Probable Causation
179 episodes - English - Latest episode: 13 days ago - ★★★★ - 129 ratingsA show about law, economics, and crime.
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Episodes
Episode 14: Aaron Chalfin on street lighting and crime
October 15, 2019 11:50 - 56 minutes - 51.7 MBAaron Chalfin talks about the effects of street lighting on crime. "Reducing Crime Through Environmental Design: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment of Street Lighting in New York City" by Aaron Chalfin, Benjamin Hansen, Jason Lerner, and Lucie Parker. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Keep the kids inside? Juvenile curfews and urban gun violence" by Jillian B. Carr and Jennifer L. Doleac. "Effects of improved street lighting on crime" by Brandon C. Welsh and David P. Farring...
Episode 14: Aaron Chalfin
October 15, 2019 11:50 - 56 minutes - 51.7 MBAaron Chalfin talks about the effects of street lighting on crime.
Episode 13: Ariel White on short jail spells and subsequent voting behavior
October 01, 2019 12:09 - 43 minutes - 40.2 MBAriel White talks about the effect of short jail spells on subsequent voting behavior. "Misdemeanor Disenfranchisement? The Demobilizing Effects of Brief Jail Spells on Potential Voters" by Ariel White. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Turnout and Party Registration among Criminal Offenders in the 2008 General Election" by Traci Burch "Did Disfranchisement Laws Help Elect President Bush? New Evidence on the Turnout Rates and Candidate Preferences of Florida’s Ex-Felons" by Tra...
Episode 13: Ariel White
October 01, 2019 12:09 - 43 minutes - 40.2 MBAriel White talks about the effect of short jail spells on subsequent voting behavior.
Episode 12: Michael Lovenheim
September 17, 2019 10:50 - 59 minutes - 54.2 MBMichael Lovenheim talks about how grade retention affects students' later criminal activity.
Episode 12: Michael Lovenheim on grade retention and students' criminal activity
September 17, 2019 10:50 - 59 minutes - 54.2 MBMichael Lovenheim talks about how grade retention affects students' later criminal activity. "The Effect of Grade Retention on Adult Crime: Evidence From a Test-Based Promotion Policy" by Ozkan Eren, Michael F. Lovenheim, and Naci H. Mocan. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “In school and out of trouble: The minimum dropout age and juvenile crime” by D. Mark Anderson. “The effect of education on crime: Evidence from prison inmates, arrests, and self-reports” by Lance Lochner and...
Episode 11: Steven Raphael on sentencing reform in California
September 03, 2019 13:52 - 52 minutes - 120 MBSteven Raphael talks about how California's sentencing reform policies have affected incarceration and crime rates in the state. "The effect of sentencing reform on crime rates: Evidence from California’s Proposition 47" by Magnus Lofstrom and Steven Raphael. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Public Safety Realignment and Crime Rates in California" by Magnus Lofstrom and Steven Raphael. "Is Public Safety Realignment Reducing Recidivism in California?" by Magnus Lofstrom, Steven...
Episode 11: Steven Raphael
September 03, 2019 13:52 - 52 minutes - 120 MBSteven Raphael talks about how California's sentencing reform policies have affected incarceration and crime rates in the state.
Episode 10: Emily Weisburst on police officers in schools
August 20, 2019 12:17 - 55 minutes - 50.6 MBEmily Weisburst talks about the effects of putting police officers in schools. "Patrolling Public Schools: The Impact of Funding for School Police on Student Discipline and Long‐term Education Outcomes" by Emily K. Weisburst OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Whose Help is on the Way? The Importance of Individual Police Officers in Law Enforcement Outcomes" by Emily Weisburst. "Police in the Hallways: Discipline in an Urban High School" by Kathleen Nolan. "Homeroom Security: Sc...
Episode 10: Emily Weisburst
August 20, 2019 12:17 - 55 minutes - 50.6 MBEmily Weisburst talks about the effects of putting police officers in schools.
Episode 9: Mike Mueller-Smith on the Criminal Justice Administrative Records System (CJARS)
August 06, 2019 14:11 - 1 hour - 60.3 MBMike Mueller-Smith talks about the Criminal Justice Administrative Records System (CJARS) -- a new source of administrative data -- and how criminal justice policy affects economic and social disparities in the United States. "Criminal Justice in the US and Economic Inequality" by Michael G. Mueller-Smith and Keith Finlay. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Correctional Populations in the United States, 2016" by Danielle Kaeble and Mary Cowhig. "Mass Imprisonment and the Life C...
Episode 9: Mike Mueller-Smith
August 06, 2019 14:11 - 1 hour - 60.3 MBMike Mueller-Smith talks about the Criminal Justice Administrative Records System (CJARS) -- a new source of administrative data -- and how criminal justice policy affects economic and social disparities in the United States. "Criminal Justice in the US and Economic Inequality" by Michael G. Mueller-Smith and Keith Finlay. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Correctional Populations in the United States, 2016" by Danielle Kaeble and Mary Cowhig. "Mass Imprisonment and the Life C...
Episode 8: Amanda Agan on Ban the Box
July 23, 2019 12:49 - 58 minutes - 53.9 MBAmanda Agan talks about the effects of Ban the Box policies. RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Discrimination and the Effects of Drug Testing on Black Employment" by Abigail Wozniak. "Deleting a Signal: Evidence from Pre-Employment Credit Checks" by Alexander W. Bartik and Scott T. Nelson "Ban the Box, Criminal Records, and Racial Discrimination: A Field Experiment" by Amanda Agan and Sonja Starr. "The Unintended Consequences of Ban the Box: Statistical Discrimination and Employment...
Episode 8: Amanda Agan
July 23, 2019 12:49 - 58 minutes - 53.9 MBAmanda Agan talks about the effects of Ban the Box policies.
Episode 7: Jeff Weaver
July 09, 2019 14:27 - 1 hour - 59.6 MBJeff Weaver talks about the long-term effects of parental and sibling incarceration.
Episode 7: Jeff Weaver on the effects of parental and sibling incarceration
July 09, 2019 14:27 - 1 hour - 59.6 MBJeff Weaver talks about the long-term effects of parental and sibling incarceration. "The Effect of Parental and Sibling Incarceration: Evidence from Ohio" by Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, and Jeffrey Weaver. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Disrupted Childhoods: Children of Women in Prison” by Jane A. Siegal. “Parental Arrest and Incarceration: How Does it Affect Children?” By Stephen B. Billings. “Incarceration Spillovers in Criminal and Family Networks” by Manudeep Bhull...
Episode 6: Manisha Shah
June 25, 2019 13:44 - 54 minutes - 49.9 MBManisha Shah talks about the effects of criminalizing sex work.
Episode 6: Manisha Shah on criminalizing sex work
June 25, 2019 13:44 - 54 minutes - 49.9 MBManisha Shah talks about the effects of criminalizing sex work. “Crimes against Morality: Unintended Consequences of Criminalizing Sex Work” by Lisa Cameron, Jennifer Muz, and Manisha Shah. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "The Effect of Adult Entertainment Establishments on Sex Crime: Evidence from New York City" by Riccardo Ciacci and Maria Micaela Sviatschi. "Banning the purchase of prostitution increases rape: Evidence from Sweden" by Riccardo Ciacci. "Human Trafficking an...
Episode 5: Kevin Schnepel
June 11, 2019 15:23 - 1 hour - 62.1 MBKevin Schnepel talks about the effects of diversion from a felony conviction on long-run outcomes for criminal defendants.
Episode 5: Kevin Schnepel on diversion from felony conviction
June 11, 2019 15:23 - 1 hour - 62.1 MBKevin Schnepel talks about the effects of diversion from a felony conviction on long-run outcomes for criminal defendants. “Diversion in the Criminal Justice System” by Michael Mueller-Smith and Kevin T. Schnepel OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Juvenile incarceration, human capital, and future crime: Evidence from randomly assigned judges” by Anna Aizer and Joseph J. Doyle, Jr. “Incarceration, recidivism and employment” by Manudeep Bhuller, Gordon B. Dahl, Katrine V. Løken, a...
Episode 4: Megan Stevenson on cash bail
May 28, 2019 12:02Megan Stevenson talks about the effects of cash bail and Philadelphia’s bail reform efforts. “Evaluating the Impacts of Eliminating Prosecutorial Requests for Cash Bail” by Aurelie Ouss and Megan T. Stevenson *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work! *** OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “The Heavy Costs of High Bail: Evidence fro...
Episode 4: Megan Stevenson
May 28, 2019 12:02Megan Stevenson talks about the effects of cash bail and Philadelphia’s bail reform efforts.
Episode 3: Analisa Packham
May 14, 2019 15:38 - 54 minutes - 49.8 MBAnalisa Packham talks about the effects of syringe exchange programs on HIV rates, opioid abuse, and crime.
Episode 3: Analisa Packham on syringe exchange programs
May 14, 2019 15:38 - 54 minutes - 49.8 MBAnalisa Packham talks about the effects of syringe exchange programs on HIV rates, opioid abuse, and crime. "Are Syringe Exchange Programs Helpful or Harmful? New Evidence in the Wake of the Opioid Epidemic" by Analisa Packham. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work! *** OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Effectiveness of steril...
Episode 2: Eric Chyn on moving to better neighborhoods
April 30, 2019 14:50 - 51 minutes - 117 MBEric Chyn talks about the effect of moving to better neighborhoods on criminal justice involvement. "Moved to Opportunity: The Long-Run Effects of Public Housing Demolition on Children" by Eric Chyn. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work! *** OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Experimental Analysis of Neighborhood Effects” by J...
Episode 2: Eric Chyn
April 30, 2019 14:50 - 51 minutes - 117 MBEric Chyn talks about the effect of moving to better neighborhoods on criminal justice involvement.
Episode 1: Chloe Gibbs
April 16, 2019 15:03 - 58 minutes - 134 MBChloe Gibbs talks about the intergenerational effects of Head Start on criminal behavior.
Episode 1: Chloe Gibbs on the intergenerational effects of Head Start
April 16, 2019 15:03 - 58 minutes - 134 MBChloe Gibbs talks about the intergenerational effects of Head Start on criminal behavior. “Breaking the Cycle? Intergenerational Effects of an Anti-Poverty Program in Early Childhood” by Andrew Barr and Chloe R. Gibbs. *** Probable Causation is part of Doleac Initiatives, a 501(c)(3) corporation. If you enjoy the show, please consider making a tax-deductible contribution. Thank you for supporting our work! *** OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “The Effects of Two Influential E...
Episode 0: Promo
March 27, 2019 14:10 - 49 seconds - 767 KBLaunching this spring: A new podcast about research related to law, economics, and crime.