Thanks to everyone who participated. I hope it was an enriching experience as it was for me. If you want to improve your ability consider clicking some of the below mentioned (re)sources and reiterate to make them part of your thought processes.

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Specific play bias
The pull of the gimmick play
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iraaXJDt-rw
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Timeframe bias
https://twitter.com/YiskaOut/status/1043153322113417216
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Book recommendation: Nate Silver - The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
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Data set bias
Specifically scrims but also mentions
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UC5DDfVLhrQ
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#esportsfallacy
https://twitter.com/YiskaOut/status/950622080738955265

Twitter Mentions