Thoughts on the Market
1,164 episodes - English - Latest episode: 1 day ago - ★★★★★ - 1.2K ratingsShort, thoughtful and regular takes on recent events in the markets from a variety of perspectives and voices within Morgan Stanley.
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Episodes
Andrew Sheets: Supply Also Matters
February 07, 2020 16:37 - 3 minutes - 2.86 MBOn today's episode, Discussions about financial markets often center on issues of demand. Andrew Sheets takes a look at the supply trends that may impact debt and equity markets globally in 2020.
Michael Zezas: The Limited Lives of Multiple Narratives
February 05, 2020 22:44 - 2 minutes - 2.32 MBOn today's episode, Recent events have added little clarity to the policy choices U.S. voters will face in the November presidential elections, but that won't last forever.
Mike Wilson: The Tug of War for U.S. Equites
February 04, 2020 14:16 - 3 minutes - 3.59 MBOn today's episode, U.S. equities face concerns over global growth—caused by the coronavirus and other catalysts—but plentiful liquidity from the Fed. Thoughts on positioning from Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson.
Jonathan Garner: What Can SARS Tell Us About the Coronavirus?
January 31, 2020 21:41 - 3 minutes - 2.92 MBOn today's episode, To understand the impact of the Coronavirus on humanity, economics and markets, Chief Asia and Emerging Markets Equity Strategist Jonathan Garner draws parallels with the 2002 SARS outbreak.
Andrew Sheets: Coronavirus Affects the Narrative
January 30, 2020 21:37 - 2 minutes - 2.28 MBOn today's episode, Nations try to address the public health impact of the coronavirus alongside uncertainty about the global outlook for 2020. Perspective from Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist.
Andrew Sheets: Are More Countries Saying Deficits Don’t Matter?
January 29, 2020 16:52 - 3 minutes - 3.31 MBOn today's episode, Only a decade ago, market analysts and political observers were saying sovereign deficits were bad. Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets explains why that view may be changing.
Michael Zezas: Taxation Complicates U.S.-EU Trade
January 27, 2020 21:51 - 1 minute - 1.65 MBOn today's episode, Although the U.S and China have found a way forward on trade negotiations, a clear path for U.S.-EU trade is getting slightly more complicated.
Andrew Sheets: As 2020 Begins, Investors Get Optimistic
January 24, 2020 19:41 - 3 minutes - 3.14 MBOn today's episode, Skepticism was the prevailing investor attitude for most of 2019, but what a difference a quarter can make. So what changed? Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets talks changing sentiment as 2020 kicks off.
Michael Zezas: Do Incumbents Always Win with a Strong Economy?
January 22, 2020 22:00 - 2 minutes - 1.89 MBOn today's episode, How reliable is the maxim that a good economy means a presidential incumbent re-election? Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas looks at history.
Mike Wilson: Pressure Testing the Bull Case
January 21, 2020 20:47 - 3 minutes - 3.66 MBOn today's episode, Progress on trade and Brexit, upbeat sentiment and central bank support have investors optimistic on the bull case narrative. Even so, it’s worth a quick inspection for surprises.
Andrew Sheets: Remember Fundamentals?
January 17, 2020 20:37 - 2 minutes - 2.46 MBOn today's episode, Central bank support and low interest rates helped drive markets higher in 2019 despite lackluster earnings. But 2020 could remind investors why earnings trends are still what matters.
Michael Zezas: The Other Concern for U.S. Trade
January 15, 2020 16:23 - 2 minutes - 1.9 MBOn today's episode, Although negotiations are progressing for U.S-China trade, investors shouldn’t overlook possible tensions with another key trading region: The EU.
Jonathan Garner: An Underappreciated Turnaround Story?
January 14, 2020 17:00 - 3 minutes - 3.05 MBJonathan Garner, Chief Asia and Emerging Markets equity strategist kicks off his premiere episode with what is likely the most interesting—and overlooked—turnaround story in equity markets.
Mike Wilson: The Other Type of Income Inequality
January 13, 2020 21:26 - 3 minutes - 3.57 MBOn today's episode, Rising labor, regulatory and cyber security costs are weighing heavily on many small caps. Is corporate income inequality as urgent an issue as individual inequality?
Andrew Sheets: Mapping the Future of Oil Prices
January 10, 2020 18:52 - 2 minutes - 2.51 MBOn today's episode, Geopolitical tensions have driven oil prices—and volatility—higher. But a quick glance at 2022 oil futures prices can tell us a lot about the market’s longer-term view.
Michael Zezas: What’s Next on U.S.-China Trade?
January 08, 2020 17:44 - 1 minute - 1.79 MBOn today's episode, As a Phase One trade deal nears completion, can investors worry less about the risks of tariff escalations? Not so fast, says head of U.S. public policy Michael Zezas.
Mike Wilson: Weighing Fed Intervention, Geopolitics
January 07, 2020 04:15 - 3 minutes - 3.39 MBOn today's episode, As 2020 begins, central bank moves and reawakened geopolitical risk promise to be key market catalysts. Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson details the potential impact on portfolios.
Andrew Sheets: A New Chapter for the United Kingdom
January 03, 2020 18:00 - 3 minutes - 2.96 MBOn today's episode, For three and a half years, Brexit has been a source of uncertainty for the United Kingdom and its markets. Now, with some business uncertainty reduced, a new narrative may be emerging.
Mike Wilson: 2020 and the Return to Reflation
December 23, 2019 17:34 - 4 minutes - 4.01 MBOn today's episode, why escalating labor costs, deglobalization and central bank policies may mean positioning portfolios toward stocks that benefit from rising inflation.
Andrew Sheets: 3 Lessons from 2019… for 2020
December 20, 2019 18:57 - 3 minutes - 3.44 MBOn today's episode, What important factors from 2019 could give investors context on the investing climate ahead? Consider valuations, policy and inflation.
Michael Zezas: Markets Mull the “Phase One” Deal
December 18, 2019 20:56 - 2 minutes - 2.06 MBOn today's episode, What will the U.S-China “Phase One” trade deal mean for the global economy, corporate confidence and markets? Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas weighs in.
Mike Wilson: A Trifecta of Positive Catalysts
December 16, 2019 19:49 - 3 minutes - 3.38 MBOn today's episode, A dovish Fed, progress on trade and a path toward a potentially orderly Brexit are driving global equities higher but how much of the global recovery is already priced?
Andrew Sheets: 2020 Playbook: Analyzing the Bull Case
December 13, 2019 20:37 - 2 minutes - 2.61 MBIn this special two part bull/bear series, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets shares insight on the catalysts that could drive strong market returns in 2020.
Special Episode: Manufacturing Data Sends an Upbeat Signal
December 12, 2019 20:49 - 2 minutes - 2.37 MBOn this episode with special guest Chetan Ahya, the firm’s Chief Global Economist, Trade tensions have put a damper on global manufacturing, but is the tide poised to turn after the first broad-based sentiment uptick in seven months?
Michael Zezas: U.S.-China Trade: What Happens in 2020?
December 11, 2019 20:48 - 2 minutes - 1.89 MBOn today's episode, Although some reports have suggested progress on a phase one deal, markets are still seeking a clear signal forward on trade—and that means tackling the more difficult phase two deal.
Mike Wilson: The Virtuous Circle of Excess Liquidity
December 09, 2019 22:10 - 4 minutes - 3.84 MBOn today's episode, Central banks seem likely to continue their balance sheet expansion into next year, driving lower volatility, more cash into equities… and some great expectations.
Andrew Sheets: 2020 Playbook: Analyzing the Bear Case
December 06, 2019 20:43 - 2 minutes - 2.69 MBIn this special two part bull/bear series, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets shares insight on the catalysts that could hamper market returns in 2020.
Michael Zezas: How Do Close U.S. Elections Affect Markets?
December 04, 2019 20:06 - 1 minute - 1.73 MBOn today's episode, On average, election-year market performance varies by about 9% for elections that are narrow contests vs. elections with a clear frontrunner. So how could 2020 pan out?
Mike Wilson: A Volatility Reprieve
December 02, 2019 22:11 - 4 minutes - 3.78 MBOn today's episode, Whether it's called quantitative easing or not, the recent expansion in central bank balance sheets is having a profound impact on volatility - Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains why.
Michael Zezas: Optimism Over the U.S.-EU Auto Tariffs?
November 27, 2019 16:00 - 1 minute - 1.74 MBOn today's episode, With a key deadline for U.S. tariffs on EU autos now past, could European stocks outperform in 2020? Head of Public Policy Michael Zezas shares some analysis.
Mike Wilson: Global Reflation: To Be or Not to Be?
November 25, 2019 21:15 - 4 minutes - 4.16 MBOn this episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains why global reflation may be back—and could be a powerful longer-term theme for portfolio allocations.
Andrew Sheets: Commodities Outlook 2020: Too Much of Everything?
November 22, 2019 17:09 - 2 minutes - 2.39 MBOn this episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says oversupply may spell headwinds for commodities in 2020 but there are exceptions.
Michael Zezas: The 2020 Election: 4 Sectors to Watch
November 20, 2019 16:18 - 2 minutes - 2.03 MBOn this episode, Head of Public Policy Michael Zezas says performance in four key sectors could be a bellwether for how investors view the outcome of next year’s elections.
Andrew Sheets: As Global Growth Improves, What to Watch
November 18, 2019 20:05 - 3 minutes - 3.05 MBOn this episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says global growth should pick up in 2020, but unevenly. The key for investors will be identifying the right opportunities.
Andrew Sheets: Will Markets See End-of-Year Holiday Cheer?
November 15, 2019 16:19 - 2 minutes - 2.54 MBOn this episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets analyzes the historical phenomenon of the “end-of-year equities rally.” Will 2019 follow suit?
Michael Zezas: The Power of Unified Government
November 13, 2019 19:28 - 2 minutes - 2.33 MBOn this episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says a potential boost to the U.S. economy has less to do with political parties than it does a unified policy vision.
Mike Wilson: The Return of the Secular Bull Market?
November 11, 2019 20:07 - 3 minutes - 3.61 MBOn this episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson shares three reasons why equities markets have rallied over the past few months… and where they could go from here.
Andrew Sheets: A Tough Road Ahead for the 60/40 Portfolio?
November 08, 2019 19:12 - 3 minutes - 3.4 MBOn this episode, Chief-Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets continues his discussion on the 10-year outlook for the U.S. and Europe—and identifies the challenges ahead.
Michael Zezas: The 2020 Election Outlook for Investors
November 07, 2019 20:07 - 2 minutes - 2.18 MBOn this episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says one thing has become clear as we approach 2020: Investors need to plan today for market reactions next year.
Special Episode: Weighing a Global Growth Recovery
November 07, 2019 01:00 - 2 minutes - 2.33 MBOn this episode, special guest Chetan Ahya, the firm’s Chief Global Economist, says a global growth recovery could be possible in 2020… assuming two key forces align.
Mike Wilson: Amid New Highs, Uncertainty Remains
November 04, 2019 20:10 - 3 minutes - 3.44 MBOn this episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says the jury may be out on whether we’re at a trough for the U.S. economy, but two international markets may hold promise for investors.
Andrew Sheets: The Cost of Easy Policy: A 10 Year Outlook
November 01, 2019 19:55 - 3 minutes - 3.2 MBOn today's episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets takes a look at expected market returns over the next decade and explains how current policy affects future returns.
Michael Zezas: How Do Markets View Major Policy Proposals? (Replay)
October 30, 2019 18:39 - 2 minutes - 1.88 MBOn today's episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas takes a look at transformative policy proposals by 2020 Presidential candidates. How could big policies like Medicare-for-All reshape markets?
Mike Wilson: Are U.S. Equities Defying Gravity?
October 28, 2019 20:32 - 3 minutes - 3.19 MBOn today’s episode, a curious paradox: Although major indices are making new highs, many defensive stocks are leading the pack. Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains why.
Andrew Sheets: Can Sentiment Alone Drive Markets Higher?
October 25, 2019 16:11 - 3 minutes - 2.9 MBOn today's episode, Optimism in markets has risen significantly over the past three weeks. But Chief-Across Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets asks, “Is optimism enough?”
Michael Zezas: Could “Phase One” Be the Turning Point?
October 23, 2019 20:02 - 1 minute - 1.78 MBOn this episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas explains why a global growth rebound could largely hinge on trade negotiations ahead of the December 15th tariffs.
Mike Wilson: 5 Pockets of Opportunity for Equities Investors
October 21, 2019 20:35 - 3 minutes - 3.4 MBOn today's episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says investors may want to steer clear of expensive growth stocks in favor of some defensive and cheaper-priced stocks.
Andrew Sheets: One Market We Feel Good About
October 18, 2019 18:00 - 2 minutes - 2.47 MBOn today’s episode, Chief Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets highlights the one market in which the currency, government bonds and equities may all be solid defensive plays.
Michael Zezas: A “Durable Pause” on U.S.-China Trade Tensions?
October 16, 2019 16:29 - 2 minutes - 1.9 MBOn today’s episode, Head of Public Policy Michael Zezas says unlike prior tariff pauses, the “phase one” agreement could have durability. However, much uncertainty remains.
Mike Wilson: How Will the “Phase One” Trade Deal Impact Earnings?
October 14, 2019 19:38 - 3 minutes - 3.48 MBOn today's episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says the U.S.-China trade deal is a step in the right direction, but the real story is still the corporate profits outlook.