Hotspotting
601 episodes - English - Latest episode: 9 days ago -Prepare to embark on an exciting journey into the realm of hot property markets with Terry Ryder and Tim Graham! Terry & Tim from Hotspotting, are dedicated to providing the most accurate and unbiased research to help investors make informed decisions on where to buy. The Hotspotting Podcast brings you the latest data, trends, and market statistics, along with in-depth discussions on growth areas and the larger factors impacting Australia's property landscape.
Terry & Tim regularly feature special guests from around Australia to share their industry insights and expertise to help investors cut through the noise.
Whether you're a seasoned investor or a first-time buyer, this show is a must-listen for anyone looking to build their knowledge and make smarter investment choices. Terry Ryder, with over 35 years of experience as a specialist researcher and writer in residential property, offers expert insights that are completely independent and free from outside influences. Tim Graham has been a buyers agent and mortgage broker for over 13 years along with working in real estate all over the world.
Join us on the Hotspotting Podcast and discover the hottest opportunities in the Australian property market today!
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Episodes
Sport Will Power The Infrastructure Boom Over Next 10 Years
August 01, 2022 23:56 - 4 minutes - 3.4 MBOver the next ten years Australia is going to be THE focus of world attention for anyone with an interest in sport. Between now and 2032 Australia will be hosting a series of sporting events of global significance – and, while it may not be immediately apparent, this has very major consequences for real estate investment. Let me explain what I mean. Firstly, here’s the line-up of global sporting events that will happening in Australia over the next 10 years:- 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup...
Brisbane's Property Market Future Is Strong.
July 23, 2022 06:02 - 5 minutes - 5.42 MBBrisbane and SEQ lead the nation on population growth from internal migration – and there is a major infrastructure spend under way, with big ticket projects totalling around $30 billion under construction. And there is more to come, because Brisbane and SEQ needs to invest in infrastructure to get ready for the 2032 Olympics. This means that, while there will be ups and downs along the way, Brisbane will be a growth market for the next 10 years at least.
Should I Delay Buying?
July 22, 2022 05:55 - 6 minutes - 5.71 MBOne of the most common investor questions at the moment is “Should I delay buying because prices might fall?” This, I have to say, is the reaction of someone who has little knowledge, does little or no research, and simply reacts to media soundbites. As I’ve often said in the past, the first thing real estate consumers need to do, is … tune out all that media white noise, avoid that constant source of negativity and misinformation, and base your decisions on research and common sens...
Rising Rents Give Security to Investors
July 15, 2022 22:00 - 4 minutes - 4 MBWhile a lot of the discussion about the property market is focused on potential price drops and rising interest rates, the most important information for investors at the moment relates to vacancy rates and rents. Rising rents mean most investors are well placed to cover any additional costs as a result of higher interest rates, because the rate of rental increases in the past 12 months has been exceptional. This - coupled with the fact that most borrowers are well ahead on their repayme...
How Politicians have Created The Rental Shortage And Continue To Make It Worse
July 14, 2022 22:00 - 4 minutes - 4.44 MBThe rental crisis throughout Australia is receiving a lot of media air time at the moment. And that means many politicians are determined to be the person or party credited with finding a solution to the problem. That’s a big concern for me, because every time politicians meddle with property markets with the excuse of providing a solution to things like housing affordability or the rental shortage, they generally make the problem worse.
Census Reveals Home Ownership Data
July 13, 2022 22:00 - 5 minutes - 4.73 MBAt long last, we’re seeing the results of the 2021 Census being published by the ABS and there are some surprises on real estate matters. Most people, I suspect, would have expected home ownership rates in Australia to have fallen over the five years since the previous Census – but they’ve actually improved a little. In fact, there’s been little change in the rate of home ownership in the past 25 years. This is perhaps a surprise given the constant steam of articles in mainstream media...
Australians Suffering From Doom Fatigue
July 12, 2022 22:00 - 4 minutes - 4.02 MBWhile economists and media commentators are going out of their way to spread gloom about property prices, it appears most consumers have managed to tune out all that media white noise. A colleague of mine describes it as “Doom Fatigue” and I think that encapsulates the public mood at the moment. Australians are suffering from Doom Fatigue not just about the property market, but after years of the news bulletins being dominated by Covid, natural disasters and war in Europe, they just don’...
Regional QLD Continues to Shine
July 11, 2022 23:32 - 6 minutes - 4.54 MBMarkets across Regional Queensland are operating at a high level, although some of the former stars like the Sunshine Coast are fading. Our latest quarterly survey has classified 177 locations as rising or consistency markets, which maintains the high levels we have recorded over the past 18 months. This means that, despite less vibrancy in major markets like the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast, Regional Queensland continues to present numerous strong property markets with high levels of s...
Property Strong Amid Uncertainty
July 06, 2022 01:25 - 4 minutes - 4.4 MBMany economists and media commentators are desperate to be the first to call the end of the boom and to predict that property prices will crash. That’s why we’ve had widespread claims that the property boom is over, at different times, since the beginning of the last year – only to be proven wrong in each case by the publication of subsequent data. As soon as there is any uncertainty or disruption in the Australian economy or the world, the doomsday forecasters come out of the woodwork t...
Affordable Locations Lead Growth
June 26, 2022 21:00 - 4 minutes - 4.28 MBA recurring theme in many markets around the nation is that the local growth leaders are the more affordable locations. Our new Winter edition of The Price Predictor Index shows that Sydney overall is down, but many of its cheaper areas still have good demand. Perth is buoyant, led by the affordable precincts. It’s a similar story in Brisbane and Adelaide, with very strong buyer demand in the more affordable areas in particular. And in Melbourne, where the millionaire precincts have ...
Key States For Property Investment in 2022
June 24, 2022 02:07 - 5 minutes - 5.56 MBWe’ve just published the new Winter edition of The Price Predictor Index and it shows that Western Australia, Queensland and South Australia are the key places where real estate consumers should be focusing their attention. While this Winter 2022 survey of sales activity across Australia shows a marked decline in the Sydney market, we have identified Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide as the capital cities where sales activity remains strong and prices are tipped to keep rising. The regional a...
Avoiding Media Misinformation
June 24, 2022 02:02 - 6 minutes - 5.68 MBIf you’re someone who wants to understand what’s really going on in real estate markets around Australia, here’s the key thing you have to do: When data on the property market is published, get a copy of the actual report. Don’t read what the media says is in the report. Get a copy of the report itself. In most cases, the reports – from research entities like Domain, SQM Research and CoreLogic - are free and easily accessible. And when you look at the data in many of the reports on p...
Consumers Reject Negative Headlines
June 21, 2022 08:35 - 4 minutes - 3.07 MBDespite daily media articles declaring that property prices are set to fall 15% or 20% or more, most Australians don’t believe it. That’s according to the latest Finder Consumer Sentiment Tracker. The Finder survey sought people’s views of what they expect to happen with house prices in the next 12 months - and very few, it seems, are expecting prices to fall. Even in Sydney and Melbourne, where economists and commentators have declared prices to be falling already, only about 20% ...
Using Sales Activity To Predict Price Growth
June 21, 2022 01:00 - 6 minutes - 5.94 MBAn easy way to see where future property price growth is going to occur – or not occur - is to look at transaction numbers. When sales numbers lift, it means competition for properties is increasing, and what generally flows from that is price growth. Sales activity numbers are a great forward indicator of what will happen with prices and is actually a much better barometer of what is about to happen in the market than looking at median house price data. The figures on changes in media...
Brisbane Airbnb move just a cash grab
June 16, 2022 07:21 - 5 minutes - 4 MBOne of the skills Australian politicians have mastered over the years is finding ways to raise ever more revenue from the housing industry, but pretending that any new measures they’re introducing are actually motivated by a desire to fix housing affordability or a housing shortage. The latest shameless exercise by a government entity to do this has come from the Brisbane City Council, which rules over a large chunk of the Brisbane metropolitan area. The Brisbane council, headed by Lord...
The Exodus To Affordable Lifestyle - Its here to stay.
June 12, 2022 11:50 - 3 minutes - 3.17 MBMedia keeps telling us that the trend I call the Exodus to Affordable Lifestyle was caused by Covid and that once the pandemic is dealt with the trend will reverse and everyone will move back to the big cities. Well, they certainly got that wrong. The trend of people leaving the big cities and moving to the regions, or the smaller cities, has been under way for a long time. This trend is not about the pandemic – it’s about technology allowing people to work remotely and it’s about access...
Understanding Price Data Differences
June 10, 2022 00:57 - 5 minutes - 5.18 MBWith so many organisations analysing the property market, it can be hard to determine just who has the right reading on what is happening with prices across Australia. And there is the distinct possibility that none of them is correct. I recently did an online search for the median house price for a particular suburb and came up with six different figures from six different data sources. The difference between the highest and lowest figures was more than $100,000 – the lowest was $628,...
Adelaide Leads Capital City Australia On Sales And Price Growth
June 02, 2022 11:47 - 3 minutes - 3.58 MBThe Adelaide market continues to operate at unprecedented levels and right now is arguably the busiest and most competitive market in capital city Australia. It presents an attractive proposition for investors:- - It remains one of the most affordable cities in the nation, - its prices are growing faster than any other capital city, - it has the lowest vacancy rate, and - its rental growth is leading the nation. Our new edition of Top 5 Adelaide Hotspots reveals the markets within th...
Housing Affordability Remains a Hot Topic
May 21, 2022 06:00 - 2 minutes - 2.61 MBAfter 18 months of stellar price growth pretty much everywhere in Australia, affordability is more of an issue now than ever before. And, as we head towards the Federal Election, it’s clear that the problem isn’t going to be solved any time soon, because none of the major parties have policies that will make the cost of housing cheaper. There are policies that may make it easier for young buyers to get a loan to buy an expensive house or apartment, but nothing to address the high costs of ...
Vacancy Rates Improve By A Miniscule Amount
May 20, 2022 06:15 - 3 minutes - 3.01 MBFor the first time in a long time, there has been an improvement in residential vacancies in Australia. But the change is miniscule. The national vacancy rate, according to SQM Research, increased from 1% in March to 1.1% in April – which means that there continues to be a chronic shortage of residential rental properties around Australia. What this means, of course, is that there is tremendous upward pressure on rents.
Regional NSW Continues To Perform Extremely Well
May 15, 2022 22:00 - 4 minutes - 3.94 MBWhile a lot of media attention is focused on what is or isn’t happening with Sydney property prices, other parts of New South Wales continue to perform extremely well. Late last year, along with the comparison website Canstar, I analysed the price growth prospects in all the major markets across Australia – the 8 capital cities and 6 state regional markets.I used a range of different metrics to determine the markets with the best prospects for price growth in 2022. Of all those 14 market ...
Sydney Market Switches Focus To More Affordable Products
May 13, 2022 06:42 - 4 minutes - 4.08 MBSignificant changes have occurred in the Sydney property market in the early part of 2022, with a weakening at the top end of the market and a re-focus on locations and dwelling types that offer better affordability. Most notable is the shift in focus to more affordable suburbs for houses and also an uplift in demand for locations with apartments at attractive prices. There is strong buyer demand in precincts where houses are typically available in the price range from $900,000 to $1.5 m...
What Impact Will Interest Rates Have On House Prices?
May 05, 2022 06:16 - 6 minutes - 5.78 MBHere’s an interesting fact: if history repeats itself, rising interest rates will mean that property prices also will rise, not fall. In fact, if recent history does repeat, house prices will double during an extended period of multiple interest rate rises.
What's Happening in the Sydney Market?
May 05, 2022 06:13 - 5 minutes - 4.89 MBThe Sydney market represents an opportunity for investors right now because the evidence suggests it’s less competitive than in 2021, so it’s becoming easier to buy well. And vacancy rates are dropping fast and rents are rising, a situation that will be enhanced by the re-opening of international borders and the return of overseas migrants and students. Let’s look at the background … Sydney is the one capital city in Australia where there is some evidence that its property market has pas...
Property Prices Falling? Actually No .... for the most part
May 05, 2022 05:53 - 4 minutes - 3.92 MBThe key message for Australians interested in what’s REALLY going on in property markets across the nation is this: Don’t believe everything you read about how Australian property prices are faring at the moment. In fact, I would go so far as to say: don’t believe ANYTHING you read about property prices across Australia. You may have seen a lot of commentary about how prices are already on the way down across Australia – but, for the most part, that is simply NOT the case.
The Price Data Is Much Stronger Than The Headlines
April 26, 2022 22:00 - 7 minutes - 6.9 MBThere’s a concerning trend emerging where people are relying TOO much on the monthly property price data - from one high-profile source - as an accurate indication of what is happening in property markets – and what WILL happen in property markets. Too many people take this short-term price data as the gospel truth and allow it to dictate their decisions on WHETHER they will buy real estate and WHERE they will buy it. Australian consumers need to understand this simple truth – all real estate...
Perth Poised For Its Best Year In Real Estate Since The Mining Boom
April 21, 2022 12:45 - 3 minutes - 3.11 MBWhile there are some early signs that, maybe, Sydney and Melbourne markets are starting to moderate, all the evidence suggests that the opposite is happening in many other markets across Australia, including Perth. The Perth market is undoubtedly the strongest it’s been since the end of that big resources investment boom almost 10 years ago. After several years of downturn, the Perth market moved into recovery mode in 2020 and then became considerably stronger in 2021. All the indicati...
A Different View of Prices
April 21, 2022 08:07 - 3 minutes - 3.59 MBMainstream media tends to present CoreLogic price data as the definitive view on real estate prices – indeed, the only view. So when CoreLogic says house prices fell (slightly) in Sydney and Melbourne in March, media presented that as fact. But it’s not fact. It’s simply the world according to one research source. There are other credible, reputable research entities in Australia, including Domain, SQM Research and the ABS. And often their data contradicts the CoreLogic figures. It...
Go To The Source For Latest Price Data
April 12, 2022 21:00 - 5 minutes - 5.31 MBThe media headlines might be shouting that the property price boom in Australia is over, but the numbers tell me otherwise. According to the latest CoreLogic figures, the national rate of growth in dwelling values actually rose in March – slightly – compared to February. The best advice I can give you is to tune out all the white noise in mainstream media and do some real research. Don’t read the media reports – get a copy of the CoreLogic report, which is free, and look at what the numb...
Melbourne Poised For A Strong Year In Real Estate
April 12, 2022 05:32 - 3 minutes - 3.2 MBHow will the Melbourne market perform in 2022, free of lockdowns and with major new factors in play, including the opening of international borders? I expect Melbourne to have a strong year in real estate in 2022. Last year, Melbourne did well, despite being the most locked-down city in the world. Despite all the restrictions, Melbourne produced strong price growth, particularly for houses. Opening of international borders means that overseas migrants and foreign students can return ...
Property Investment Is The Solution To Australia's Rental Crisis
April 08, 2022 02:07 - 5 minutes - 5.31 MBTHE Prime Minister may like to say he is helping those who can’t find a place to rent by helping Australians BUY a property, but from my point of view both the Federal Government and the Federal Opposition are yet to grasp just how enormous the rental crisis is in Australia. There has been nothing in recent weeks which shows me that any of our Federal Politicians have any awareness of just how big a problem it is for everyday Australians. Neither of the major parties has announced anythi...
Regional Victoria Continues To Excel On House Price Growth
April 08, 2022 01:51 - 3 minutes - 3.07 MBRegional Victoria was one of the first areas in Australia to really exhibit clearly the pattern that has become the major property trend of the 21st Century – what I like to call the Exodus to Affordable Lifestyle. I expect this trend to continue for some time to come – it won’t stop once the pandemic is dealt with – because this is fundamentally about technology, affordability and lifestyle. Regional Victoria as a whole is still a very strong market, which has produced outstanding price gr...
Making property Investment Your Business
March 29, 2022 21:00 - 2 minutes - 2.61 MBThe secret to investing in property is to do your research and be fully informed. To that end many people planning to buy an investment property buy one or two of our Hotspot reports. For example, if they are thinking of buying in Victoria, they might purchase the Top 5 Melbourne Hotspots report or the Top 5 Regional Victoria Hotspots report. Investors keen to buy in Queensland will be interested in the Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots report or the Top 5 Regional Queensland Hotspots report – or ...
Follow The Infrastructure Trail For Property Success
March 27, 2022 21:00 - 2 minutes - 2.64 MBIf you want a simple philosophy to guide your investing decisions – one that has been shown to work for investors over time - buy property that lies in the path of progress. Another way of putting it is: follow the infrastructure trail. Infrastructure spending is a very powerful factor when it comes to investing in residential property. It’s one of the key elements we look for in areas we’re comfortable to recommend to our investor clients. We have created a national report to highlight ...
Ukraine Invasion Won't Negatively Impact Australian Property
March 23, 2022 21:00 - 3 minutes - 3.53 MBI’ve heard some pretty crazy predictions about what will happen to the property market in the 40 years I’ve been researching and writing about real estate - but I reckon I heard the craziest one this week. I shouldn’t really be surprised considering where it came from. AMP Capital economist Shane Oliver loves to dabble in areas where he’s not an expert, including property market forecasting – and over the years he’s made some bizarre statements and got it horribly wrong more often than any o...
How DO You Predict Property Prices?
March 22, 2022 03:45 - 3 minutes - 3.4 MBOne of the best indicators of future property price growth – or decline – in a specific location is the pattern with transaction levels in the area. Every three months we analyse property sales activity in every significant suburb and town throughout Australia for the quarterly editions of The Price Predictor index and this analysis reveals the locations where prices are likely to fall or stagnate or decline. Sales volumes are always a good indication of future property price movements. ...
Residential Rents Continue To Rise
March 18, 2022 03:07 - 3 minutes - 2.85 MBResidential rents continue to rise as vacancy rates fall further right across Australia, both in the capital cities and in the regional areas. The best source of information on vacancy rates comes from SQM Research and their managing director Louis Christopher says vacancy rates in six of our capital cities are below 1% and they’re around 2% in both Sydney and Melbourne. In most regional market, vacancies are well under 1% - and in some places they’re closer to zero than to 1%. Now, ke...
Demand For QLD Real Estate Has Never Been Higher
March 13, 2022 21:00 - 2 minutes - 2.14 MBDemand for Queensland real estate from interstate buyers have never been higher, as more and more people seek out homes in areas that provide lifestyle at affordable prices. Investors are also focusing on Queensland because, in addition to its lifestyle attractions, it also offers good rental yields and strong prospects for capital growth. Find out more in our QLD Hotspots Bundle
Brisbane market still very much afloat
March 10, 2022 21:00 - 6 minutes - 4.89 MBThere has been a lot of discussion recently about what affect the floods in South East Queensland and along the east coast of NSW will have on the property markets that have been affected by the extraordinary rain bomb. Certainly, there will be an impact felt but will it be enough to knock booming property markets off their upward trajectory long term? I don’t think so – for reasons I will explain.
Investing Interstate In A Manic Market
March 10, 2022 02:23 - 1 hour - 61.8 MBInvestors feel more comfortable buying in their own backyard. They feel they understand their local market and it’s easier to inspect and check things out. Buying interstate is more challenging. It presents the problems of how to research an unfamiliar market and how to check everything from a distance. Those problems are multiplied when the market is hot and properties are selling fast, often for higher-than-expected prices. That’s where a good buyers’ agent comes in. Now, more than...
New Vic tax adds to house costs
February 25, 2022 21:00 - 4 minutes - 4.07 MBWhat do governments do when they decide they need to raise a bit of revenue? They introduce a new tax. And if it’s a Government in Australia we all know what that means – another property tax. It’s the Victorian Government this time, which has introduced yet another new tax on the housing industry. Another impost which just makes the cost of new housing even more expensive for the end use – which often means first-home buyers.
Triple buffers will absorb rate rises
February 24, 2022 11:51 - 4 minutes - 4.54 MBOur national obsession has taken a break from sport and focused on the one thing many home buyers worry about but have little control over – interest rates. Media is not content to let us enjoy the benefits of historically low interest rates or listen to the Reserve Bank Governor when he says rates are not going to increase any time soon. Instead, day after day, week after week, month after month, we have to endure this endless speculation that interest rates are going to rise and, as a resu...
15-20% Capital Growth Before The House Is Built
February 23, 2022 11:49 - 1 hour - 46.3 MBProperty investment outcomes don’t get much better than this. You sign a contract to have a house built and before the house is completed its market value is 15% or 20% higher than the cost of the house-and-land package. Property investment specialist Danny Buxton of Triple Zero Property Group says scenarios like this are far from exceptional in the current market climate. The exceptional examples are where the house, on completion of construction, is worth 30% more than the cost to th...
"State of the States" provides clues to growth markets
February 20, 2022 21:00 - 4 minutes - 4.45 MBI’ve said many times that people should ignore what bank economists say when they decide to dip their toe into property market analysis – a subject which is outside their area of expertise. In fact, you should completely ignore them when it comes to forecasting what is going to happen to house prices, as they usually get it wrong – indeed very wrong – and often the eventual outcome is the opposite to what the bank economists predicted. But, having said that, there is one piece of regular res...
NAB report is nation's worst at forecasting prices
February 17, 2022 21:00 - 5 minutes - 5.15 MBPerhaps the worst property forecast report published each year is the NAB Residential Property Survey. NAB publishes its survey results every February, presenting forecasts for what it says property prices will do in the year ahead. The latest report, published in the past week, has attracted massive media coverage across Australia, particularly because the report is forecasting a 9-10% decline in property prices next year. In our day-to-day research at Hotspotting, we’ve seen all the arti...
The Exodus To Affordable Lifestyle Is A Long-term Trend
February 17, 2022 21:00 - 2 minutes - 2.67 MBMedia keeps telling us that the trend I call the Exodus to Affordable Lifestyle was caused by Covid and that once the pandemic is dealt with the trend will reverse and everyone will move back to the big cities. That’s wrong on so many different levels it’s difficult to know where to start. The trend of people leaving the big cities and moving to the regions or the smaller cities has been under way for a long time. Sydney has been losing population to internal migration for over 10 years ...
Strong Price Growth Continues
February 16, 2022 03:10 - 3 minutes - 3.63 MBThe smaller capital cities and some of the key regional areas are leading the strong price growth that continues to sweep across Australia. The February report on prices from CoreLogic shows that eight of the nation’s 15 major market jurisdictions (eight capitals and seven regional markets) recorded house price growth of 1.8% or more during January.
Housing Affordability in 2022
February 14, 2022 03:07 - 5 minutes - 4.79 MBWhen politicians want to give the impression of doing something, while changing nothing, they bring on an inquiry – or, even better, a royal commission. The latest inquiry created in the Federal Parliament is about housing affordability and supply in Australia.
Land Tax - Another Disincentive for Investors
February 09, 2022 10:43 - 5 minutes - 11.5 MBIt’s perhaps not as hated or understood as that most insidious of property charges, stamp duty, but ever since it was introduced in Australia almost 140 years ago, land tax has become just as big a cash cow for State Governments. Its initial aim – back in the 19th Century - was as a sort of wealth tax to encourage the owners of large holdings of land to break them up and sell them off. While that had the desired effect way back then, the other thing it showed the Government of the day wa...
What Next For Melbourne and Victoria Real Estate?
February 09, 2022 10:14 - 1 hour - 44.7 MBIt’s a rare market indeed when an 18% rise in prices is seen as under-achieving. Melbourne’s median house price rose 18% in 2021 (CoreLogic figures). This was a commendable result in a year in which Melbourne was dubbed as “the most locked-down city in the world”- but it under-performed relative to the national average rise of 24.5%. This begs the question: what can Melbourne achieve in the coming year free of lockdowns and with international borders open, bringing back the considerable ...