Harvard Harris Poll Debrief with Mark Penn and Bob Cusack

New COVID-19 Poll Shows Dramatic Shift in Public Opinion

A new Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, which was fielded last week on March 24-26 among 2,410 registered voters, illustrates major change in public opinion regarding the Coronavirus Pandemic. We have seen some dramatic shifts in economic confidence in our poll – most strikingly the perceived strength of the U.S. economy fell by 30 points to 45% net strong among voters. A majority now expect a recession in the next six months and 4 in 10 now say their personal financial situation is getting worse...

Most Americans Believe Russia is Meddling in 2020 Election

FOLLOW @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter. REGISTER for the next Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll ... it's FREE. The latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll surveyed 2,592 voters from February 26-28, 2020. A majority of voters say they believe there is evidence Russia is trying to interfere in the 2020 election. We took the public's opinion on President Trump's recent provocative comments and tweets directed toward his own Attorney General and Justice Department. On the 2020 horserace, we asked Democrats abou...

Trump vs DOJ

FOLLOW @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter. REGISTER for the next Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll ... it's FREE. The latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll surveyed 2,592 voters from February 26-28, 2020. We took the public's opinion on President Trump's recent provocative comments and tweets directed toward his own Attorney General and Justice Department. On the 2020 horserace, we asked Democrats about candidate characteristics and where each candidate is strongest (table here). Among Democrats, Sanders and B...

Sanctuary Cities - What Voters Think

FOLLOW @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter. REGISTER for the next Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll ... it's FREE. The latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll surveyed 2,592 voters from February 26-28, 2020. We explored the concept of sanctuary cities, immigration and related topics. On the 2020 horserace, we asked Democrats about candidate characteristics and where each candidate is strongest (table here). Among Democrats, Sanders and Biden are seen as the strongest overall candidates to compete against Trump. ...

Presidential War Powers - What Voters Think

FOLLOW @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter. REGISTER for the next Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll ... it's FREE. The latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll surveyed 2,592 voters from February 26-28, 2020. We explored the concept of presidential war powers, taking the public's temperature on unilateral strikes against foreign threats without seeking Congressional approval. On the 2020 horserace, we asked Democrats about candidate characteristics and where each candidate is strongest (table here). Among Democrat...

2020 Horse Race - Then There Were Two

FOLLOW @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter. REGISTER for the next Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll ... it's FREE. The latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll surveyed 2,592 voters from February 26-28, 2020. On the 2020 horserace, we asked Democrats about candidate characteristics and where each candidate is strongest (table here). Among Democrats, Sanders and Biden are seen as the strongest overall candidates to compete against Trump. The poll ran as the coronavirus market sell-off began, and at the time voters...

The Overall Mood of the Country

FOLLOW @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter. REGISTER for the next Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll ... it's FREE. The latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll surveyed 2,592 voters from February 26-28, 2020. The poll ran as the coronavirus market sell-off began, and at the time voters remained bullish about the state of the economy even though early warning signs of the anxieties of coronavirus were starting to show. We saw a 6 point jump in the number of voters who expected a recession (from 31% in January to ...

Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll Deep Dive with Mark Penn (March 10, 2020)

FOLLOW @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter. REGISTER for the next Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll ... it's FREE. The latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll surveyed 2,592 voters from February 26-28, 2020. The poll ran as the coronavirus market sell-off began, and at the time voters remained bullish about the state of the economy even though early warning signs of the anxieties of coronavirus were starting to show. We saw a 6 point jump in the number of voters who expected a recession (from 31% in January to ...

Trump's Handling of Coronavirus Crisis

A new Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted among 2,500+ registered voters between February 27-29, 2020, sheds light on the public's attitudes regarding The Trump Administration's handling of the Coronavirus Pandemic. The poll also explored post-impeachment attitudes on other headline-grabbing topics: the 2020 election, presidential war powers, Russian campaign meddling, Trump's intimidation of his own Justice Department, sanctuary cities and possible revisions to longstanding 401K rules. F...

Americans Split on Military Action Against Iran

Presidential pollster Mark Penn shares findings from a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, fielded among 2,527 registered voters between Jan. 27-29, 2020.   Download: http://bit.ly/hhp_feb Register: https://harvardharrispoll.com/ Follow: https://twitter.com/Mark_Penn_Polls

American Attitudes Toward China

Presidential pollster Mark Penn shares findings from a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, fielded among 2,527 registered voters between Jan. 27-29, 2020.   Download: http://bit.ly/hhp_feb Register: https://harvardharrispoll.com/ Follow: https://twitter.com/Mark_Penn_Polls

Trump's Post-Impeachment Approval Numbers

Presidential pollster Mark Penn shares findings from a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, fielded among 2,527 registered voters between Jan. 27-29, 2020.   Download: http://bit.ly/hhp_feb Register: https://harvardharrispoll.com/ Follow: https://twitter.com/Mark_Penn_Polls

Online Political Ad Censorship - What Voters Think

Presidential pollster Mark Penn shares findings from a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, fielded among 2,527 registered voters between Jan. 27-29, 2020.   Download: http://bit.ly/hhp_feb Register: https://harvardharrispoll.com/ Follow: https://twitter.com/Mark_Penn_Polls

Voters' Hot Button Issues in 2020

Presidential pollster Mark Penn shares findings from a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, fielded among 2,527 registered voters between Jan. 27-29, 2020.   Download: http://bit.ly/hhp_feb Register: https://harvardharrispoll.com/ Follow: https://twitter.com/Mark_Penn_Polls

2020 Horse Race - Last Leg?

2020 Horse Race - Final Stretch?

Presidential pollster Mark Penn shares findings from a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, fielded among 2,527 registered voters between Jan. 27-29, 2020.   Download: http://bit.ly/hhp_feb Register: https://harvardharrispoll.com/ Follow: https://twitter.com/Mark_Penn_Polls 

Post-Impeachment Attitudes Re: Trump, The Economy, 2020 and More

Presidential pollster Mark Penn shares findings from a new Harvard CAPS Harris Poll, fielded among 2,527 registered voters between Jan. 27-29, 2020.  DOWNLOAD the full report. REGISTER to receive the next poll. FOLLOW @Mark_Penn_Polls for more.   President Trump’s approval rating is hovering near its all-time high at 46% on the strength of voter optimism about the economy. But his weakness among female voters has him trailing Democratic rivals in a hypothetical match-up early in his reelec...

Biden, Biden & Burisma

Let's also look at a subject that the news media has oftentimes been reluctant to fully cover, which is Hunter Biden and his serving as a director on Burisma, the Ukrainian energy company. We've asked a few questions over the last couple of months. We've done a pretty thorough battery here, because given that what you see in most stories is that there's no evidence of corruption, I wanted to see here, what did the American people really think about this. And we asked them, have you heard any...

What Voters Think About Vaping & Bans on Flavored Pods

A subject that's been in the news lately, vaping. We took a quick look at public opinion on vaping and on the controversy created by flavored vaping that spread like wildfire among teens. Do you think that electronic vaping is generally a safe substitute for tobacco or are there significant health concerns around vaping? 77% say there are significant health concerns, only 23% think that it is generally a safe substitute. Now I have no idea whether it is or isn't, but public opinion has clea...

The Horowitz Report: Are Voters Paying Attention?

Now, let's look at the Inspector General's report on the FBI and the Carter Page warrants. This topic is on almost the other side of what people see as important investigations. Only 22% were very familiar with this Inspector General's report. It's a pretty low number, considering the importance of the report. 46% said they were somewhat familiar. To the best of your knowledge, do you think the DOJ inspector report absolves the FBI of any mistakes or does it reveal patterns of violations of ...

The Latest Impeachment Numbers - What Voters Think

Now let's take a look about the questions on impeachment. We've run a question for a very long period of time now. Do you think that for his actions President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, censured by Congress, or no action should be taken? 45% say impeach and remove, 15% censured, 40% no action. So if you look at that 55% the way I would look at it, say censure or no action, said censure is a mild resolution. 45% look for removal. Most of the time, that has run around 3...

Trump Job Approval & Overall Mood of the Country

In late December, December 27th to 29th, we interviewed 2010 registered voters by the Harris Poll. The findings also include a flash poll among 1273 registered voters conducted December 30th to 31st. These polls were conducted just before the raid on the Iranian general. If that's changed things, we won't know that until the next poll. But until then, I think that you see a pretty good picture of how America was feeling during this holiday period. Let's take a look at Trump's approval. Obvi...

2020 Democratic Horse Race

"Let's turn to the Democratic horse race. Some changes there and I think it's been reflected in a lot of the fundraising numbers that you've seen. Joe Biden continues to lead the pack in our poll. We look at Democrats nationwide and he's polling just a little over 30%. Bernie Sanders is now and has been number two at very close to 20%. Elizabeth Warren now in the low teens. Michael Bloomberg coming in at around 7%, tied with mayor Pete. Andrew Yang scoring in there about four or five and so ...

Harvard CAPS Harris Poll Deep Dive with Mark Penn

A new Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted among 2,010 registered voters between December 27-29, 2019, sheds light on the public's understanding of the ongoing impeachment fight, the Horowitz Report, the Hunter Biden controversy, the ban on flavored vaping products and takes stock of voters' real concerns as we enter into 2020. FOLLOW @Mark_Penn_Polls (https://twitter.com/Mark_Penn_Polls) for daily updates and SIGN-UP to have the findings of each monthly poll delivered directly to your inb...

Free Speech & Social Media

Syria

Campaign 2020 Numbers

The Overall Mood of American Voters

Each month, Presidential Pollster Mark Penn shares findings from the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, which is released by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard and The Harris Poll. From October 29-31, we interviewed 1,810 registered voters to compile data for the latest poll. To sign up for regular updates and to learn more about poll results and coverage, visit www.harvardharrispoll.com and follow @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter.

Ukraine Showdown

Each month, Presidential Pollster Mark Penn shares findings from the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, which is released by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard and The Harris Poll. From October 29-31, we interviewed 1,810 registered voters to compile data for the latest poll. To sign up for regular updates and to learn more about poll results and coverage, visit the Harvard/Harris Poll website and follow @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter.

Ukraine Showdown

Each month, Presidential Pollster Mark Penn shares findings from the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, which is released by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard and The Harris Poll. From October 29-31, we interviewed 1,810 registered voters to compile data for the latest poll. To sign up for regular updates and to learn more about poll results and coverage, visit the Harvard/Harris Poll website and follow @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter.

Harvard CAPS Harris Poll Deep Dive

Each month, Presidential Pollster Mark Penn shares findings from the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, which is released by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard and The Harris Poll. From October 29-31, we interviewed 1,810 registered voters to compile data for the latest poll. To sign up for regular updates and to learn more about poll results and coverage, visit the Harvard Harris Poll website and follow @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter.

Harvard CAPS Harris Poll Deep Dive

Each month, Presidential Pollster Mark Penn shares findings from the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, which is released by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard and The Harris Poll. From October 29-31, we interviewed 1,810 registered voters to compile data for the latest poll. To sign up for regular updates and to learn more about poll results and coverage, visit the Harvard Harris Poll website and follow @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter.

Mark Penn's Monthly Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll Analysis - Full Episode

Each month, presidential pollster Mark Penn shares an overview of the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll. This survey was conducted online within the United States from September 22-24, 2019 among 2,009 registered voters. Sign up at https://harvardharrispoll.com/ to have this and future survey reports delivered directly to your inbox. The Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll is a monthly poll released by Harvard’s Center for American Political Studies and Harris Insights and Analytics. The results refle...

Voters' Thoughts on New Kavanaugh Allegations

It may seem like a long time ago, but it was just about a week or two ago, that Justice Brett Kavanaugh faced a considerable storm over some new allegations during his early college years at a party. Do you support or oppose Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court? Split right down the middle. Did you? I think that question asks. Did you in the past support? It was split down the middle. 52 said they opposed it. 48% oppose ... Have you heard anything about these new...

Biden's Son's Business Dealings in Ukraine & China - What Voters Believe

As the Ukraine situation was developing, we managed to get here some of the earliest data, just before the full release of all the materials and of the whistleblower complaint. We were able to capture what the American public was thinking. First, we asked them have you heard anything involving issues related to the investments of Joe Biden's son? About half had. We asked them, in contrast, have they heard about President Trump and Guilliani wanting the Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and hi...

2020 Horse Race - Voters on the Candidates and Issues

Let's turn to the 2020 primary. I think that's almost taken a backseat to all of the other news that's going on, but there's no question in our poll, just like the other polls other there, Elizabeth Warren has become the one to watch. Joe Biden continues to hang onto his lead at 28%, down from the low 30s over time here. He has very strong vote among senior Democrats, and among African American Democrats, but Elizabeth Warren has been broadening her constituency. She really does very well wi...

Iran: America's Enemy #1

Well, given the attack on Saudi Arabian oil facilities, we did some polling on Iran this month. First, we really start out do you consider each of the following an ally, an enemy, or neutral towards the United States? We polled on Iran, Russia, China, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, NATO, the European Union. The European Union, 58% say is an ally, not an overwhelming number. Not 90%. NATO, 51%. So clearly there are a lot of people who believe that our quote allies are maybe not allies, but more neutra...

Americans' Economic Outlook: Jobs, Recession & The Stock Market

Let's take a deeper dive into some of the economic numbers, and see what Americans think the future is going to hold. Six months from now, do you think that we're going to be in a recession? 42% think that. 35% think that it's going to be the same as now, and 24% think it's going to be improving. So depending upon how you look at it, there's 59% that think it's going to be as good as it is now if not better, and 42% who are more pessimistic about the outcome of the economy. If we ask them t...

Immigration Reform - What Voters Think

Now let's take a look at the immigration polling. 72% continue to support comprehensive immigration reform. Right? They favor a deal which brings together all of these elements of stronger security, eliminating the lottery, giving green cards or work permits to those who are here under DACA. And so we see once again that a majority of the American public supports an across the board compromise on the immigration issues, as month after month nothing moves through Congress. People are divided...

Media Bias & Public Mistrust

Let's take a look at people's perceptions of bias in the media. Well, who do you trust more? President Trump or the media? Well, that's a tough question, because both the media and the President have very low levels of trust. So, I think we're going to have to maybe throw out some interesting questions and rate them separately from now on. But only 44% trust President Trump over the media, and 56% trust the media more than President Trump. A clear win, if you compare the two for the media. H...

Media Bias

Now, let's take a look at people's perceptions of bias in the media. Well, who do you trust more? President Trump or the media? Well, that's a tough question, because both the media and the President have very low levels of trust. So, I think we're going to have to maybe throw out some interesting questions and rate them separately from now on. But only 44% trust President Trump over the media, and 56% trust the media more than President Trump. A clear win, if you compare the two for the med...

Immigration Reform - What Voters Think

Now let's take a look at the immigration polling. 72% continue to support comprehensive immigration reform. Right? They favor a deal which brings together all of these elements of stronger security, eliminating the lottery, giving green cards or work permits to those who are here under DACA. And so we see once again that a majority of the American public supports an across the board compromise on the immigration issues, as month after month nothing moves through Congress.People are divided be...

Economic Outlook

Let's take a deeper dive into some of the economic numbers, and see what Americans think the future is going to hold. Six months from now, do you think that we're going to be in a recession? 42% think that. 35% think that it's going to be the same as now, and 24% think it's going to be improving. So depending upon how you look at it, there's 59% that think it's going to be as good as it is now if not better, and 42% who are more pessimistic about the outcome of the economy.If we ask them to ...

Iran: What Voters Think

Well, given the attack on Saudi Arabian oil facilities, we did some polling on Iran this month. First, we really start out do you consider each of the following an ally, an enemy, or neutral towards the United States? We polled on Iran, Russia, China, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, NATO, the European Union. The European Union, 58% say is an ally, not an overwhelming number. Not 90%. NATO, 51%. So clearly there are a lot of people who believe that our quote allies are maybe not allies, but more neutra...

2020 Horse Race

Let's turn to the 2020 primary. I think that's almost taken a backseat to all of the other news that's going on, but there's no question in our poll, just like the other polls other there, Elizabeth Warren has become the one to watch. Joe Biden continues to hang onto his lead at 28%, down from the low 30s over time here. He has very strong vote among senior Democrats, and among African American Democrats, but Elizabeth Warren has been broadening her constituency. She really does very well wi...

Ukrainegate

As the Ukraine situation was developing, we managed to get here some of the earliest data, just before the full release of all the materials and of the whistleblower complaint. We were able to capture what the American public was thinking. First, we asked them have you heard anything involving issues related to the investments of Joe Biden's son? About half had. We asked them, in contrast, have they heard about President Trump and Guilliani wanting the Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and hi...

Kavanaugh Allegations

It may seem like a long time ago, but it was just about a week or two ago, that Justice Brett Kavanaugh faced a considerable storm over some new allegations during his early college years at a party. Do you support or oppose Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court? Split right down the middle. Did you? I think that question asks. Did you in the past support? It was split down the middle. 52 said they opposed it. 48% oppose ... Have you heard anything about these new...

Trump Job Approval & General Mood of the Country

So, what's happening with the job approval of President Trump, given all of the chaos and issues and the partisan fights that we're seeing over impeachment? Well, this poll was taken just before the formal inquiry really was announced, but during the buildup and already information out about the whistleblower. So given all that, would we be expected a significant change in President Trump's job approval? We might have, but that's not what we saw. What we've seen over the last couple of month...

Mood of The Country

So, what's happening with the job approval of President Trump, given all of the chaos and issues and the partisan fights that we're seeing over impeachment? Well, this poll was taken just before the formal inquiry really was announced, but during the buildup and already information out about the whistleblower. So given all that, would we be expected a significant change in President Trump's job approval? We might have, but that's not what we saw. What we've seen over the last couple of month...

#Ukrainegate and Impeachment: What American Voters Really Think

Presidential Pollster Mark Penn shares findings from a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, which asked 2,009 American voters what they thought about the controversy surrounding President Trump's alleged request to Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky that they try to find and expose damaging information about former Vice President (and presidential candidate) Joe Biden's son Hunter's business dealings in the Eastern European country.  To sign up for regular updates and to learn more about poll re...