FiveThirtyEight Politics
695 episodes - English - Latest episode: 1 day ago - ★★★★★ - 19.5K ratingsThe 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.
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Episodes
Warren In The Hot Seat
October 16, 2019 05:32 - 38 minutes - 17.6 MBThe crew reacts to the fourth Democratic primary debate.
What To Look For In The 4th Debate
October 14, 2019 21:38 - 57 minutes - 26.3 MBThe crew discusses the latest impeachment polling and previews the fourth Democratic primary debate.
Impeachment 101
October 10, 2019 21:15 - 42 minutes - 19.3 MBLaw professor Kate Shaw joins the podcast to discuss the laws and history behind impeachment and how they apply to today.
Is Ukraine Getting Worse For Trump?
October 07, 2019 21:46 - 59 minutes - 27.3 MBThe podcast crew reviews the latest news in the impeachment inquiry and discusses the two parties' strategies. They also ask if Joe Biden is the Democratic frontrunner.
How TV's Evolution Explains Our Politics
October 03, 2019 13:05 - 36 minutes - 16.8 MBNew York Times TV critic James Poniewozik joins the podcast to explain how changes in television over the past forty years have shaped American politics.
Impeachment Is Becoming More Popular
September 30, 2019 20:23 - 50 minutes - 23.1 MBThe crew looks at how public opinion on impeaching President Trump has changed in the week since Speaker Pelosi announced a formal inquiry.
The Whistleblower's Complaint
September 26, 2019 20:36 - 36 minutes - 16.6 MBIt's only been 48 hours since we last recorded, but a lot has happened. We discuss the release of Trump's Ukraine call summary, the whistleblower's complaint and more.
What An Impeachment Inquiry Might Mean
September 24, 2019 23:35 - 24 minutes - 11.3 MBThe crew gathers to discuss Nancy Pelosi's decision to launch an impeachment inquiry against President Trump. How'd we get here, and what might come next?
Are Democrats Ready To Impeach Trump?
September 23, 2019 22:59 - 48 minutes - 22.5 MBThe crew discusses how the Ukraine story could change the impeachment conversation for Democrats. They also debate whether Elizabeth Warren is now the frontrunner in Iowa.
We Ran Into Andrew Yang At The Airport
September 19, 2019 11:52 - 26 minutes - 12.1 MBNate and Galen ran into Andrew Yang waiting for the same return flight from the debate in Houston last week. They asked if he'd record a podcast and he obliged.
The State Of *Both* 2020 Primaries
September 16, 2019 22:13 - 54 minutes - 25.1 MBThe crew discusses the latest post-debate polling and what the GOP primary is teaching us about Trump's electoral strengths and weaknesses.
What Went Down In The Third Democratic Debate
September 13, 2019 06:27 - 35 minutes - 16.1 MBThe crew reacts to the third Democratic primary debate from the spin room floor in Houston, Texas.
How To Own The Debate
September 09, 2019 22:15 - 56 minutes - 25.9 MBThe crew discusses possible strategies for the candidates on stage in the Democratic primary debate on Thursday.
The Gerrymandering Fight Moves To The States
September 05, 2019 23:45 - 26 minutes - 12.3 MBA North Carolina court panel threw out the state's legislative maps as a partisan gerrymander this week. Nancy Martorano Miller and Dave Wasserman discuss the implications.
And Then There Were Ten
September 03, 2019 21:41 - 44 minutes - 20.3 MBThe crew discusses the dynamic of the third Democratic primary debate, in which ten candidates will face off on a single night. They also ask: good use or bad use of polling?
A Constitutional Crisis In Britain?
August 29, 2019 18:11 - 45 minutes - 20.9 MBHelen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to discuss Boris Johnson's suspension of parliament and the politics of Brexit.
The Winnowing Begins
August 26, 2019 21:23 - 48 minutes - 22.3 MBThe crew takes a look at who has dropped out of the Democratic primary and why. They also assess the political risk of a hypothetical downturn in the economy.
The 2019 Elections
August 22, 2019 15:04 - 30 minutes - 13.8 MBFiveThirtyEight elections analysts Nathaniel Rakich and Geoffrey Skelley join the podcast to discuss the races on the ballot in 2019 and the current national environment.
Elizabeth Warren's Comeback
August 19, 2019 21:39 - 55 minutes - 25.5 MBThe crew discusses how Elizabeth Warren gained ground after polling fifth or sixth nationally a handful of months ago. They also ask what's changed since the El Paso shooting.
Trump's Trade War Puts His Biggest Asset At Risk
August 15, 2019 04:07 - 37 minutes - 17.2 MBInternational economist Mary Lovely joins the podcast to discuss the effects of President Trump's trade war with China.
How Much Does Iowa Matter?
August 12, 2019 21:09 - 58 minutes - 26.6 MBFollowing a weekend during which the 2020 candidates flooded Iowa, the crew debates the significance of the first-in-the-nation caucus state.
"The Best Pollster In Politics"
August 08, 2019 04:32 - 34 minutes - 15.7 MBAnn Selzer, who conducts the "Iowa Poll" and has an A+ rating in FiveThirtyEight's pollster rankings, talks about the challenges of polling Iowa in 2020.
Can Trump's Words Incite Violence?
August 05, 2019 21:47 - 53 minutes - 24.4 MBThe podcast team discusses the weekend's mass shootings and the relationship between political rhetoric and violence.
Live From Detroit: The State Of The Race Post-Debates
August 02, 2019 06:15 - 1 hour - 32.8 MBThe crew discusses the debates and the state of the 2020 Democratic primary race in downtown Detroit.
Democrats Battle It Out
July 31, 2019 06:01 - 34 minutes - 15.8 MBThe left and moderate flanks of the Democratic Party debated big ideas in the second primary debate. Nate and Galen react from downtown Detroit.
Are Democrats Moving Too Far Left?
July 29, 2019 21:47 - 54 minutes - 24.8 MBThe crew debates the risks for 2020 Democrats of taking unpopular positions on issues like healthcare and immigration. The also discuss Democrats' next steps on impeachment.
Mueller Talks
July 24, 2019 22:48 - 36 minutes - 16.9 MBAfter months of back-and-forth with Democrats, former special counsel Robert Mueller testified before the U.S. House Judiciary and Intelligence committees on Wednesday.
Racial Resentment As A Political Strategy
July 22, 2019 21:57 - 58 minutes - 27.1 MBThe podcast crew discusses the role that racial resentment played in the 2016 and 2018 elections and debates whether Trump could use it to his advantage in 2020.
Who's Going To Win Pennsylvania In 2020?
July 18, 2019 21:21 - 38 minutes - 17.7 MBThe podcast heads to Pennsylvania to discuss the state's political trends and what they mean for 2020.
Trump's Racist Tweets
July 15, 2019 22:04 - 54 minutes - 25 MBThe podcast team discusses Trump's tweets appearing to target a group of congresswomen of color. They also debate the odds of a Democrat winning a Senate seat in Kentucky.
Exit Interview: Eric Swalwell
July 11, 2019 22:08 - 35 minutes - 16.3 MBRep. Eric Swalwell exited the presidential race this week. We ask him to be candid about his experience in an "exit interview."
Is Biden Still The Front-Runner?
July 08, 2019 21:42 - 47 minutes - 22 MBThe podcast crew debates whether Joe Biden is still the front-runner in the Democratic primary race. They also discuss Rep. Justin Amash's decision to leave the GOP.
The Verdict On The Debates
July 01, 2019 22:15 - 1 hour - 28.5 MBThe podcast crew digs into data about how voters reacted to the first debates. They also discuss the new sexual assault accusation against President Trump.
Harris Wins Narrative. We'll See About The Voters.
June 28, 2019 06:11 - 37 minutes - 17.2 MBThe crew reacts to night two of the first Democratic primary debates.
What Went Down At The First Democratic Debate
June 27, 2019 05:45 - 35 minutes - 16.4 MBThe podcast team reacts to night one of the first Democratic primary debates.
Lanes Emerge In The Democratic Primary
June 24, 2019 21:53 - 51 minutes - 23.5 MBThe crew re-assesses the significance of "lanes" in the Democratic primary and looks at Trump's Iran strategy.
What's At Stake In The Final Week Of SCOTUS Decisions
June 21, 2019 20:04 - 38 minutes - 17.6 MBLegal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins the podcast to discuss key decisions the Supreme Court has made so far, and what is at stake in the final 12 cases.
Who Is Persuadable In 2020?
June 17, 2019 21:44 - 53 minutes - 24.5 MBAs Trump kicks off his reelection campaign, the crew debates who is persuadable in 2020. They also discuss the Democratic primary debate lineups.
A Republican Strategist's Guide To 2020
June 13, 2019 20:05 - 44 minutes - 20.5 MBRepublican strategist and pollster Bill McInturff joins the podcast to discuss his report, "What Republicans Need to Know as We Move Toward the 2020 Election."
Is Elizabeth Warren Surging?
June 10, 2019 21:11 - 51 minutes - 23.7 MBThe crew examines whether the popular narrative of Elizabeth Warren's breakthrough is reflected in the data. They also discuss why Joe Biden backtracked on the Hyde Amendment.
The D.C. Statehood Episode
June 06, 2019 16:13 - 39 minutes - 18 MBRepresentative Eleanor Holmes Norton and Majority Leader Steny Hoyer join the podcast to discuss Democrats' efforts to make D.C. the nation's 51st state.
Are Voters Sexist?
June 03, 2019 21:30 - 53 minutes - 24.4 MBThe crew discusses what we know about how voters respond to female candidates and how the women running for president in 2020 are navigating questions about their identity.
Are Nationalist Victories Around The World Connected?
May 31, 2019 18:54 - 33 minutes - 15.4 MBUniversity of Cambridge professors Helen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to discuss what appear to be a string of similar outcomes in elections around the world.
Is Pelosi's Trump Strategy Working?
May 28, 2019 21:14 - 40 minutes - 18.7 MBThe crew discusses whether last week's back-and-forth between Pelosi and Trump achieved its reported goal. They also look at head-to-head polling in the Democratic primary.
What We Can Learn From Tracking Trump's Falsehoods
May 23, 2019 14:52 - 30 minutes - 13.9 MBThe Washington Post has been tracking every false or misleading claim Trump has made while in office. In this episode, we dig into the database.
Have Americans Changed Their Minds On Abortion?
May 20, 2019 21:23 - 59 minutes - 27.2 MBThe politics team examines Bill de Blasio's theory of the case, the rationale behind seemingly conflicting numbers on abortion and ask if Democrats can win the Senate in 2020.
Why Some States Are Passing New Abortion Restrictions
May 16, 2019 10:57 - 27 minutes - 12.7 MBAlabama Gov. Kay Ivey signed the most restrictive abortion law in recent U.S. history into law on Wednesday. It's part of a larger trend of changing state level abortion law.
The Politics Of Impeaching Trump
May 13, 2019 21:42 - 45 minutes - 21 MBThe crew debates the possible political repercussions for Democrats of moving to impeach Trump. They also look at how some on the left have tried to discredit a CNN poll.
Live From Houston: What Happened To The Bush GOP?
May 09, 2019 17:39 - 1 hour - 33.7 MBIn a live taping from Houston, Texas, the crew discusses how and why the GOP has changed from the party of Bush to the party of Trump. They also play a 2020 primary draft.
Live From Austin: Will Texas Be A Battleground In 2020?
May 07, 2019 03:17 - 55 minutes - 25.7 MBThe crew is in Austin, Texas, where they debate whether the Lone Star State will be a battleground in 2020. They also play a heated round of trivia.