Unexpected Points
279 episodes - English - Latest episode: 7 days ago - ★★★★★ - 51 ratingsUnexpected Points takes a look at the NFL through a uniquely analytical lens and challenges our assumptions about the game. Each week, data scientist Kevin Cole discusses the topical and macro issues affecting football.
unexpectedpoints.substack.com
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Episodes
WIR: QB CLUTCHNESS, SUBSCRIBER Q&A
June 20, 2024 18:24 - 1 hour - 68.1 MBThis is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Bryce Young's Future & GMs Dish on Roster Building
June 13, 2024 18:25 - 1 hour - 68.1 MBThis is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
WIR: Justin Jefferson & Christian McCaffrey Contracts, (the other) football talk
June 06, 2024 18:15 - 1 hour - 61.5 MBThis is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
WIR Solo Pod: WR Contracts, Beane Interview, Q&A
May 30, 2024 18:09 - 1 hour - 57.1 MBThis is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
WIR Solo Pod: Why scoring is down, WR contracts, QB prospect success, Q&A
May 23, 2024 18:16 - 1 hour - 59.9 MB* Why is scoring down so much in recent seasons? * What are we hearing that has actual signal * The history of success for quarterbacks by draft position, and what it means for the 2023 and 2024 classes. You can watch along here: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
WIR Pod: Schedule Release, Goff Contract, Macdonald Defense
May 16, 2024 18:40 - 1 hour - 82 MBThis is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
SOLO POD: WEEK IN REVIEW - FRONT OFFICE RANKINGS & QB PERCEPTION
May 10, 2024 18:15 - 1 hour - 61.8 MBUnexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Ranking NFL Front Offices w/ Ben Baldwin
May 08, 2024 15:20 - 30 minutes - 28.2 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com Find more research by subscribing to https://unexpectedpoints.substack.com/
SOLO POD: WEEK IN REVIEW - LIONS VS NERDS
May 03, 2024 14:49 - 1 hour - 65.7 MBThis is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
SOLO POD: 2024 NFL DRAFT ANALYTICAL GRADES
April 30, 2024 11:58 - 59 minutes - 54.9 MBSorry for a little delay getting this out on the pod. The recording didn’t go through the first time. Make sure to subscribe to the YouTube channel to watch the streams live and not miss anything. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
POD: NFL DRAFT ROUND 1 REVIEW
April 26, 2024 14:55 - 58 minutes - 54 MBBenjamin Robinson of Grinding the mocks joins me to talk all the numbers and strategies behind a wild round one of the draft Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
PREDRAFT NEWS, PLUS Q&A
April 25, 2024 17:08 - 53 minutes - 49.3 MBUnexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Grinding the Mocks' Benjamin Robinson on NFL Draft Surprises
April 23, 2024 02:18 - 1 hour - 60.9 MBThis is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
NFL DRAFT PREVIEW, LIVESTREAM Q&A
April 19, 2024 18:46 - 1 hour - 88.3 MBUnexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
NFL WEEK 9 REVIEW
November 06, 2023 15:28 - 1 hour - 56.4 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
WEEKLY NEWS, TNF REVIEW, WEEK 9 PREVIEW
November 03, 2023 14:03 - 56 minutes - 51.9 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
WEEK 8 REVIEW POD, Q&A
October 30, 2023 14:24 - 1 hour - 60.5 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
TNF REVIEW, ESPN CONTROVERSY, WEEK 8 PREVIEW
October 27, 2023 14:11 - 50 minutes - 46.7 MBWatch on YouTube: Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
NFL WEEK 7 REVIEW POD
October 23, 2023 14:24 - 1 hour - 62.5 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
NFL WEEK 6 REVIEW POD
October 16, 2023 13:54 - 1 hour - 64.1 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
TNF REVIEW, WEEKLY COMMENTARY, WEEK 6 PREVIEW
October 13, 2023 14:14 - 53 minutes - 49.1 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
NFL WEEK 5 REVIEW POD
October 09, 2023 15:18 - 1 hour - 65.9 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
TNF REVIEW, WEEK 5 PREVIEW
October 06, 2023 15:15 - 41 minutes - 38.1 MBLeave future Q&A in the post comments, or replay to this email. Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
NFL WEEK 4 REVIEW POD
October 02, 2023 14:21 - 1 hour - 66 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
TNF REVIEW, RUN PLAY-ACTION DEBATE, WEEK 4 PREVIEW
September 29, 2023 18:36 - 52 minutes - 47.8 MBApologies to podcast listeners this wasn’t up earlier. Substack was having a issues uploading the audio file. To avoid this in the future, you can subscribe on YouTube and even catch the live stream. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
NFL WEEK 3 ADVANCED REVIEWS
September 25, 2023 14:56 - 1 hour - 73.4 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
TNF 49ers-Giants Review, Week 3 Preview, Q&A
September 22, 2023 16:38 - 1 hour - 67 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
WEEK 2 NFL REVIEW, Q&A
September 18, 2023 15:02 - 1 hour - 64.1 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
TNF EAGLES-VIKINGS REVIEW, WEEK 2, Q&A
September 15, 2023 14:43 - 38 minutes - 35.5 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
MNF Jets-Bill Review, Replacing Rodgers
September 12, 2023 15:57 - 49 minutes - 45.6 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Week 1 Review Pod
September 11, 2023 14:57 - 49 minutes - 45.4 MBWatch on YouTube to participate in Q&A. Broadcasting at 10am Mon/Tues/Fri This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Solo Pod: Kickoff TNF Review, Q&A
September 08, 2023 15:38 - 47 minutes - 43.3 MBCheck on the pod on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Jourdan Rodrigue: The Playcallers
July 17, 2023 20:43 - 1 hour - 58.3 MBThe Athletic's Jourdan Rodrigue joins the pod to talk her excellent 5-part narrative podcast series, The Playcallers. The series has extensive reporting and interviews with Kyle Shanahan, Sean McVay, Matt LaFleur and Mike McDaniel. Plus, additional commentary from coaches who worked with this group, and the players they influenced. You can listen to the series here. You can watch this podcast on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or g...
Thinking Basketball's Ben Taylor
June 27, 2023 19:19 - 44 minutes - 30.4 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com Ben Taylor (@ElGee35) joins the pod to talk: * His method of valuing players * What the stats and eye test are missing * Is height less important in the NBA? * His GOAT list of the 40 most value players of all time * Why Shaq and Kareem are underrated Check out Ben’s highly successful YouTube Channel, his website and purchase his book. Watch on YouTube:
Working in basketball & football analytics: Seth Partnow, Statsbomb
June 14, 2023 12:25 - 35 minutes - 24.6 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com Seth Partnow (@SethPartnow) joins the pod to talk through his vast experience in multiple sports. Topic covered include: * Why he hates what the term “analytics” has come to mean * His book “The Midrange Theory” * Did Jokic and the Nuggets help dispel notions of great regular season teams not finishing in the playoffs * How to build an effective front office to inte…
Hopkins/Cook Released, Kickoff Rule Change, Subscriber Q&A
June 09, 2023 19:05 - 40 minutes - 27.5 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
PGA-LIV Merger, Early Best-Ball Favs, NBA Finals Talk: Davis Mattek
June 06, 2023 17:32 - 44 minutes - 30.5 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com Davis Mattek (@DavisMattek) joins the pod to talk about a variety of topics, including the implications of the PGA-LIV merger, which players he's targeting in early best-ball drafts, and thoughts on the NBA finals and state of the league. WATCH ON YOUTUBE:
"Net Gains" author Ryan O'Hanlon, ESPN
May 30, 2023 20:43 - 44 minutes - 30.5 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com (@rwohan) Writer, ESPN; author, NET GAINS: INSIDE THE BEAUTIFUL GAME’S ANALYTICS REVOLUTION. Buy Net Gains here: Publisher, Amazon View the full episode on YouTube:
OTA News, plus Q&A: Hopkins cut, Rodgers all-in
May 26, 2023 18:51 - 46 minutes - 31.6 MBKevin talks through what matters in early offseason news, why the Celtics-Heat series is instructive and takes subscriber questions. Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Greatest CFB QBs of the 2000s, Projecting to the NFL: Bill Connelly, ESPN
May 23, 2023 17:16 - 30 minutes - 21.1 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) joins the pod to talk greatest college QBs, evaluating the 2023 and 2022 classes, and some soccer talk. Watch on YouTube:
NFL Awards Predictions, Subscriber Q&A
May 19, 2023 19:56 - 44 minutes - 30.4 MBWatch on YouTube and subscriber there to be part of the next livestream. Leave comments on this post you want answered next week. Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
NFL Schedule Release, Early Offseason Bets, Q&A
May 12, 2023 19:00 - 52 minutes - 36 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
The State of NFL Front Offices, with Josh Hermsmeyer
May 09, 2023 19:35 - 30 minutes - 21.1 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com Watch on YouTube:
Judging Executives' Draft Evaluations, Lamar Contract, Q&A
May 05, 2023 21:06 - 47 minutes - 32.7 MBView on YouTube: Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Processing the NFL Draft: Hayden Winks, Underdog Fantasy
May 03, 2023 17:25 - 30 minutes - 21.1 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com Hayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) or Underdog Fantasy joins the pod to talk through all that went down in the NFL draft, including: * How to properly account for the feedback from NFL teams in our projections * What really dictates usage and early career starts for rookie quarterbacks * Weighing landing spots versus macro environments Watch on YouTube:
Pod: Analytical Draft Grades
May 01, 2023 18:31 - 1 hour - 43.8 MBAnother YouTube livestream. Check out the audio or video, plus subscribe on YouTube to catch future episodes and have the ability to ask questions. Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Bold NFL draft predictions w/ Pat Kerrane
April 26, 2023 21:01 - 30 minutes - 21.1 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com You can follow Pat on twitter (@PatKerrane) and check out his work at Legendary Upside. Watch on YouTube:
Aaron Rodgers Trade Reaction: Mitigated Disaster for the Jets
April 24, 2023 22:12 - 28 minutes - 26.4 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
Wrap-up Pod: Stroud Stumbling, Gambling Suspensions, Lance for sale?
April 21, 2023 19:34 - 1 hour - 42.1 MBWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
NFL Draft Skill Position Rankings: Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis
April 18, 2023 19:30 - 36 minutes - 25 MBThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) of Sharp Football Analysis and I talk: * If there’s a reliable running back other than Bijan Robinson in the class * Should Bijan go in the first round? * How to think about a weaker and smaller wide receiver class * Why Jalin Hyatt might have more NFL value than fantasy * How waiting at tight end is the right decision for NFL teams * Why he has …