McKeany-Flavell Hot Commodity Podcast
384 episodes - English - Latest episode: 2 days ago - ★★★★★ - 8 ratingsEmpowering clients with commercial intelligence, supply chain expertise,
and risk management solutions.
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Episodes
Edible oils: The cure for low prices is low prices (& a COVID-19 cure)
May 22, 2020 17:55 - 12 minutes - 17.1 MBEdible oils markets hampered by weak demand. To book, or not to book? That is the question. Current pricing for key oil markets. Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Get your ethanol & coproducts update, & win a visor!
May 15, 2020 19:12 - 10 minutes - 15.1 MBLack of ethanol demand bullish to feed prices Wet mill operating rates limit co-product production Closure of slaughterhouses may force farmers to liquidate herds How many Grateful Dead concerts has Craig attended? Send us your best guess at [email protected]. Winner gets a McKeany-Flavell visor! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
WASDE day analysis of corn, soybeans, sugar, & Mike's ukulele talent
May 12, 2020 21:23 - 15 minutes - 21.1 MBCorn Ending stocks for 2020/21 projected at 3.318 billion bushels Soybeans Soybean oil usage for biodiesel reduced again for 2019/20 Sugar 2019/20 imports down 149,000 tons on lower Mexican production Ending stocks lowered 161,000 tons 2019/20 stocks-to-use falls to 10.4% Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
A pre-WASDE look at corn & sugar
May 08, 2020 17:59 - 14 minutes - 19.8 MBIs a title wave of corn upon us? 2020/21 corn stocks could hit near 4.0 billion bushels 2020/21 sugar supply rests in the hands of the beet sugar industry Happy Mother’s Day! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
Bulls vs. Bears: Blending sports & commodity markets (Because we know you miss sports!)
May 01, 2020 19:03 - 16 minutes - 22.9 MBHow can the bulls in the market dominate again? The bears are winning more games, but can they take the championship? Blame the refs! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
A sugar update: Welcome to the Zombie Apocalypse
April 24, 2020 20:04 - 17 minutes - 24 MBUpdate on sugar beet plantings Mexican sugar update McKeany-Flavell asks the tough questions: Has the world sugar market been impacted by Zombies? Do you believe in Bigfoot? Email us your opinion at [email protected]! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
Movie quotes fun time, then on to sugar, dairy, livestock, & cocoa
April 17, 2020 19:46 - 14 minutes - 19.7 MBSugar Beet planting progress: normal to slightly ahead of five-year average Dairy U.S. approaching peak milk production during spring flush Farmers resorting to dumping of milk with processing facilities at full capacity Livestock Plant closures Cocoa Q1 grind release: numbers mostly on the weak side Cocoa bean arrivals start to fade and fall behind last year cumulative pace Craig’s movie quote Send us an email if you know it! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Crai...
Practical tips for working at home & a sugar TRQ deep dive
April 10, 2020 17:59 - 13 minutes - 19.1 MBHow to bring some normalcy during the shelter-in-place Sugar TRQ Does it bring real relief to the refined sugar market? Send us a picture of you in your mask, and receive a free 30-day trial on our IQ platform! Just email the picture to [email protected] Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
WASDE update: Corn, soybeans, sugar, & ...candy!
April 09, 2020 22:41 - 24 minutes - 33.4 MBCorn Ethanol industry woes highlighted in today’s WASDE adjustments Soybeans Poor performing energy sector also impacting soy oil demand Sugar Supply and demand reflects April 1 TRQ import increases USDA still may have work to do Stocks-to-use now at 11.7 percent Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
Sugar update: TRQs & the Prospective Plantings report
April 03, 2020 19:46 - 10 minutes - 14.8 MBRaw and refined TRQs announcement and impact Prospective Plantings report Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
Hand sanitizer & OJ demand
March 27, 2020 19:46 - 16 minutes - 23 MBDisruption in dogs' lives Hand sanitizer Is it the savior for ethanol industry? Are companies looking to utilize bio-based glycol over traditional? Does the current environment set up for early 2021 price negotiations for corn sweeteners? Orange juice The rush on groceries is creating a temporary spike in orange juice demand; will it sustain? Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
Navigating the commodity markets in a COVID-19 world
March 20, 2020 20:02 - 20 minutes - 28.4 MBWhat’s the impact for: Commodity markets Supply chain Consumer demands Sugar What to expect from USDA after April 1 IQ Ingredient Intelligence Platform Remember our IQ platform has all the commodity information you want at your fingertips from anywhere 24/7. Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
How's corn holding up against COVID-19?
March 13, 2020 19:10 - 11 minutes - 15.8 MBCorn Ongoing fears of COVID-19 Perceived effect on demand Fundamentals on the wayside Sneak-peek on planting intentions Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
WASDE update: Some wows with sugar, corn & soybeans not so much
March 10, 2020 22:20 - 12 minutes - 17.3 MBCorn Balance sheet unchanged COVID-19 sidelining Phase One deal with China Soybeans Soybean oil shows offsetting changes in balance sheet Impact of crude oil prices Sugar Lowered beet production Significantly lowered Mexico production 7.2% stocks-to-use ratio Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
A wrinkle in Mexico sugar
March 06, 2020 20:53 - 9 minutes - 13.6 MBMexican sugar production likely to fall to 5.38 MMT Will USDA increase imports from other sources? Will production rebound next year? Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
Double feature: Sweetener Colloquium recap & coronavirus impact on commodities
February 28, 2020 19:34 - 14 minutes - 20.4 MBSweetener Colloquium recap Sugar supply & demand concerns Where are 2021 prices headed? Sugar Program management Will USDA increase imports? Mexico Potential sugar production and supply to U.S. Coronavirus and impact on agricultural commodities Supply fears Exports to and from China Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
Live from the 2020 International Sweetener Colloquium!
February 26, 2020 17:30 - 5 minutes - 6.99 MBRecorded Tuesday, February 25, 2020 Colloquium recap Sugar industry update Buyer/seller gap Tightness in Mexico sugar supply Sugar policy Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
The Amazing Raz with a cocoa & chocolate update
February 21, 2020 20:47 - 14 minutes - 19.4 MBCocoa futures increase 20 percent: Why? Production concerns? The future of the LID Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Jeffrey Rasinski, Consultant
A short & sweet look at the sugar market
February 14, 2020 19:53 - 12 minutes - 16.8 MBForward look at the domestic raw sugar market What’s influencing the rise in the #11 market? Prediction for tightness Q3 2020 Register for our Spring Seminar! And Happy Valentine’s Day! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
Whoop-de-doo: WASDE update overshadowed by a fedora
February 11, 2020 21:56 - 20 minutes - 28 MBCorn Yawn Although possible changes to acreage over the next few months Soybeans Drop in ending stocks Impact of the coronavirus Sugar Little change this month Going to the Sweetener Colloquium? Take a pic with Mike and get a discount to our Spring Seminar! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
What would the world look like without the Sugar Policy?
February 07, 2020 21:08 - 8 minutes - 12.1 MBSneak-peek at Craig’s upcoming Sweetener Colloquium presentation The world without the Sugar Policy Register now for our Spring Seminar! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
When commodity fundamental & technical indicators align, opportunity is created!
January 31, 2020 19:27 - 20 minutes - 28.1 MBSystematic indicators suggest now is a good time to buy: soybean and soybean products possibly other markets? Just how much more length will specs take out of positions? Host: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services Expert: Shawn Bingham, Founder, ABSR Research, Chicago
Long-term market perspective: Three-year outlook on commodity market dynamics
January 24, 2020 20:29 - 21 minutes - 29.7 MBChanging global dynamics to shape grain and oilseed markets. Biodiesel uncertainties add complexity to traditional edible oil supply and demand factors. Volatility for #11 contrasts with stability in normal year conditions for #16, domestic sugar markets. Host: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
A tale of three trade deals
January 17, 2020 19:23 - 14 minutes - 26.7 MBSuspension Agreements reinstituted USMCA ratified U.S.-China Phase One agreement Minor impact on commodities Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
First WASDE, first podcast, & first company announcement of 2020!
January 10, 2020 21:39 - 14 minutes - 26.3 MBSugar Louisiana cane production revised lower, beet slightly higher Soybeans Lower harvested soy acreage = more supply? Corn Sharp increase to corn for feed supported by livestock inventories, meat exports And introducing Eric Thornton, our newly hired commodity specialist! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Hot predictions for 2020: Sugar, edible oils, ethanol, dairy, & CBD
December 20, 2019 20:20 - 13 minutes - 25.1 MBNew face coming to McKeany-Flavell in early 2020? Sugar: 2017 Amended Suspension Agreement reinstated Edible oils markets to stay strong. Ethanol industry to keep up the good fight. Dairy herd on the rebound. CBD sales to hit $1.0 billion. Geaux Tigers! Happy Holidays! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services Expert: Jeffrey Rasinski, Consultant Expert: Craig Ruffo...
Santa’s bringing trade agreements for Christmas (& lumps of coal in the form of flat interest rates)
December 13, 2019 17:07 - 18 minutes - 34.2 MBOld folks reminisce about 1980s holiday shopping U.S.-China and U.S.-Mexico-Canada deals Are they done deals? Fed keeps rates flat and indicates no immediate rate cuts to come Could hikes come post-trade agreements? Host/Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services Expert: Shawn Bingham, Founder, ABSR Research, Chicago
WASDE update: Corn’s a yawn but sugar markets are wide awake!
December 10, 2019 22:47 - 23 minutes - 43.4 MBReview of domestic hog, poultry, and cattle inventories Export market opportunities? Impact on feed prices Massive reductions in sugar supply Ratification of the USMCA? Host/Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Trade agreements, sugar, & CBD: What to know
December 06, 2019 19:21 - 10 minutes - 18.8 MBTrade agreement and USMCA The impact on sugar Physical delivery of refined sugar is next hurdle CBD products Will it gain GRAS status? Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
USDA delivers its promise on sugar
November 26, 2019 18:50 - 11 minutes - 21.2 MBUSDA increases refined sugar quota 100,000 tons of sugar is a drop in the bucket Gobble-gobble: Happy Thanksgiving! Host/Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
Edible oils update: Oil boy!
November 22, 2019 21:47 - 13 minutes - 24.9 MBSoybean oil futures offer coverage opportunities Biodiesel production has plateaued Canola harvest take a little hit, but oil production remains strong Corn oil coproduct credit update Palm oil prices continue to march higher Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Sugar-nado! Analyzing the status of a damaged sugar market
November 15, 2019 22:13 - 17 minutes - 31.6 MBNot all sugar is created equal Mind the details on quality differences Host/Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
Sugar beet crops abandoned: What’s the impact on the industry?
November 13, 2019 19:18 - 6 minutes - 11.3 MBSugar beet production to decline further as unprecedented acreage is abandoned Two beet marketing companies issue force majeure notifications How will USDA respond to lower beet production? Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
WASDE recap: Sugar woes, corn & soy complex holds
November 08, 2019 23:49 - 18 minutes - 33.8 MBSugar USDA lowers beet sugar production 467,000 STRV: More to follow? Record harvest abandonment Louisiana cane crop production lowered a net 76,000 STRV Where will additional imports come from if needed? Corn Changes for corn in WASDE? “Meh” Soybean complex Soybean stocks rise and soybean oil stocks fall on lower crush Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Mike & Craig attempt to save the world: Updates from the ABLC Next Conference
November 01, 2019 18:02 - 7 minutes - 14.4 MBThe theme is “disruptive technology” Using biomass to create bioplastics Using pheromones as insecticides Making Mother Earth more healthy! Seemingly far-fetched ideas coming to fruition Taking spent CO2 and converting to fuel How this all can impact the food and beverage industry Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
The ruling on the amended Suspension Agreements & its impact on the sugar market
October 25, 2019 16:57 - 13 minutes - 24.6 MBWhat are the Suspension Agreements? Explanation of the ruling on the amended Agreements What is the impact on the sugar market? Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
State of the ethanol industry
October 18, 2019 17:40 - 10 minutes - 18.4 MBPressure for the ethanol industry? Trump Administration’s view of ethanol Future expectations Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
WASDE update for corn, soybeans, & sugar
October 10, 2019 22:00 - 15 minutes - 28.6 MBCorn Current year corn ending stocks take a hit (but not via production) Soybean complex Has the soybean balance sheet finally reached its bearish bottom? Sugar Sugar deliveries down sharply in August, USDA lowers estimate 50,000 STRV in both 2018/19 and 2019/20 Sugar production unchanged but will wet weather impact production? Host/Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Beet sugar, cocoa, & men’s footwear
October 04, 2019 20:29 - 13 minutes - 24 MBBeet sugar Harvest update Supply review Cocoa LID: What is it? Potential impact on the cocoa market Craig’s shoes Tell us what you think! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist Expert: Jeffrey Rasinski, Consultant
Combining fundamental, technical, & systematic trading strategies with Shawn Bingham of ABSR Research
September 27, 2019 19:28 - 21 minutes - 39.9 MBFundamental market recap for corn and soybeans What is systematic trading? Fundamental and technical analysis Systematic modeling Portfolio approach to managing risk Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services Expert: Shawn Bingham, Founder, ABSR Research, Chicago
Energy market dynamics with Phil Flynn of PRICE Futures Group
September 20, 2019 17:20 - 14 minutes - 27.4 MBSaudi Arabia situation recap Weather crisis in Texas Status of the energy markets Impact in the U.S. Volatility in the oil markets? Impact on food manufacturers Good time to manage risk Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Phil Flynn, Sr. Market Analyst at The PRICE Futures Group & Fox Business Network Contributor
Roadside WASDE recap: Few answers & even more questions
September 12, 2019 23:06 - 15 minutes - 29 MBUSDA reduces 2019/20 corn production minimally, but offset by weak demand in 2018/19 2019/20 soybean balance sheet finally shows “normal” stocks-to-use ratio Significant reduction in projection for 2019/20 beet sugar crop Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Goin’ hog wild: Livestock markets & their effect on feed prices
September 06, 2019 20:12 - 16 minutes - 30.7 MBReview of domestic hog, poultry, and cattle inventories Export market opportunities? Impact on feed prices Host: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Hurricane Dorian & its potential impact on sugar
August 30, 2019 19:16 - 11 minutes - 21.1 MBHistorical hurricane devastation on sugar crops Dorian headed to Lake Okeechobee What might happen to the sugar industry there Stay safe, Florida! Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
Unusual headlines highlight changes in the sugar & corn markets
August 23, 2019 16:29 - 10 minutes - 19.2 MBUnforeseen weather events impact beet sugar crops Grain farmers’ frustration boils over And more! Host/Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
Go long, baby! Value buy opportunity in equities & commodities
August 16, 2019 18:10 - 9 minutes - 17.1 MBManaged money switches from long to short positions in commodities Are we headed for a global recession? Is this a good buying opportunity for commodities? Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
SURPRISE! Corn production isn’t so bad…or is it? (WASDE update)
August 12, 2019 21:22 - 17 minutes - 31.9 MBCorn USDA raises corn acreage, yield despite partial information Soybean complex Soybean acreage lower, but ending stocks still above 700 million bushels Less soybean oil demand for biodiesel this year and potentially, next Sugar Cane and beet sugar forecast increased Deliveries increase provides industry with some optimism Host/Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Is this an anomaly market year?
August 09, 2019 19:52 - 12 minutes - 22.8 MB1995/96 vs. 2019/20 Crop production similarities How might futures behave under these circumstances? Host: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
The big picture for sugar
August 02, 2019 19:13 - 12 minutes - 22.4 MBGlobal production deficit for 2019/20? India’s sugar production falling Other factors that will affect the sugar market Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Sweeteners Specialist
Cocoa & chocolate update
July 26, 2019 18:49 - 12 minutes - 22.8 MBMinimum price guarantee for Ivory Coast and Ghana Results from grind Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO Expert: Jeffrey Rasinski, Consultant