turnout compared to 2012? Was Donald Trump the reason the Republicans held onto the US Senate? Segment #2 What Does the Democrat Party do to Regroup? Who is now the head of the Democrat Party? What are their chances of rebounding in 2018...
S1 EP 5: Election Day Predictions and Voting Trends
November 07, 2016 17:00 - 37 minutes - 51.7 MBIn this episode Courtney, Ryan and David make their Election Day predictions for president and ballot issues and comment on early voting trends in Colorado. Who will win Colorado and by how much? Using data, who will win nationally and why? Colorado ballot issues: right to die, minimum wage, Raise the Bar
S1 EP 4: Colorado Early Voting Trends and the Election
October 31, 2016 16:00 - 48 minutes - 66.1 MBIn this episode we discuss early voting data, how to analyze it, what we are seeing this cycle compared to other historical trends. We also talk about some polling that was released and our general thoughts on where voter opinion is going. Segment #1: What Does our Latest Ballot Return Report Show Ballot Report: 701,062 ballots returned Democrats have a lead of 28,584 ballots returned. What are campaigns doing right now with 11 days to go? Segment #2: Where Do We Think the Election i...
S1 EP 3: The Republican Party's Challenges Attracting New Voters
October 19, 2016 16:00 - 45 minutes - 62.8 MBIn this episode the team discusses the data and trends behind the decline of voters identifying with the Republican Party, why we think this is happening and our thoughts on the final presidential debate. This includes taking a look at the raw numbers for the Republican Party, exploring why exactly voters are leaving the party, and how our numbers from the past 10 years reflect that. In this episode: Segment #1 – The Data Doesn’t Lie, Voter Registration The evolution of the Republican p...
S1 EP 2: The Art of Microtargeting, Voter Data Mining and Predictive Analytics for Campaigns
October 06, 2016 16:00 - 36 minutes - 50.1 MBIn this episode we discuss the fundamentals of microtargeting, voter data mining and predictive analytics. We talk about why this data is so valuable, how we generate it and how it can be used to give a campaign an edge on their opponent. In this episode: Segment #1 – The End Result of Predictive Modeling What is microtargeting and voter data mining? What is the process and what are the benefits of it? Voter file vs. on a modeled voter file Segmentation and its importance especi...
S1 EP 1: Polling 101 the Basics of Voter Opinion Polling
October 04, 2016 16:00 - 45 minutes - 62.8 MBIn the debut episode of Smarter Politics, the team at Magellan Strategies break down what determines if a poll is right or wrong, how polls are conducted (including the differences in robocalling and cell phone interviews), online interviews, weighting, and why conducting an opinions survey on social media networking sites like Facebook and Twitter present big challenges to pollsters. In this episode: Segment #1 - Voter Demographics What are they and why are they important Colorado’s ...
Getting to Smarter Politics
September 27, 2016 16:00 - 2 minutes - 2.01 MBWelcome to Smarter Politics, the Magellan Strategies Podcast, I’m David Flaherty, CEO and Founder of Magellan Strategies. However you came across our podcast, we are glad to have you. If you’re looking for breathless coverage of the Presidential Election, or listen to a so-called “political strategist” commenting on each and every word of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, or a bean counter dissect the latest polls, you’re welcome to stick around but this is not that kind of podcast. That...