Hotspotting
626 episodes - English - Latest episode: 5 days ago -Prepare to embark on an exciting journey into the realm of hot property markets with Terry Ryder and Tim Graham! Terry & Tim from Hotspotting, are dedicated to providing the most accurate and unbiased research to help investors make informed decisions on where to buy. The Hotspotting Podcast brings you the latest data, trends, and market statistics, along with in-depth discussions on growth areas and the larger factors impacting Australia's property landscape.
Terry & Tim regularly feature special guests from around Australia to share their industry insights and expertise to help investors cut through the noise.
Whether you're a seasoned investor or a first-time buyer, this show is a must-listen for anyone looking to build their knowledge and make smarter investment choices. Terry Ryder, with over 35 years of experience as a specialist researcher and writer in residential property, offers expert insights that are completely independent and free from outside influences. Tim Graham has been a buyers agent and mortgage broker for over 13 years along with working in real estate all over the world.
Join us on the Hotspotting Podcast and discover the hottest opportunities in the Australian property market today!
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Episodes
The Price Data Is Much Stronger Than The Headlines
April 26, 2022 22:00 - 7 minutes - 6.9 MBThere’s a concerning trend emerging where people are relying TOO much on the monthly property price data - from one high-profile source - as an accurate indication of what is happening in property markets – and what WILL happen in property markets. Too many people take this short-term price data as the gospel truth and allow it to dictate their decisions on WHETHER they will buy real estate and WHERE they will buy it. Australian consumers need to understand this simple truth – all real estate...
Perth Poised For Its Best Year In Real Estate Since The Mining Boom
April 21, 2022 12:45 - 3 minutes - 3.11 MBWhile there are some early signs that, maybe, Sydney and Melbourne markets are starting to moderate, all the evidence suggests that the opposite is happening in many other markets across Australia, including Perth. The Perth market is undoubtedly the strongest it’s been since the end of that big resources investment boom almost 10 years ago. After several years of downturn, the Perth market moved into recovery mode in 2020 and then became considerably stronger in 2021. All the indicati...
A Different View of Prices
April 21, 2022 08:07 - 3 minutes - 3.59 MBMainstream media tends to present CoreLogic price data as the definitive view on real estate prices – indeed, the only view. So when CoreLogic says house prices fell (slightly) in Sydney and Melbourne in March, media presented that as fact. But it’s not fact. It’s simply the world according to one research source. There are other credible, reputable research entities in Australia, including Domain, SQM Research and the ABS. And often their data contradicts the CoreLogic figures. It...
Go To The Source For Latest Price Data
April 12, 2022 21:00 - 5 minutes - 5.31 MBThe media headlines might be shouting that the property price boom in Australia is over, but the numbers tell me otherwise. According to the latest CoreLogic figures, the national rate of growth in dwelling values actually rose in March – slightly – compared to February. The best advice I can give you is to tune out all the white noise in mainstream media and do some real research. Don’t read the media reports – get a copy of the CoreLogic report, which is free, and look at what the numb...
Melbourne Poised For A Strong Year In Real Estate
April 12, 2022 05:32 - 3 minutes - 3.2 MBHow will the Melbourne market perform in 2022, free of lockdowns and with major new factors in play, including the opening of international borders? I expect Melbourne to have a strong year in real estate in 2022. Last year, Melbourne did well, despite being the most locked-down city in the world. Despite all the restrictions, Melbourne produced strong price growth, particularly for houses. Opening of international borders means that overseas migrants and foreign students can return ...
Property Investment Is The Solution To Australia's Rental Crisis
April 08, 2022 02:07 - 5 minutes - 5.31 MBTHE Prime Minister may like to say he is helping those who can’t find a place to rent by helping Australians BUY a property, but from my point of view both the Federal Government and the Federal Opposition are yet to grasp just how enormous the rental crisis is in Australia. There has been nothing in recent weeks which shows me that any of our Federal Politicians have any awareness of just how big a problem it is for everyday Australians. Neither of the major parties has announced anythi...
Regional Victoria Continues To Excel On House Price Growth
April 08, 2022 01:51 - 3 minutes - 3.07 MBRegional Victoria was one of the first areas in Australia to really exhibit clearly the pattern that has become the major property trend of the 21st Century – what I like to call the Exodus to Affordable Lifestyle. I expect this trend to continue for some time to come – it won’t stop once the pandemic is dealt with – because this is fundamentally about technology, affordability and lifestyle. Regional Victoria as a whole is still a very strong market, which has produced outstanding price gr...
Making property Investment Your Business
March 29, 2022 21:00 - 2 minutes - 2.61 MBThe secret to investing in property is to do your research and be fully informed. To that end many people planning to buy an investment property buy one or two of our Hotspot reports. For example, if they are thinking of buying in Victoria, they might purchase the Top 5 Melbourne Hotspots report or the Top 5 Regional Victoria Hotspots report. Investors keen to buy in Queensland will be interested in the Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots report or the Top 5 Regional Queensland Hotspots report – or ...
Follow The Infrastructure Trail For Property Success
March 27, 2022 21:00 - 2 minutes - 2.64 MBIf you want a simple philosophy to guide your investing decisions – one that has been shown to work for investors over time - buy property that lies in the path of progress. Another way of putting it is: follow the infrastructure trail. Infrastructure spending is a very powerful factor when it comes to investing in residential property. It’s one of the key elements we look for in areas we’re comfortable to recommend to our investor clients. We have created a national report to highlight ...
Ukraine Invasion Won't Negatively Impact Australian Property
March 23, 2022 21:00 - 3 minutes - 3.53 MBI’ve heard some pretty crazy predictions about what will happen to the property market in the 40 years I’ve been researching and writing about real estate - but I reckon I heard the craziest one this week. I shouldn’t really be surprised considering where it came from. AMP Capital economist Shane Oliver loves to dabble in areas where he’s not an expert, including property market forecasting – and over the years he’s made some bizarre statements and got it horribly wrong more often than any o...
How DO You Predict Property Prices?
March 22, 2022 03:45 - 3 minutes - 3.4 MBOne of the best indicators of future property price growth – or decline – in a specific location is the pattern with transaction levels in the area. Every three months we analyse property sales activity in every significant suburb and town throughout Australia for the quarterly editions of The Price Predictor index and this analysis reveals the locations where prices are likely to fall or stagnate or decline. Sales volumes are always a good indication of future property price movements. ...
Residential Rents Continue To Rise
March 18, 2022 03:07 - 3 minutes - 2.85 MBResidential rents continue to rise as vacancy rates fall further right across Australia, both in the capital cities and in the regional areas. The best source of information on vacancy rates comes from SQM Research and their managing director Louis Christopher says vacancy rates in six of our capital cities are below 1% and they’re around 2% in both Sydney and Melbourne. In most regional market, vacancies are well under 1% - and in some places they’re closer to zero than to 1%. Now, ke...
Demand For QLD Real Estate Has Never Been Higher
March 13, 2022 21:00 - 2 minutes - 2.14 MBDemand for Queensland real estate from interstate buyers have never been higher, as more and more people seek out homes in areas that provide lifestyle at affordable prices. Investors are also focusing on Queensland because, in addition to its lifestyle attractions, it also offers good rental yields and strong prospects for capital growth. Find out more in our QLD Hotspots Bundle
Brisbane market still very much afloat
March 10, 2022 21:00 - 6 minutes - 4.89 MBThere has been a lot of discussion recently about what affect the floods in South East Queensland and along the east coast of NSW will have on the property markets that have been affected by the extraordinary rain bomb. Certainly, there will be an impact felt but will it be enough to knock booming property markets off their upward trajectory long term? I don’t think so – for reasons I will explain.
Investing Interstate In A Manic Market
March 10, 2022 02:23 - 1 hour - 61.8 MBInvestors feel more comfortable buying in their own backyard. They feel they understand their local market and it’s easier to inspect and check things out. Buying interstate is more challenging. It presents the problems of how to research an unfamiliar market and how to check everything from a distance. Those problems are multiplied when the market is hot and properties are selling fast, often for higher-than-expected prices. That’s where a good buyers’ agent comes in. Now, more than...
New Vic tax adds to house costs
February 25, 2022 21:00 - 4 minutes - 4.07 MBWhat do governments do when they decide they need to raise a bit of revenue? They introduce a new tax. And if it’s a Government in Australia we all know what that means – another property tax. It’s the Victorian Government this time, which has introduced yet another new tax on the housing industry. Another impost which just makes the cost of new housing even more expensive for the end use – which often means first-home buyers.
Triple buffers will absorb rate rises
February 24, 2022 11:51 - 4 minutes - 4.54 MBOur national obsession has taken a break from sport and focused on the one thing many home buyers worry about but have little control over – interest rates. Media is not content to let us enjoy the benefits of historically low interest rates or listen to the Reserve Bank Governor when he says rates are not going to increase any time soon. Instead, day after day, week after week, month after month, we have to endure this endless speculation that interest rates are going to rise and, as a resu...
15-20% Capital Growth Before The House Is Built
February 23, 2022 11:49 - 1 hour - 46.3 MBProperty investment outcomes don’t get much better than this. You sign a contract to have a house built and before the house is completed its market value is 15% or 20% higher than the cost of the house-and-land package. Property investment specialist Danny Buxton of Triple Zero Property Group says scenarios like this are far from exceptional in the current market climate. The exceptional examples are where the house, on completion of construction, is worth 30% more than the cost to th...
"State of the States" provides clues to growth markets
February 20, 2022 21:00 - 4 minutes - 4.45 MBI’ve said many times that people should ignore what bank economists say when they decide to dip their toe into property market analysis – a subject which is outside their area of expertise. In fact, you should completely ignore them when it comes to forecasting what is going to happen to house prices, as they usually get it wrong – indeed very wrong – and often the eventual outcome is the opposite to what the bank economists predicted. But, having said that, there is one piece of regular res...
NAB report is nation's worst at forecasting prices
February 17, 2022 21:00 - 5 minutes - 5.15 MBPerhaps the worst property forecast report published each year is the NAB Residential Property Survey. NAB publishes its survey results every February, presenting forecasts for what it says property prices will do in the year ahead. The latest report, published in the past week, has attracted massive media coverage across Australia, particularly because the report is forecasting a 9-10% decline in property prices next year. In our day-to-day research at Hotspotting, we’ve seen all the arti...
The Exodus To Affordable Lifestyle Is A Long-term Trend
February 17, 2022 21:00 - 2 minutes - 2.67 MBMedia keeps telling us that the trend I call the Exodus to Affordable Lifestyle was caused by Covid and that once the pandemic is dealt with the trend will reverse and everyone will move back to the big cities. That’s wrong on so many different levels it’s difficult to know where to start. The trend of people leaving the big cities and moving to the regions or the smaller cities has been under way for a long time. Sydney has been losing population to internal migration for over 10 years ...
Strong Price Growth Continues
February 16, 2022 03:10 - 3 minutes - 3.63 MBThe smaller capital cities and some of the key regional areas are leading the strong price growth that continues to sweep across Australia. The February report on prices from CoreLogic shows that eight of the nation’s 15 major market jurisdictions (eight capitals and seven regional markets) recorded house price growth of 1.8% or more during January.
Housing Affordability in 2022
February 14, 2022 03:07 - 5 minutes - 4.79 MBWhen politicians want to give the impression of doing something, while changing nothing, they bring on an inquiry – or, even better, a royal commission. The latest inquiry created in the Federal Parliament is about housing affordability and supply in Australia.
Land Tax - Another Disincentive for Investors
February 09, 2022 10:43 - 5 minutes - 11.5 MBIt’s perhaps not as hated or understood as that most insidious of property charges, stamp duty, but ever since it was introduced in Australia almost 140 years ago, land tax has become just as big a cash cow for State Governments. Its initial aim – back in the 19th Century - was as a sort of wealth tax to encourage the owners of large holdings of land to break them up and sell them off. While that had the desired effect way back then, the other thing it showed the Government of the day wa...
What Next For Melbourne and Victoria Real Estate?
February 09, 2022 10:14 - 1 hour - 44.7 MBIt’s a rare market indeed when an 18% rise in prices is seen as under-achieving. Melbourne’s median house price rose 18% in 2021 (CoreLogic figures). This was a commendable result in a year in which Melbourne was dubbed as “the most locked-down city in the world”- but it under-performed relative to the national average rise of 24.5%. This begs the question: what can Melbourne achieve in the coming year free of lockdowns and with international borders open, bringing back the considerable ...
Government Meddling Doesn't Help
February 08, 2022 00:36 - 7 minutes - 16.7 MBWhen we cast our vote at the ballot box and elect Governments to represent our best interests and help our economy thrive, quite rightly we think they’ll put a lot of thought into the decisions they make. We’re entitled to believe that any changes in will be well-thought-out and all consequences considered in the best interests of most citizens. Well, that might be what we all expect but I’m sorry to say it’s often not the reality when it comes to regulations around the housing industry....
Look To The Regions For Affordability & Lifestyle
February 04, 2022 05:24 - 2 minutes - 6.58 MBIt is becoming increasingly difficult to find affordable areas that have good prospects and where the prices haven’t gone crazy already. But we’ve identified some prosperous regional centres, with affordable properties, good lifestyles and prospects for future price growth. The National Top 5 Cheapies with Prospects, Regional edition, identifies five locations within regional areas that perfectly suit the exodus to affordable lifestyle trend for owner occupiers and investors.
Adelaide's Time To Shine is 2022!
February 04, 2022 05:01 - 3 minutes - 3.09 MBThe latest quarterly edition of Commsec’s State of the States report has ranked South Australia the No.2 growth economy in the nation. There’s lots of dynamic things happening in the Adelaide economy, including its growing reputation as the Silicon Valley of Australia and it’s status as the No.1 centre for alternative energy development. So now the city is growing at a rate faster than the historical norms – and its property market is responding positively. Adelaide is an attractive ci...
What's NOT Happening in Property in 2022
January 27, 2022 12:16 - 5 minutes - 4.2 MBStand by for a year of negative forecasts about real estate from the usual suspects, who will be yet again proven wrong. It’s already under way. We’ve been hearing that property prices will fall because interest rates will rise. There have even been articles suggesting that prices will fall even if interest rates don’t rise, because media speculation about interest rate rises will have the same negative effect. Let me tell you this with certainty: none of it will happen.
Affordable Propery Is Still Available in Smaller Capital Cities
January 27, 2022 11:52 - 2 minutes - 1.72 MBProperty prices have grown so substantially in the past two years that you’d be forgiven for thinking your chances of securing something affordably priced within a capital city is now close to zero. That may be the case in the Sydney and Melbourne markets, but our new 2022 edition of the National Top 5 Cheapies with Prospects city report reveals five capital city precincts where you can buy affordably with good prospects for future capital growth.
Economists’ Price Growth Forecasts 2022
January 25, 2022 02:35 - 7 minutes - 5.36 MBI believe property prices will continue to grow strongly in 2022, although you will not see similar predictions from any of Australia’s leading bank economists. They’re mostly forecasting very small price growth this year and I’m quite sure they will be proven wrong, yet again. When it comes to predicting property price growth, economists have a quite woeful track record – they invariably got it wrong - and usually spectacularly wrong. The biggest mistake that we see most economists make...
Sydney's Property Boom Is Not Over
January 19, 2022 12:12 - 2 minutes - 2.38 MBYou could be forgiven for thinking the Sydney property market has run out of steam. Media recently has highlighted reports that the monthly changes in median house prices eased a little in late 2021. But it would be a mistake to think that Sydney’s boom is over. I think that in 2022 some precincts of the Sydney market will continue to show exceptional price growth. We have just published our new 2022 edition of Top 5 Sydney Hotspots and it highlights five precincts within the Greater...
Nsw Regional Property Prices 2021 and Beyond
January 19, 2022 10:11 - 4 minutes - 4.23 MBThe price performance across Regional NSW is extraordinary. Our analysis of 296 suburbs and towns across the state shows that all but two have delivered growth in their median house prices in the past 12 months. Nine out of ten locations have recorded double-digit annual growth, including 55% of locations which have risen by 20% or more. Two-thirds of the Regional NSW locations have jumped by more than 5% in the past quarter. Find out more in our new Top 5 NSW Regional Hotspots Report.
Sydney's Price Growth 2021
January 19, 2022 10:07 - 6 minutes - 5.48 MBVirtually every suburb in the Greater Sydney Area has delivered growth in their median house prices in the past year and in the most recent quarter. Only three suburbs – Darlinghurst, Artarmon and Hurlstone Park – failed to record annual growth in house prices. The vast majority of Sydney suburbs recorded double-digit growth in their median house prices, including 44% which rose by 20% or more in the past year. All but three suburbs recorded median house price uplift in the most recent...
Analysing Price Growth Data
January 19, 2022 10:00 - 3 minutes - 3.25 MBIt’s useful, I think, to look back and see how the market performed in the past 12 months and what that means for 2022. While solid past performance isn’t always an indication of how well things will perform in the future, it does gives those who already own an investment property a bit of an indication of how well their assets are performing.
Making Property Your Business in 2022
December 24, 2021 00:13 - 2 minutes - 5.89 MB2022 promises to be the most fascinating year in real estate in a long, long time. 2021 was a relatively straightforward time in terms of what was happening in residential property – in simple terms, prices were rising pretty much everywhere. Indeed, most locations across Australia recorded double-digit growth in house prices throughout the year. Many locations rose by more than 20%. 2022 is shaping as a more segmented market – or, put another way, 2022 is expected to be a more normal ...
How To Predict Property Price Movement
December 10, 2021 02:10 - 1 minute - 1.77 MBThe best way to chart what’s happening with individual property markets around Australia is to look at the sales activity. Sales volumes data is a forward indicator of what might happen with prices. If sales activity is rising, then prices will usually follow this trend, but with a time lag. If sales activity is falling, prices are likely to stop rising or possibly decline. Media focuses its attention on giving historical data on prices – what’s happened with price movements in the pas...
Taking the long-view on Property Investment
December 10, 2021 02:07 - 1 minute - 1.79 MBWith markets rising – fast – in most markets across Australia, it feels like you could buy anywhere and achieve capital growth. And that may be true – in the short term. But sensible investors will be thinking beyond the current frenzy in markets nationwide. They will be taking a long-term view. And that means buying in locations that have identifiable drivers of price growth beyond the current nationwide property boom – keeping in mind that some markets, particularly those which sta...
Perth's Property Market
December 10, 2021 00:41 - 2 minutes - 4.56 MBIn media discussions about the many strong property markets across Australia, one city that often tends to be overlooked is Perth. Perth, in fact, is one of the most buoyant markets in capital city Australia, particularly in terms of the strength of sales activity. Our latest quarterly survey of sales volumes shows that Perth continues to maintain a very high level of performance, with 65% of suburbs classified as rising markets – one of the strongest results in the nation. The 116 sub...
2021 - The Year in Review & Where To for 2022?
December 10, 2021 00:35 - 1 hour - 67 MBThe year just ending has been one of the most remarkable ever in Australian real estate. It has produced outcomes which defied the doomsayers, with price growth that exceeded everyone's expectations. And now our thoughts turn to 2022: what can we expect of the year ahead? Will property prices continue to rise? And, if so, will the growth levels match those of 2021? Will interest rates rise and does it matter anyway? Will the re-opening of international borders and an influx of overseas...
Disregard Interest Rate Speculation
December 07, 2021 12:53 - 3 minutes - 3.09 MBAnyone who tunes into mainstream media in this country will be aware that there is endless speculation about what’s going to happen with interest rates. This is happening for three reasons. One, journalists and commentators apparently believe we’re all breathlessly interested in what might happen with interest rates some time in the future. I think they’re wrong. Two, journalists and commentators generally lack imagination and are collectively incapable of coming up with original and u...
CBA Gets It Wrong Again
December 07, 2021 12:51 - 3 minutes - 2.74 MBMedia has gone overboard on the forecast by the Commonwealth Bank that property prices across Australia will fall 10% in 2024. As consumers, we can rest assured that it won’t happen - because the people making these forecasts have a track record of getting it horribly wrong in their property market predictions. There are two major things wrong with the media treatment of forecasts like this:- One is the speed with which media turns a forecast into a fact. It’s not a case of someone for...
Regional Victoria Remains A National Leader On Price Growth
December 07, 2021 12:42 - 2 minutes - 1.91 MBRegional Victoria continues to be an outstanding performer on price growth, although the sales activity data suggests that some locations have passed their peak. Regional Victoria has been a strong growth market for past two years – and some of the key locations, like Geelong and Ballarat, have been growth markets for 3-4 years – so it’s not surprising that the markets which have strong for longest are now fading a little. On the other hand, many locations throughout Regional Victoria...
Melbourne Delivers Solid Growth - Despite Lockdowns
December 07, 2021 12:38 - 2 minutes - 2.08 MBMelbourne has defied the negative impacts of multiple long lockdowns - including the prolonged one that ended in October 2021 - to deliver consistently solid growth in prices right across the metropolitan area. While Melbourne’s overall price performance is less spectacular than other jurisdictions, but it is extraordinarily positive in the circumstances. Melbourne has been declared the world’s most locked-down city. Melbourne has endured 262 days, or nearly nine months, of restrictions...
Australia's Rental Crisis
December 07, 2021 12:33 - 2 minutes - 5.11 MBThe Australian Financial Review, which allegedly is one our most serious and respectable newspapers, recently published a headline and article which declared that Australia is on the cusp of a rental crisis. It beggars belief that this supposedly credible publication has only just realised that there’s a serious shortage of rental properties in Australia. Australia has had a chronic shortage of homes available for rental for several years and it’s getting worse year by year because our s...
House Price Data
December 07, 2021 12:27 - 2 minutes - 5.35 MBNew data on property prices from CoreLogic indicates that the average Australian home has increased in value by $127,000 in the past 12 months. While that sounds spectacular, there are suburbs and towns in this country where median house prices have grown that much in the last three month alone. Looking more broadly, if we look at median house prices in some of our cities a year ago and compare them with the current situation, we find that the median house price in Brisbane has increased...
Success Stories - Hear from Successful Property Investors
November 29, 2021 23:12 - 1 hour - 59.9 MBThe best way to learn how to build a property portfolio is to speak to people who have done it with resounding success. On Wednesday evening 24 November Hotspotting provided that opportunity, with a webinar featuring successful property investors. Hotspotting founder Terry Ryder hosted a discussion with real estate consumers who have created strong portfolios of residential properties which provide positive cashflow and have delivered spectacular capital growth. They outlined their inv...
Follow the Infrastructure Trail For Property Success
November 19, 2021 00:59 - 1 minute - 1.74 MBMany Australians are looking for guidelines for success with property investment – a simple methodology to guide their decisions on what to buy and where to buy. One simple formula that I often recommend for success in property investment is this: • follow the infrastructure trail. Or, put another way, buy real estate that lies in the path of progress. Few things impact on real estate markets as dramatically as major new infrastructure spending. Construction of a new motorway, or rail l...
Sales Are Rising In Regional Queensland...
November 13, 2021 05:46 - 1 minute - 1.32 MBRecently I researched and wrote a report for the nation’s biggest comparison website Canstar, which was called the Rising Stars report. The report used a series of metrics to assess all the capital cities and the major regional markets across Australia - and then rank them on their prospects for price growth. The rankings of the 14 major market jurisdictions around the country found that top 2 markets in Australia are Regional NSW and Regional Queensland. This confirms our view that th...
Everyone, it seems, wants to own a piece of Brisbane.
November 03, 2021 13:53 - 1 minute - 1.72 MBMedia attention following confirmation of the 2032 Olympics has put increased focus on the potential of the Brisbane property market. There’s an expectation that the lead-up to this global event will direct a positive spotlight on the Queensland capital and generate a property boom. The reality is that Brisbane was already a rising market before the IOC made its announcement in July. People are migrating to Brisbane from other parts of the nation, attracted by its lifestyle, its afforda...