Harvard CAPS Harris Poll Deep Dive with Mark Penn

A new Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted among 2,010 registered voters between December 27-29, 2019, sheds light on the public's understanding of the ongoing impeachment fight, the Horowitz Report, the Hunter Biden controversy, the ban on flavored vaping products and takes stock of voters' real concerns as we enter into 2020.

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The Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll is conducted by The Harris Poll online within the United States every monthly and captures the responses of over 2,000 registered voters. The results reflect a nationally representative sample. Results were weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, and education where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

The Co-Directors of the Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll are:
- Stephen D. Ansolabehere – Professor of Government & Director, Center for American Political Studies, Harvard University
- Mark J. Penn – Visiting Lecturer, Harvard University & Managing Partner, The Stagwell Group
- Dritan Nesho – Fellow, Harvard Institute for Quantitative Social Science & CEO of HarrisX

Thank you for listening to the late December Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll Report and thank you to iHeart, Apple, Spotify, Stitcher, Radio.com, Google, and many other platforms that are now carrying our show. Make sure to follow us at @Marc_Penn_Polls on Twitter. And importantly, sign up to receive updates at the harvardharrispoll.com. Remember, we give you every question, we give you every cross tab. If you don't like my analysis, go ahead and write your own because we give you every piece of information behind every question in every poll.

In late December, December 27th to 29th, we interviewed 2010 registered voters by the Harris Poll. The findings also include a flash poll among 1273 registered voters conducted December 30th to 31st. These polls were conducted just before the raid on the Iranian general. If that's changed things, we won't know that until the next poll. But until then, I think that you see a pretty good picture of how America was feeling during this holiday period.

Let's take a look at Trump's approval. Obviously, President Trump was impeached just before the holidays. That impeachment has been held up at this point, not yet sent over to the Senate. The impact of impeachment on his job approval was nothing. He was at 47% in November. In late December, he is at 47%. 47% is among some of the higher ratings. He's typically been 44, 45. He's gotten as high as 48. He has not crossed into majority approval since he took office. And the trend here is from June, when he was at 44, to two months at 45, two months at 46 and now two months at 47% approval. Disapproval mirrors it. It's at 53%. Again, down from 56 in May or June; 55, 54 and now 53.

We go a little deeper and look at the president's approval by some of the various issue areas. His lowest approval has always been administering the government, 44%, basically unchanged over a long period of time. Foreign affairs, 46%; immigration, 48%; fighting terrorism, 55; stimulating jobs, 59; the economy, 60. The two areas that have moved over time, the economy and stimulating jobs. The others have been relatively stable overtime.

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