Old Bull
127 episodes - English - Latest episode: over 2 years ago - ★★★★★ - 38 ratingsFrom American Civics Exchange, Flip Pidot hosts your insider's guide to political prediction markets.
Video versions of most shows available at OldBull.tv.
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Episodes
Polymarket Insiders - NFTs
September 16, 2021 18:14 - 33 minutes - 31.4 MBPolymarket recently debuted a new market category tied to the price of non-fungible tokens NFTs). They became a quick hit, offering traders a new way to speculate price direction and collectors a potential hedge against their holdings in some of the most popular NFT collections. Today, three Polymarket pros join us for an inside look at the brave new world of NFT futures trading. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and...
Polymarket Insiders -Tournament Finals!
September 08, 2021 17:38 - 32 minutes - 44.1 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrQJA5NMqU0. The stage is set for the final week of the Polymarket trading tournament, with AE News facings off against Lance Upper. AE himself, the perpetual underdog-cum-finalist and Crunch Wrap Supreme, tournament proprietor, join us live to discuss the final week's action and how you can join these ultra-elite traders on the road to Polymarket riches. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. All content and opinions...
Polymarket Insiders - Tournament Finals!
September 08, 2021 17:38 - 32 minutes - 44.1 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrQJA5NMqU0. The stage is set for the final week of the Polymarket trading tournament, with AE News facings off against Lance Upper. AE himself, the perpetual underdog-cum-finalist and Crunch Wrap Supreme, tournament proprietor, join us live to discuss the final week's action and how you can join these ultra-elite traders on the road to Polymarket riches. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. All content and opinions...
In Pursuit Of a More Perfect Forecast (with Global Guessing's Clay and Andrew)
August 12, 2021 18:40 - 1 hour - 62.1 MBFlip Pidot sits down with Global Guessing founders Clay Graubard and Andrew Eaddy to discuss their new prediction market newsletter & podcast Crowd Money, the secret recipe to superior forecasting, and why the industry is on the cusp of much loftier heights. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. Hosts and guests may hol...
Polymarket Insiders - Iron Finance 3
July 26, 2021 18:14 - 41 minutes - 38.5 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrQJA5NMqU0. Welcome to Polymarket Insiders on OldBull.tv, your source for live coverage of the global information markets platform. Avi Eisenberg rounds out our July crypto triptych, with parting thoughts on his enormous EIP-1559 win and the still-elusive fate of Iron Finance as that market hurtles toward its dramatic resolution. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. All content and opinions presented herein, whethe...
Polymarket Insiders - OH-11 Special
July 23, 2021 18:31 - 38 minutes - 35.8 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/sxEhZENAdT4. Welcome to Polymarket Insiders on OldBull.tv, your source for live coverage of the global information markets platform. Ohio’s 11th Congressional District will hold a primary on August 3rd. Bernie-backed Nina Turner was once the heavy favorite for the Democratic nomination, but Shontel Brown is now hot on her heels. J. Miles Coleman from UVA’s Center for Politics/Sabato’s Crystal Ball and Ray Nava from the Election Center help ...
Polymarket Insiders - Iron Finance 2
July 23, 2021 13:26 - 36 minutes - 33.8 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kL6bxmEt0-s. Welcome to Polymarket Insiders on OldBull.tv, your source for live coverage of the global information markets platform. Avi Eisenberg returns for an update on Iron Finance's prospects and the timing of the implementation of Ethereum's EIP-1559. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not b...
Polymarket Insiders - Is Iron Finance Still a Ponzi Scheme?
July 14, 2021 17:46 - 47 minutes - 44.1 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/mEn5fFlCFxA. Welcome to Polymarket Insiders on OldBull.tv, your source for live coverage of the global information markets platform. Last month, multi-billion dollar DeFi protocol Iron Finance suddenly collapsed in crypto’s "first large scale bank run." Will the newly resurrected Iron Finance v2 suffer the same fate? Our guest today made a killing in Polymarket’s first Iron Finance market by predicting the collapse. He’s here today to tell...
Polymarket Insiders - CPI Caramba
July 13, 2021 18:46 - 30 minutes - 27.9 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/QRhkg_qgggE . Welcome to Polymarket Insiders on OldBull.tv, your source for live coverage of the global information markets platform. Inflation just reared its head in a big way, coming in way hotter than economists expected. Today’s guest saw it coming though, as did his subscribers. For the 2nd month in a row, anyone following Chris Brunet’s inflation playbook scored big on Polymarket. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. All con...
Polymarket Insiders - Big Apple Havoc 2
July 02, 2021 20:13 - 1 hour - 57.5 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/cnx7Bah7y64. Welcome to Polymarket Insiders on OldBull.tv, your source for live coverage of the global information markets platform. The NYC mayoral race remains in a rowdy state of flux, thanks in no small part to the ongoing buffoonery of the Board of Elections. Mayoral candidate and serial noticer of BOE mistakes Aaron Foldenauer joins us to break it down. And Polymarket trader "AE News" offers an updated outlook on the race and how to...
Polymarket Insiders - Big Apple Havoc
June 30, 2021 19:16 - 42 minutes - 39.1 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/kIpLI8xG_1Y. Welcome to Polymarket Insiders on OldBull.tv, your source for live coverage of the global information markets platform. Iabvek's here to tell us how he and few fellow traders managed to mint a small fortune on yesterday's ranked vote report showing Kathryn Garcia in spitting distance of overtaking putative frontrunner Eric Adams. And City and State NY political reporter Jeff Coltin helps us make sense of the colossally incompe...
PredictIt Live: Does Adams Survive Retabulation?
June 29, 2021 18:09 - 21 minutes - 19.2 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/_aqHGCncoxU It’s been a week since the NYC mayoral primary and 1st round leader Eric Adams has seen his price steadily erode ever since. Traders are increasingly wondering if absentee ballots and ranked choice voting might tip the race to Kathryn Garcia. Jeff Coltin, political reporter from City and State NY, joins us to discuss. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit...
Polymarket Insiders - Live Premiere
June 28, 2021 19:46 - 44 minutes - 40.7 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/OG9qmOBC6z8. Welcome to Polymarket Insiders on OldBull.tv, your source for live coverage of the global information markets platform. Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by Insight Predict's Chris Brunet. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. Hosts and guests may hold and...
PredictIt Live: Hey, I'm Rankin' Here!
June 16, 2021 18:05 - 47 minutes - 43.8 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/NYI9myBk39s The NYC mayoral primary is Tuesday, with Eric Adams, Andrew Yang, Maya Wiley and Kathryn Garcia still in the running. PredicIt's got a slug of high-volume markets on the race and more could be on the way. Paul Butler from ranked.vote and Logan Phillips from racetothewh.com are here with your crash course on New York's ranked choice voting system and what to expect on Tuesday. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get starte...
PredictIt Live: Polling Market Resurrection!
June 15, 2021 17:57 - 38 minutes - 35.2 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aMSimXTWKP4 We’ve got your 1st look at the surprise return of polling markets. After a year in the wilderness, the wildly popular series returns today with a weekly market on Biden job approval. We've got a panel packed with polling market pros to get you up to speed. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 All content and opinions ...
PredictIt Live: Ousting Omar
June 11, 2021 18:19 - 23 minutes - 21.6 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/eMfuQE0UjKY We’ve got your 1st look at the new market on Ilhan Omar losing her committee assignments. Plus, a recap of last night's awful New York mayoral debate. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investm...
PredictIt Live: Speaker Trump
June 09, 2021 18:42 - 50 minutes - 41.4 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jxe-gIYlmKY (Apologies - guest audio is choppy at first, but it evens out.) Will Trump run for Congress in 2022, be elected Speaker of the House, orchestrate the simultaneous impeachment of Biden and Harris and thus find himself back in the White House ahead of schedule? The architect of that plan, Wayne Allyn Root, is here to explain. And Robert Martin from Lean Tossup returns to the panel. Follow us at http://twitter.com/...
PredictIt Live: Nuttycombe on Virginia / 1st Biden Judges Get Votes
June 07, 2021 18:03 - 5 seconds - 44.3 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/XZa8eZyQdSk We’ve got your 1st look at today's new markets, Chaz Nuttycombe from CNalysis predicts tomorrow’s Virginia primaries, and we try to count the votes for Biden’s 1st judicial confirmations. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only a...
PredictIt Live: Peru Holds Its Nose
June 04, 2021 17:52 - 30 minutes - 27.6 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n1vJ1jk6nfI We’ve got your 1st look at today's new markets and Iabvek sets you up for Sunday’s presidential election in Peru. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. H...
PredictIt Live: Senate Vote on China Bill
June 03, 2021 18:24 - 21 minutes - 19.3 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/RfYIaJO5go8 We’ve got your 1st look at today's new market on the Senate China bill vote. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. Hosts and guests may hold and/or plan to trade positi...
PredictIt Live: NJ Primary / Krishnamurty On Batley & Spen
June 02, 2021 18:11 - 35 minutes - 48.4 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/LfxEE4nTFaY We’ve got your 1st look at today's new market on the NJ GOP gubernatorial primary and Paul Krishnamurty on how to play the upcoming Batley and Spen by-election. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed ...
PredictIt Live: Election day in NM / New 1/6 Committee Market
June 01, 2021 18:18 - 39 minutes - 36.3 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/wHITlAhniQw We’ve got your 1st look at today's new market on the House vote on a January 6th Select Committee and how to play today’s special election in New Mexico’s 1st Congressional District. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and sho...
PredictIt Live - May 26, 2021
May 26, 2021 17:53 - 33 minutes - 30.3 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pVz7tIDbaH4 We’ve got your 1st look at today's new markets (the censure of Marjorie Taylor Greene and the New York Republican gubernatorial primary), new panel picks, and a gruesome picking through the smoking wreckage of the Jan. 6 Commission debacle. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 All content and opinions presented herein...
PredictIt Live: Censure of MTG / Cuomo Vanquishers Assemble
May 26, 2021 17:53 - 33 minutes - 30.3 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pVz7tIDbaH4 We’ve got your 1st look at today's new markets (the censure of Marjorie Taylor Greene and the New York Republican gubernatorial primary), new panel picks, and a gruesome picking through the smoking wreckage of the Jan. 6 Commission debacle. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv. Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 All content and opinions presented herein...
PredictIt Live: When PredictIt Met Kevin
May 24, 2021 17:37 - 10 minutes - 15 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pVz7tIDbaH4 Meet Kevin Paffrath: realtor, investor, YouTube star, candidate for California governor, and (now that his staff has discovered PredictIt), the hottest contract on the site. Judging by his market price, Paffrath has by far the best chance to unseat Gavin Newsom in the recall election. But can the million-strong "Meet Kevin" army do for Paffrath what the Yang Gang, the Bloomberg Boosters and the Romney Whale failed ...
When PredictIt Met Kevin
May 24, 2021 17:37 - 10 minutes - 15 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pVz7tIDbaH4 Meet Kevin Paffrath: realtor, investor, YouTube star, candidate for California governor, and (now that his staff has discovered PredictIt), the hottest contract on the site. Judging by his market price, Paffrath has by far the best chance to unseat Gavin Newsom in the recall election. But can the million-strong "Meet Kevin" army do for Paffrath what the Yang Gang, the Bloomberg Boosters and the Romney Whale failed ...
PredictIt Live: Senate's Turn To Vote On 1/6 Commission
May 20, 2021 17:55 - 5 seconds - 119 KBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/itkiTPjJA_s&T=2S Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions. Today, Gaeten Dugas and Pratik Chougule join Flip Pidot to handicap the S...
PredictIt Live - May 20, 2021
May 20, 2021 17:55 - 5 seconds - 119 KBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/itkiTPjJA_s&T=2S Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions. Today, Gaeten Dugas and Pratik Chougule join Flip Pidot to handicap the S...
PredictIt Live: Counting GOP Defections On 1/6 Commission
May 19, 2021 18:03 - 41 minutes - 38.7 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d1XHaCNvVvg&t=2s Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions. Today, we’re counting Republican defections in the still-u...
PredictIt Live - May 19, 2021
May 19, 2021 18:03 - 41 minutes - 38.7 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d1XHaCNvVvg&t=2s Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions. Today, we’re counting Republican defections in the still-u...
PredictIt Live - May 18, 2021
May 18, 2021 17:41 - 28 minutes - 39.6 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1eMA1C11zc Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions. Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by Pratik Chougule from Star S...
PredictIt Live - May 17, 2021
May 17, 2021 18:03 - 45 minutes - 62.6 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gM64I7EUA4o&t=22s Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions. Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Paul Krishn...
PredictIt Live - May 14, 2021
May 14, 2021 17:57 - 34 minutes - 47.9 MBCheck out the video version at https://youtu.be/4xHzIPsRZpA Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions. Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Pratik Chougule from Star Spang...
PredictIt Live - May 13, 2021
May 13, 2021 18:05 - 43 minutes - 59.1 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZahkJgv4SFc&t=71s Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions. Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Pratik Chou...
PredictIt Live - May 12, 2021
May 12, 2021 18:33 - 46 minutes - 63.7 MBCheck out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uOu0rCqUjSQ&t=14s Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25 It’s the premiere of PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics. We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions. Host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Pratik C...
All Noise, No Signal
March 16, 2021 14:30 - 50 minutes - 92.8 MBWe all know political polls are increasingly unreliable. That's why forecasting outfits like 538 aim to separate "the signal and the noise" by assigning grades to pollsters and weighting their forecasts toward those with the best grades. It seemed like a good plan. So why did it backfire so spectacularly? Flip Pidot, Peter Hurford and Harry Crane investigate Nate Silver's utterly failed attempt to distinguish good pollsters from bad. This episode was cross-posted from our sister podcas...
The Swift, Terrifying, Overdue Downfall of Gov. Andrew Cuomo
March 01, 2021 20:05 - 44 minutes - 82 MBIt's a special crossover episode with the Season 2 kickoff of Graft (graftpodcast.com), your favorite podcast devoted to New York political corruption. With scandals continuing to pile up, could covid prom king Andrew Cuomo's days in Albany be numbered? Traders on PredictIt have him at 60% to make it through the year. We think that might be generous... Follow us at @oldbulltv and @graftpodcast. Subscribe at oldbull.tv and graftpodcast.com. All content and opinions presented herein, whe...
Raising the Bar for Polling NYC and Vaccine Hesitancy
February 25, 2021 13:00 - 31 minutes - 58 MBFrom our sister podcast at the Open Model Project. Subscribe at OpenModelProject.org. Flip Pidot and Peter Hurford take a fresh look at the New York Democratic mayoral primary (where we're getting ready to field our first ranked choice poll) with a particular focus on the underloved candidacy of Maya Wiley. Later, Peter shares a rather gloomy theory about potential systemic error in polling of Americans' covid vaccine hesitancy. With your help, maybe we can do better... Follow along ...
What Was the Policy Analysis Market? (with Robin Hanson)
February 12, 2021 15:45 - 29 minutes - 54.9 MBIn the wake of 9/11, the U.S. Defense Department was putting the finishing touches on an intelligence project that would shortly be flogged and lambasted by the media and members of the U.S. Senate as "assassination and terrorism futures." Pearls were clutched, careers were ended, and one of the most interesting and ambitious prediction markets of all time was scuttled. Today, we hear the real story of the Policy Analysis Market, as Flip Pidot sits down with none other than Robin Hanson, t...
NYC Mayoral Candidates: Poked, Prodded, Weighed and Measured
January 29, 2021 10:00 - 49 minutes - 91.4 MBFlip and Peter are joined by City & State NY senior reporter Jeff Coltin for a look inside the campaigns of the 5 (maybe 6) top tier candidates for mayor of New York. Follow along with our interactive polls and forecasts at OpenModelProject.org. Follow us on Twitter at @OpenModelProj. If you'd like to see more independent forecasting and unbiased polling in your world, please consider supporting us on Patreon at patreon.com/openmodel.
Forecast Feud: Are Polls Useless or Just Bad?
January 22, 2021 16:37 - 48 minutes - 88.3 MBFlip Pidot moderates a fierce debate between Peter Hurford and Liam Donovan over whether election forecasters should purge polls from their models once and for all. Liam says send the pollsters packing. Peter says mend it, don't end it. Who wins? Listen and find out! Follow along with our interactive polls and forecasts at OpenModelProject.org. Follow us on Twitter at @OpenModelProj. If you'd like to see more independent forecasting and unbiased polling in your world, please consid...
Ranked Choice Voting and the NYC Mayoral Race (From Open Model Project)
January 18, 2021 10:00 - 35 minutes - 64.5 MBIt's Episode 3 of the OMP Podcast. To subscribe to the new standalone pod, check out https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/open-model-project/id1547340798 and find us on the web at OpenModelProject.org. We asked you to vote on what race you wanted next and it wasn't even close. The New York Democratic mayoral primary, set for June 22, is our next stop. With incumbent Bill de Blasio term limited, a huge and growing field of would-be successors are lining up, most prominently 2020 presiden...
The Model Went Down to Georgia (From Open Model Project)
January 11, 2021 11:14 - 57 minutes - 105 MBIt's Episode 2 of the OMP Podcast. To subscribe to the new standalone pod, check out https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/open-model-project/id1547340798 So how'd our prototype do in the twin Georgia Senate runoffs? Polling: bad. Forecast: not so bad. Hey, it's a process. It's also lots of fun. So join us as we vivisect the model and ponder how best to monkey with the assumptions, weights, and screens, as eye upcoming ballot brawls like the (possible) Newsom recall and the NYC mayoral...
Introducing the Open Model Project
January 04, 2021 22:34 - 23 minutes - 42.6 MBThe Open Model Project is an initiative of American Civics Exchange, aiming to bring radical transparency and crowd-based wisdom to traditional election modeling. In this sneak peek at the 1st episode of the OMP podcast, Flip Pidot sits down with pollster/forecaster Peter Hurford to discuss the inspiration behind the project, why we think it may help fix what's broken with black box forecasters, and what it all means for the Georgia Senate runoffs. Follow us at @openmodelproj and get your ...
The Map Room: 2020 Post Mortem
December 07, 2020 14:52 - 58 minutes - 54.2 MBVideo version at oldbull.tv/maproom. With (most of) the 2020 dust now settled, Eric, Jared and Nick take you on a coast-to-coast tour of the new electoral landscape. From the critical midwestern states that Biden managed to flip, to Democrats' dashed hopes in places like North Carolina and Texas, this super-sized episode brings you all the biggest upsets and letdowns, from the top of the ticket on down to the state legislative races that will help determine how the maps will get redrawn n...
The Art of the Possible: Mandu Reid
November 13, 2020 15:22 - 38 minutes - 28.6 MBEmerging from the rubble of the U.S. elections, Sarbjit and Matthew welcome Mandu Reid, Leader of the UK's Women's Equality Party. Having taken over as leader earlier this year, Reid is also her party's candidate in the 2021 London mayoral election. And Reid's doing everything she can to put her party out of business. Your hosts: Sarbjit Bakhshi, head of political markets at Smarkets @sarbjit_pol Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at Ladbrokes @shadsy Mandu Reid, Leader ...
The Morning After (with Harry Crane)
November 04, 2020 17:21 - 52 minutes - 72.3 MBVideo version at oldbull.tv. This live episode aired at 10:30 at ET on Old Bull TV on November 4th. We're live once again with Rutgers professor of statistics Harry Crane to review the bonkers prediction market tape from last night, to sift through the absolute wreckage left by the pollsters & forecasters, and try to get a handle on what happens next. Follow us at @oldbulltv and subscribe at oldbull.tv. All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for i...
Election Day Rewind: Election Whisperer LIVE (9-10 pm)
November 04, 2020 10:58 - 41 minutes - 57.1 MBThe live episode aired at 9 pm ET on The Cycle on November 3rd. Rachel Bitecofer is joined by Jessica Post and Flip Pidot for a live look at the wild election results pouring in as polls finally closed across most of the country. For more, check out https://thecycle.news. All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.
Election Day Rewind: Old Bull LIVE (5-6 pm)
November 04, 2020 10:57 - 1 hour - 106 MBVideo version at oldbull.tv. The live episode aired at 5 pm ET on Old Bull TV on November 3rd. Rutgers professor of statistics Harry Crane sits down with Flip Pidot to break down the election day numbers and compare the final forecasts of prediction market traders vs. data journalists. Follow us at @oldbulltv and subscribe at oldbull.tv. All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investmen...
The Election Whisperer: Turnout
October 21, 2020 17:52 - 25 minutes - 23.7 MBVideo version at electionwhisperer.com. In the electoral home stretch, one question looms large for every party and candidate on the ballot: how do we get our voters to vote? Turnout is always critical, but in this highly peculiar cycle, it stands to play an even larger role than usual. Rachel Bitecofer has assembled a panel to reveal what progressives are doing in 2020 to convert supporters into voters. Guests: - Alex Morgan, executive director of Progressive Turnout Project - Dia...