Thoughts on the Market
1,164 episodes - English - Latest episode: 1 day ago - ★★★★★ - 1.2K ratingsShort, thoughtful and regular takes on recent events in the markets from a variety of perspectives and voices within Morgan Stanley.
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Episodes
Special Encore: What Are Other Investors Thinking?
May 11, 2021 20:43 - 2 minutes - 2.69 MBOriginal release April 16th, 2021: Keeping tabs on how other investors are trading can do more than just satisfy curiosity. It can provide a window into trends and current market debates.
Mike Wilson: Welcome to the Mid-Cycle Transition
May 10, 2021 21:51 - 4 minutes - 4.16 MBAmid pricey valuations and growing evidence of labor and supply chain issues investors may want to adjust focus as we exit the early stages of the recovery.
Andrew Sheets: Why (and How) Jobs Numbers Matter
May 07, 2021 20:50 - 3 minutes - 3.15 MBWith U.S. labor market numbers coming in below expectations, Andrew Sheets assesses how jobs data feeds into market and policy maker thinking about the road to recovery.
Special Episode: Is Herd Immunity Even Possible?
May 06, 2021 22:14 - 11 minutes - 10.7 MBAmid declining rates of vaccinations in the U.S, virus mutations and a crisis in India, is herd immunity from COVID-19 still achievable? The latest insights from Biotech equity analyst, Matthew Harrison.
Michael Zezas: Texas vs. California
May 05, 2021 17:53 - 2 minutes - 1.86 MBThe Supreme Court is expected to deliver a decision soon on this key case for the future of the Affordable Care Act and the 20 million Americans who have acquired coverage under it. The outcome could have significant impacts for investor too.
Vishy Tirupattur: Is the U.S. in a Housing Bubble?
May 04, 2021 22:58 - 4 minutes - 4.34 MBThe red-hot U.S. housing market brings to mind some unhappy memories of the 2006 bubble, but there are some key differences this time around.
Adam Virgadamo: For Stocks, Reopening Is All About Nuance
May 03, 2021 21:28 - 3 minutes - 3.36 MBThe reality of reopening is anything but cut and dry. And how the market is pricing, or failing to price, nuances should continue to be a key theme.
Chetan Ahya: Could Centrals Banks Shake Up Digital Currencies?
April 30, 2021 21:27 - 4 minutes - 4.49 MBPlans to introduce digital currencies are gaining momentum among the world’s central banks. But what level of disruption will it bring to the financial system?
Michael Zezas: On Infrastructure, Follow the Money
April 29, 2021 20:16 - 2 minutes - 2.49 MBLast night, President Biden laid out his vision to rebuild the existing U.S. infrastructure. Here are three takeaways and sectors to watch as negotiations unfold.
Andrew Sheets: A Choppier, More Range-bound Summer?
April 28, 2021 21:11 - 3 minutes - 3.05 MBSummer months have historically seen lower, more volatile returns, but strong year-to-date gains and potentially higher inflation could intensify that trend.
Graham Secker: 4 Reasons to Consider European Equities
April 27, 2021 21:23 - 3 minutes - 3.41 MBEurope's 'unloved' quality among global investors is not the only reason to feel optimistic about the potential for outperformance among European equities. Chief European Equity Analyst Graham Secker explains.
Mike Wilson: Reopening - It’s All About the Execution
April 26, 2021 21:14 - 4 minutes - 4.05 MBHigh expectations around reopening may already be substantially priced into markets, pointing to new risks around how the reopening actually plays out.
Special Episode: Electric Vehicles, Pt 2 – Turning the Supertanker
April 23, 2021 22:35 - 9 minutes - 8.89 MBStresses on the electrical grid, climate policy, and national security are only a few of the issues we will confront as we transition to EVs.
Special Episode: Electric Vehicles, Pt 1 – Follow the Fleet
April 22, 2021 23:35 - 9 minutes - 8.81 MBPrice, charging infrastructure and dirty battery production are limiting the impact of EVs, but look to fleet operations to lead the way to broader adoption.
Michael Zezas: Coal Country Support for Green Energy?
April 21, 2021 22:43 - 2 minutes - 2.2 MBWith a sizable infrastructure bill moving through the U.S. Congress, support from coal producing states, often considered unlikely, may be a factor that ultimately ensures its passage.
Special Episode: Earth Week Investing Themes
April 20, 2021 21:50 - 10 minutes - 9.24 MBGreen investment is on investors' minds this Earth Week: Today, a look at key investment themes across carbon capture, plastics and agri-food developments.
Mike Wilson: Q1 Earnings - Impressive But Not Surprising?
April 19, 2021 21:14 - 3 minutes - 3.54 MBEarnings season is well underway and some stocks are selling-off despite strong economic data. Is the recovery now completely discounted?
Andrew Sheets: What Are Other Investors Thinking?
April 16, 2021 19:56 - 2 minutes - 2.63 MBKeeping tabs on how other investors are trading can do more than just satisfy curiosity. It can provide a window into trends and current market debates.
Simeon Gutman: Welcome to the Petriarchy
April 15, 2021 20:17 - 4 minutes - 4.08 MBWhy the pet care industry—which was already growing pre-pandemic—may emerge as one of the fastest growing sectors over the next decade.
Michael Zezas: U.S. Infrastructure - Sectors to Watch
April 14, 2021 20:55 - 2 minutes - 2.41 MBWhat stock sectors could fundamentally benefit from infrastructure spending? To answer this question, it’s important to follow the money.
Special Encore: Diverging Emerging Markets
April 13, 2021 17:38 - 9 minutes - 9.09 MBOriginal release on March 25th, 2021: Amid a generally conservative outlook for emerging markets, key differentiators are their scope for policy action, pace of vaccine rollout and equity valuations.
Special Episode: Innovating toward Decarbonization
April 12, 2021 23:11 - 10 minutes - 9.8 MBHow are oil & gas companies and U.S. utilities tackling the complex transition to a lower carbon future? Expect a lot of divergence in approach.
Andrew Sheets: Are Bonds Still a Worthwhile Investment?
April 09, 2021 21:20 - 3 minutes - 2.87 MBSince last year, bonds of all stripes have seen so-so returns and high stock market correlation. Is it time to question their value as a portfolio diversifier?
Vishy Tirupattur: The Policy Debate Takes Center Stage
April 08, 2021 22:15 - 4 minutes - 4.05 MBIn a time of extraordinary policy response to the pandemic, will bond markets move towards the Fed or will the Fed shift its reaction function towards markets?
Special Episode: Rising Home Prices, Rising Rates
April 08, 2021 01:24 - 7 minutes - 7.18 MBU.S. home buyers are now facing both higher mortgage rates and steadily climbing home prices. What does this mean for housing and mortgage markets?
Special Episode: The Return of the Services Sector?
April 06, 2021 23:15 - 10 minutes - 9.21 MBConsumer spending trends are finally accelerating in service sectors such as dining and travel. A look at what this means for GDP, the jobs market and inflation.
Mike Wilson: Equities Eye the Reality of Reopening
April 05, 2021 21:23 - 3 minutes - 3.12 MBAlthough the S&P 500 has continued to make new highs, underneath the surface, a shift in market leadership may be sending a signal about the hard work of reopening.
Andrew Sheets: Why April Could Be Strong for Markets
April 01, 2021 21:16 - 3 minutes - 2.94 MBOver the last 30 years, April has been one of the best months of the entire year—and this year, the rainy month could have some extra advantages.
Michael Zezas: How Taxing Can Infrastructure Be?
March 31, 2021 19:42 - 3 minutes - 2.76 MBAs the Biden administration unveils the Build Back Better plan, investors are asking: how will it be paid for? The answer is likely important for the economy and markets.
Robin Xing: China’s Green (Investment) Revolution
March 30, 2021 21:20 - 4 minutes - 3.84 MBAs China moves to make good on carbon targets, it will turn increasingly toward a large scale green investment strategy across its economy.
Mike Wilson: Rotating Through the Recovery
March 29, 2021 22:17 - 3 minutes - 3.55 MBA look at why investors may want to position for a shift from early cycle conditions to more mid-cycle characteristics as the economy heads toward re-opening.
Andrew Sheets: Inflation - When to Turn Down the Music?
March 26, 2021 22:07 - 3 minutes - 2.87 MBThe expectation of increased inflation is stirring concerns among investors, but the actual market for expected inflation suggests the Fed is on the right track.
Special Episode: Diverging Emerging Markets
March 25, 2021 23:47 - 9 minutes - 9.09 MBAmid a generally conservative outlook for emerging markets, key differentiators are their scope for policy action, pace of vaccine rollout and equity valuations.
Michael Zezas: U.S./China Trade - No Quick Path to Lower Barriers
March 24, 2021 20:38 - 2 minutes - 2.34 MBMost Trump era barriers remain in place and new ones may even be implemented by the current administration. Markets should pay attention.
Brian Nowak: New Online Habits vs. A Return to ‘Normal’
March 23, 2021 22:31 - 4 minutes - 3.72 MBThe Internet sector is more essential than ever. Our analyst looks at where pandemic habits will be stickiest and where the return to ‘normal’ may limit it.
Mike Wilson: Outside the Consensus
March 22, 2021 21:34 - 3 minutes - 3.35 MBWe forecast a shorter and hotter business cycle than the consensus estimates, suggesting a move to mid-cycle portfolio positions earlier than expected.
Special Episode: The Winding Road to Herd Immunity, Pt. 2
March 19, 2021 20:43 - 8 minutes - 7.56 MBChief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets and Biotech equity analyst Matthew Harrison continue their conversation, with a focus on international progress for COVID-19 vaccinations.
Special Episode: The Winding Road to Herd Immunity
March 18, 2021 21:07 - 9 minutes - 8.35 MBChief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets talks with Biotech equity analyst Matthew Harrison on dose availability, vaccine hesitancy and the timeline for herd immunity.
Michael Zezas: Three Revealing Numbers from the Stimulus Package
March 17, 2021 20:17 - 2 minutes - 2.13 MBIt may be hard for investors to conceptualize how substantial the impact of the American Rescue Plan Act may be, but three numbers provide perspective.
Chetan Ahya: Fed Tightening Could Come Sooner than Expected
March 16, 2021 23:16 - 4 minutes - 4.02 MBWith the rapid recovery of the U.S. economy, it is possible that inflation will overshoot the Fed’s tolerances by as early as mid-2022.
Mike Wilson: A Tougher Road Ahead for Small Caps?
March 15, 2021 22:30 - 3 minutes - 3.44 MBAfter almost a year of extraordinary outperformance, could small caps could see more difficulties ahead as re-opening dynamics up the risk of cost pressures?
Andrew Sheets: A Complicated 2021 for Emerging Markets?
March 12, 2021 20:59 - 2 minutes - 2.7 MBWith global growth set to exceed expectations in 2021, emerging markets assets would appear set for outperformance. But this year, three factors cloud that narrative.
Special Episode: Markets and the Next Big Debate - Infrastructure
March 11, 2021 22:59 - 8 minutes - 7.58 MBConversations around the “Build Back Better” U.S. infrastructure plan are ramping up. What do investors need to know about its potential impact on markets?
Michael Zezas: Policy Trends Are Now Portfolio Trends
March 10, 2021 22:43 - 2 minutes - 2.23 MBWhy the ongoing dynamics of trade, fiscal policy, taxation and geopolitical tensions mean investors need to focus on more than just the Fed and the business cycle.
Special Episode: Markets Ahead of Reopening - What’s Mispriced?
March 09, 2021 22:42 - 10 minutes - 9.35 MBAhead of a possible re-opening, which companies might retain gains seen in the pandemic, which will revert to pre-COVID norms and which are mispriced?
Mike Wilson: Still a Bull Under the Hood
March 08, 2021 22:32 - 4 minutes - 3.76 MBThe current correction may be driven in part by the rise in U.S. Treasuries yields, but Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson still sees a bull market in the value and more cyclically exposed equity categories.
Andrew Sheets: The Great Debate on Rates
March 05, 2021 21:08 - 2 minutes - 2.74 MBDo higher interest rates invariably lead to weaker equities and credit markets? The answer is a bit more complicated after factoring in economic optimism.
Special Episode: U.S. Home Prices - Is This Time Different?
March 04, 2021 22:16 - 9 minutes - 8.52 MBHome prices have been steadily climbing all across the U.S. How should Americans think about home prices, rising interest rates and affordability?
Michael Zezas: 3 Potential Impacts of “Build Back Better”
March 03, 2021 21:29 - 3 minutes - 3.08 MBThe stage is set for the Biden administration’s major infrastructure and environment initiative. Here's what investors need to know about the road ahead.
Vishy Tirupattur: Can We Get Real on Rates?
March 02, 2021 23:22 - 4 minutes - 3.69 MBAlthough a shift to higher interest rates is noteworthy, historically, rising rates coupled with rising inflation may actually suggest better performance for some risk assets.