Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
225 episodes - English - Latest episode: 18 days ago -We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Episodes
Ep. 222: Boris Vladimirov on US Exceptionalism, Europe Risks and China Weakness
June 28, 2024 07:10 - 48 minutes - 112 MBBoris is one of the leading macro thinkers in the market. He is a managing director at Goldman Sachs. Before GS, he was partner and portfolio manager at Rokos Capital Management, Fortress, and Brevan Howard. Boris started his career on the sell side, which included working at UBS and Dresdner. Boris gives his personal opinions and not those of Goldman Sachs or any other organisations he is affiliated with. In this podcast, we discuss late cycle dynamics, concerns about China, impact on Eur...
Ep. 221: Vasileios Gkionakis on European Election Fallout, Fed and Fiscal Risks
June 21, 2024 08:57 - 39 minutes - 89.8 MBVasileios is Head of Europe Economics and Strategy at Aviva Investors – a £226bn global asset management firm. Based in London, he is responsible for monitoring and analysing macroeconomic developments and markets as well as formulating major asset class views, leading research and strategy in the UK and Europe. Previously, he held senior research roles at Citigroup, Lombard Odier, UniCredit Bank, BofA, Merrill Lynch, and Fulcrum Asset Management. In this podcast, we discuss the UK electio...
Ep. 220: George Selgin on Fed Independence, Poor Operations and Inflation
June 14, 2024 07:03 - 1 hour - 145 MBGeorge Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute and professor emeritus of economics at the University of Georgia. He is the author of numerous books, including ‘The Theory of Free Banking’, ‘Floored! How a Misguided Fed Experiment Deepened and Prolonged the Great Recession’ and ‘The Menace of Fiscal QE’. George is one of the founders, with Kevin Dowd and Lawrence H. White, of the Modern Free Banking School, ...
Ep. 219: Jason Furman on Inflation Persistence, Fed Policy and Debt Levels
June 07, 2024 06:54 - 40 minutes - 92.1 MBJason Furman is the Aetna Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy jointly at Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) and the Department of Economics at Harvard University. He is also non-resident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Previously, Furman served eight years as a top economic adviser to President Barack Obama, including serving as the 28th Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers from August 2013 to January 2017, acting as both Obama’s chief econom...
Ep. 218: Gordon Hanson on US-China Trade War, Immigration and US Elections
May 31, 2024 13:26 - 48 minutes - 111 MBGordon Hanson is the Peter Wertheim Professor in Urban Policy at Harvard Kennedy School (HKS). He is also chair of the Social and Urban Policy Area at HKS, a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Gordon’s current research addresses the causes and consequences of regional job loss, effectiveness of place-based policies in alleviating regional economic distress, and the labour market consequences of the energy transi...
Ep. 217: Mustafa Chowdhury on Surging Wealth, Hidden Bond Buyers and Fed Mistakes
May 24, 2024 08:22 - 44 minutes - 102 MBMustafa is a rates guru and member of the research team at Macro Hive. Before this, Mustafa was the Head of Rates, FX, and Derivatives at Voya Investments, where he helped manage $40 billion of assets. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director and Head of US Rates and MBS Strategy at Deutsche Bank. And in the 1990s, he was Co-Head of Asset-Liability Management at Freddie Mac, where he was responsible for managing one of the world’s largest fixed income derivatives portfolios and trading de...
Ep. 216: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Inflation Persistence, Immigration Surge and Trump Effect
May 17, 2024 09:53 - 38 minutes - 88.1 MBDominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, the IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics. This episode covers the two regime model of inflation, that financial tightening transmission is much weaker, why there is no recession, and much more. F...
Ep. 215: Nick Rohatyn on How to Navigate Emerging Markets Investing
May 10, 2024 06:56 - 51 minutes - 117 MBNick Rohatyn is Founder and serves as Chief Executive Officer of The Rohatyn Group. TRG is a global asset manager specialising in emerging markets and real assets, with over $8bn in assets under management. Prior to founding TRG in 2002, Nick spent 19-years at J.P. Morgan, including 5 years as a member of J.P. Morgan’s executive management team, holding a variety of leadership positions in emerging markets, foreign exchange, commodities, credit markets, and e-commerce functions. In this po...
Ep. 214: Lindsay Politi on Higher Inflation Regime, Recession Risks and Debt Dynamics
May 03, 2024 08:48 - 30 minutes - 70.2 MBLindsay Politi is Head of Inflation Strategies at One River Asset Management. Lindsay began her career at Wellington Management in Boston where she was head of Global Inflation-linked Investments. In that role she was one of the top TIPS managers by assets, managing over $10 billion in dedicated assets, with a top quintile track record for excess in her peer group. She then joined Tudor Investment Corporation in Greenwich as a discretionary macro investor, translating her inflation strateg...
Ep. 213: Bilal Hafeez on Fed Cuts, Dollar Strength and AI Hype
April 26, 2024 10:54 - 42 minutes - 96.4 MBBilal is the CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive. Before that, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge. This week’s podcast covers: whether the Fed will cut in 2024? What people are ignorin...
Ep. 212: Nick Baltas on Mastering Systematic Strategies from Alpha to AI
April 19, 2024 09:07 - 56 minutes - 130 MBNick Baltas is a managing director and head of R&D, cross-asset delta-one and commodity systematic trading strategies at Goldman Sachs. Prior to joining Goldman Sachs in 2017, Nick was an executive director in the quantitative research unit of UBS. Previously, he was a lecturer in finance at Imperial College Business School, a visiting lecturer at Queen Mary University of London, as well as a risk manager in a London-based hedge fund. This podcast covers: difference between alpha, beta, s...
Ep. 211: John Coates on How a Few Financial Institutions Control Everything
April 12, 2024 10:08 - 1 hour - 156 MBJohn Coates is the Deputy Dean of Harvard Law School. He has served at the Securities and Exchange Commission, and was a partner at Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz, specializing in financial institutions. He has testified before Congress and provided consulting services to the Department of Justice, the Department of Treasury, and the New York Stock Exchange. He is author of the ‘The Problem of Twelve: When a Few Financial Institutions Control Everything’. This podcast covers: the rise of ...
Ep. 210: Mark Koyama on What Makes Some Nations Richer Than Others
April 05, 2024 07:14 - 1 hour - 144 MBThis podcast is sponsored by Supernormal (Supernormal - AI That Writes Your Meeting Notes/https://supernormal.com/). Mark Koyama is Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University and Mercatus Center. Mark earned his PhD in Economics from the University of Oxford. He focuses on how historical institutions functioned and on the relationship between culture and economic performance. He is the author of several books, most recently ‘How the World Became Rich’ with Jared Ru...
Ep. 209: Darrell Duffie on Treasury Market Dysfunction, Dollar Dominance and CBDC
March 28, 2024 12:10 - 47 minutes - 110 MBDarrell Duffie is a leading expert on bond markets. He is the Adams Distinguished Professor of Management and Professor of Finance at the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University. He has been on the finance faculty at Stanford since receiving his Ph.D. from Stanford in 1984. He is author of several books, including ‘Fragmenting Markets: Post-Crisis Bank Regulations and Financial Market Liquidity’. He presented at the 2023 Jackson Hole Symposium. This podcast covers: key events tha...
Ep. 208: David Dredge on Inflation, Underpriced Risks and Sharpe Ratio Flaws
March 22, 2024 08:12 - 58 minutes - 135 MBDavid Dredge is the Chief Investment Officer of Convex Strategies, which is an agnostic value investor in volatility. David has over 30 years experience managing risk across global markets. Prior to launching Convex Strategies, David served as a Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Artradis Fund Management in Singapore, where he was responsible for the fixed income aspects of their volatility strategy. Earlier in his career, David built and ran Asian and Global EM trading businesses ...
Ep. 207: Dave DeWalt on Cyber Warfare, Attacks on US Election, and AI
March 15, 2024 11:31 - 46 minutes - 107 MBDave DeWalt is Founder, CEO, and Managing Director of NightDragon, an investment and advisory firm focused on growth and late-stage cybersecurity, safety, security, and privacy companies. Before NightDragon, Dave helped create more than $20 billion in shareholder value during his 15-plus years as President and CEO of Documentum, McAfee, and FireEye. That includes driving the most successful cybersecurity IPO ever in 2013 and leading the largest all-cash deal in technology history in 2010. ...
Ep. 206: Nigel Toon on How AI Thinks and How We Can Control It
March 08, 2024 08:00 - 1 hour - 139 MBThis podcast is sponsored by Supernormal (https://supernormal.com/). Nigel Toon is the founder of Graphcore, which builds unique IPU chips designed for AI. He sits as a Non-Executive Director on the board of the UK Research and Innovation Council and has sat on the UK Prime Minister’s Business Council. He has been ranked #1 on Business Insider’s UK Tech 100 and named as one of the ‘Top 100 entrepreneurs in the UK’ by the Financial Times. He is the author of the best-selling book ‘How A...
Ep. 205: Gary Gerstle on Unprecedented Trump, Unrecognised Biden, and Unusual Times
March 01, 2024 08:09 - 48 minutes - 55.3 MBGary Gerstle is the Paul Mellon Professor of American History Emeritus and Paul Mellon Director of Research at the University of Cambridge. He is the author and editor of more than ten books, including two prize-winners, American Crucible: Race and Nation in the Twentieth Century (2017) and Liberty and Coercion: The Paradox of American Government from the Founding to the Present (2015). His most recent book, The Rise and Fall of the Neoliberal Order: America and the World in the Free Market ...
Ep. 204: Claudia Sahm on Inflation Risks, Fed Cuts, and Recession
February 23, 2024 10:13 - 1 hour - 77.8 MBClaudia Sahm is a well-known, highly regarded, Washington-based expert on monetary and fiscal policy and forecasting. She has advised decision-makers at the Federal Reserve, White House, and Congress. She created a widely used and highly accurate recession indicator, the Sahm rule. Sahm is the founder of Stay-at-Home Macro (SAHM) Consulting. Previously, she was a section chief at the Federal Reserve and a senior economist at the Council of Economic Advisers. Sahm holds a Ph.D. in Economics f...
Ep. 203: Melanie Mitchell on Can Artificial Intelligence Beat Human Thinking
February 16, 2024 08:33 - 52 minutes - 60.1 MBMelanie Mitchell is one of the leading AI researchers in the world. She is Professor at the Santa Fe Institute. Her current research focuses on conceptual abstraction and analogy-making in artificial intelligence systems. Melanie is the author or editor of six books and numerous scholarly papers in the fields of artificial intelligence, cognitive science, and complex systems. Her most recent book is entitled ‘Artificial Intelligence: A Guide for Thinking Humans’. This episode’s podcast cover...
Ep. 202: Alberto Gallo on Trump, Fiscal Risks, and Market Outlook
February 09, 2024 09:26 - 44 minutes - 50.4 MBAlberto Gallo is Chief Investment Officer and Co-founder at Andromeda Capital Management. Prior to that, Alberto initiated and ran the Global Credit Opportunities fund at Algebris Investments. Previously, he ran macro credit research at RBS in London, and served in senior research roles at Goldman Sachs in New York, Bear Stearns in New York and London, and Merrill Lynch in London. In this podcast we discuss: the market being too focused on rate cuts, the importance of the new fiscal regime, ...
Ep. 201: Henry Ritchotte on Managing Banks, Start-Ups, and the New Investment Era
February 02, 2024 10:48 - 56 minutes - 64.8 MBHenry Ritchotte is the Founder of RitMir Ventures, investing in financial services businesses with a focus on regulatory- and technology-driven business models. Before that, Henry served as Chief Digital Officer of Deutsche Bank, creating the blueprint for a digital challenger bank within Deutsche Bank. Previously, Henry was Chief Operating Officer and a member of the Management Board and Group Executive Committee at Deutsche Bank. This episode's podcast covers: dealing with the 2008 financi...
Ep. 200: Julia Azari on Trump’s Dictatorial Powers, Biden’s Unpopularity, and US Elections
January 26, 2024 09:40 - 1 hour - 155 MBJulia Azari is Professor in the Department of Political Science at Marquette University. She holds a Ph.D in political science from Yale University. Her research focuses on the American presidency, American political parties, political communication, and American political development. She is the author of ‘Delivering the People's Message: The Changing Politics of the Presidential Mandate’. She is a regular contributor to FiveThirtyEight.com, Politico, and The Washington Post. This episode c...
Ep. 199: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Fed Slashing Rates and Trump Winning
January 19, 2024 09:10 - 25 minutes - 57.4 MBDominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, the IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics. This episode covers what has made Dominique switch from being hawkish to dovish on the Fed, low and high inflation regimes, the importance of energy prices and fo...
Ep. 198: Chris Rauh on How to Use AI to Predict Conflicts
January 12, 2024 11:33 - 49 minutes - 114 MBChris Rauh is a Professor of Economics and Data Science at the University of Cambridge. He works with complex datasets and applied methodologies, including machine learning and structural modelling. He co-founded conflictforecast.org and has conducted projects for Britain’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, the German Foreign Office, and the IMF. He’s also listed amongst the top 1% of Economists in terms of research output in the last ten years. This episode's podcast covers: th...
Ep. 197: John Floyd on the Biggest Trades and Risks for 2024
January 05, 2024 15:04 - 48 minutes - 111 MBJohn was previously Head of Macro Strategies at Record Currency Management, an $80 billion currency manager. Prior to that, John was Chairman and CIO of Floyd Plus Currency Fund. Before that, John was a Senior Macro Proprietary Trader at Deutsche Bank and Senior Portfolio Manager at the highly successful $3bn Swiss Bank Currency Fund. John’s successful track record in both macro and currency only investing spans over 25 years. John has also collaborated with psychiatrist, trading coach, and...
Ep. 196: Rerelease: Niall Ferguson on Cold War 2, Middle East Conflict and Woke Students
December 29, 2023 09:27 - 52 minutes - 120 MBThis podcast was recorded in March 2023. Niall Ferguson is the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a senior faculty fellow of the Belfer Center at Harvard, where he served for twelve years as the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History. He is the author of sixteen books. This includes the international bestseller, The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World. His most recent book is Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe. In addition to his aca...
Ep. 195: Bilal Hafeez on 2023 Surprises, Getting AI Right, and Best TV of 2023
December 22, 2023 12:06 - 50 minutes - 116 MBBilal is the CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive. Before that, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge. This week's podcast covers: the biggest surprises of 2023, why covering oil and China is ...
Ep. 194: Liang Ding on Can China Avoid a Hard Landing
December 15, 2023 09:12 - 33 minutes - 77.1 MBLiang is currently based in Shanghai and has close to twenty years of market experience as a currency strategist, China economist, portfolio manager, and quant analyst. He has worked for DWS, Sal Oppenheim, and Union Invest. This week's podcast covers: sentiment on the streets of Shanghai, how the China economy performed over 2023, more supply than demand, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive htt...
Shiloh Bates on Demystifying CLO Myths
December 08, 2023 09:56 - 41 minutes - 94 MBShiloh Bates is the Chief Investment Officer of Flat Rock Global in 2018 – a $750mn credit manager. Prior to joining Flat Rock Global, Shiloh was a Managing Director at Benefit Street Partners, and Head of Structured Products at BDCA Advisor. During his 20-year career, Shiloh has worked for several CLO managers and invested over $1.5 billion in CLO securities. He is the author of the recently published ‘CLO Investing – With an Emphasis on CLO Equity & BB Notes’. This week's podcast covers e...
Yesha Yadav on Crypto Bankruptcies, Stablecoin, and Treasury Market issues
December 01, 2023 09:43 - 43 minutes - 98.5 MBYesha Yadav is Associate Dean and Professor of Law at Vanderbilt University Law School. She is one of the world’s leading experts on financial and securities regulation. Before Vanderbilt, Yesha worked as legal counsel with the World Bank and before that she practiced regulatory and derivatives law at Clifford Chance. This week's podcast covers key bankruptcies in crypto from Celsius to FTX, crypto regulation and enforcement risks, and the impact of AI in financial markets. Follow us h...
Greg Lippmann on The Big Short, Latest US Housing View, and Finding Alpha in Structured Products
November 24, 2023 08:38 - 45 minutes - 104 MBGreg Lippmann is the Managing Founding Partner and the Chief Investment Officer of the $9.8bn asset management firm, LibreMax. Prior to founding LibreMax, Greg was head of all non-agency RMBS, ABS, and CDO trading globally at Deutsche Bank. His prescient call on the subprime crisis was immortalized in the book and film The Big Short. In the film, Greg is played by Ryan Gosling. In this podcast we discuss: what led Greg to believe there would be a subprime crisis, thinking about convex trades...
Charlie McElligott on Year-End Rally, Duration Buying, and Carnivore Diets
November 17, 2023 11:05 - 36 minutes - 83.2 MBCharlie McElligott is the leading expert on all things positioning, flow, sentiment, and quant factors. He is a Managing Director and Cross-Asset Macro Strategist for the Global Markets Americas business at Nomura Securities International, with more than 15 years’ experience in macro markets. Prior to joining Nomura, Charlie was Head of US Cross-Asset Macro Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Before that, he spent eight years at UBS. In this podcast we discuss: what was behind this year’s rate...
Dr Douglas Greenig on Trend-Following, the End of Pax-Americana, and Why He ls Long Volatility
November 17, 2023 09:33 - 57 minutes - 131 MBDr Douglas Greenig is the CEO, CIO, and founder of Florin Court Capital, a systematic, trend-following asset manager uniquely broad in its focus on over 500 markets. Doug has over 25 years of experience in portfolio management and trading. Prior to founding Florin Court, Doug started in markets on Goldman Sachs’ bond arbitrage proprietary desk through the late ‘90s after being hired as an Assistant by Fischer Black. Following this, Doug headed Agency Mortgage Trading at RBS Greenwich Capital...
Marc Goldwein on the Unprecedented US Budget Problem and How to Fix It
November 10, 2023 12:07 - 38 minutes - 88.4 MBMarc Goldwein is the Senior Vice President and Senior Policy Director for the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, where he guides and conducts research on a wide array of topics related to fiscal policy and the federal budget. He works regularly with Members of Congress and their staffs on budget-related issues. In this podcast we discuss: the scale of US debt and deficit, how COVID impacted spending, trends in healthcare, social security spending, and taxes, and much more. Fol...
Macro Hive Webinar: (The Weekly Call Recorded 1 November 2023)
November 03, 2023 10:23 - 38 minutes - 89.1 MBThis week we have a special podcast episode for you! Listen to the Macro Hive Pro Markets Webinar and hear the key views of our leading researchers on their respective markets. This week, US macro expert Dominique Dwor-Frecaut reveals her outlook on the Fed (pre-FOMC), EM strategist Mirza Baig presents his new Emerging Markets Vulnerability and Scenario Analysis report, which reveals the countries most vulnerable to declining global liquidity and higher rates hurdles. We also hear from...
Boris Vladimirov on Macro Volatility, US Yields, and Recession Risks
October 27, 2023 13:17 - 39 minutes - 89.6 MBBoris is one of the leading macro thinkers in the market. He is a managing director at Goldman Sachs. Before GS, he was partner and portfolio manager at Rokos Capital Management, Fortress, and Brevan Howard. Boris started his career on the sell-side which included working at UBS and Dresdner. Boris will be giving his personal opinions and not those of Goldman Sachs or any other organisations he is affiliated with. In this podcast we discuss: the impact of fiscal policy on growth, how rates s...
Daniel Rock on How AI Will Reshape Economies
October 20, 2023 09:23 - 40 minutes - 93.6 MBThis episode is sponsored by Masterworks (www.masterworks.art/macrohive) Professor Daniel Rock is an Assistant Professor of Operations, Information, and Decisions at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. His research is on the economic effects of digital technologies, with a particular emphasis on the economics of artificial intelligence. His research has been published in various academic journals and featured in outlets such as The New York Times, The Wall Street Jour...
Charlie McElligott on Everything Duration, Secular Growth Trades and US Elections
October 13, 2023 13:07 - 36 minutes - 83.2 MBCharlie McElligott is the leading experts on all things positioning, flow, sentiment and quant factors. He is a Managing Director and Cross-Asset Macro Strategist for the Global Markets Americas business at Nomura Securities International, with more than 15 years’ experience in macro markets. Prior to joining Nomura, Charlie was Head of US Cross-Asset Macro Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. Before that, he spent eight years at UBS. In this podcast we discuss: understanding the impact of low ...
Martin Lueck On the Scientific Investing, Trend Models and Macro Divergences
October 06, 2023 10:43 - 39 minutes - 90.3 MBMarty co-founded Aspect Capital, which manages over $8bn in a range of systematic investment solutions. He is the Research Director and oversees the Research Team responsible for generating and analysing fundamental research hypotheses for development of all Aspect’s investment programmes. He currently serves on the Board of the National Futures Association and as Chair of the Oxford Physics Development Board. Prior to founding Aspect, Marty was with Adam, Harding and Lueck Limited (AHL), w...
Jason Halliwell on Value Investing, Systematic Macro and Carry
September 29, 2023 08:37 - 44 minutes - 102 MBThis episode is sponsored by Masterworks Jason Halliwell is the head of GMO’s Systematic Global Macro team and a partner of the firm. GMO is a leading value-oriented asset manager with $60bn under management. Jason joined GMO in September 1999 from Westpac Investment Management where he spent three years in research and development of quantitative tactical asset allocation methods. In the podcast, we talk about equity views, why systematic works in macro, how to think about value investin...
Barry Eichengreen on Fixing the Debt Problem, Dollar Demise and Tech Impacts
September 22, 2023 10:20 - 39 minutes - 91.5 MBBarry Eichengreen, Professor of Economics and Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley, is a former senior policy adviser at the International Monetary Fund. He is the author of many books, including most recently “In Defense of Public Debt”. He was also a presenter at the Fed’s 2023 Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. In the podcast, we talk about the rise of debt around the world, how the structure of debt has changed, financial repression, and much more. Follow us he...
Phil Suttle on US Recession Risks, AI Impact, and BoJ to 1%
September 15, 2023 10:51 - 48 minutes - 111 MBPhil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we talk about what will cause a recession, surprise factory building, view on Euro-area and UK, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https:/...
Dominque Dwor-Frecaut on What Everyone Gets Wrong on Inflation, Recessions and Fed Policy
September 08, 2023 08:52 - 18 minutes - 42.3 MBDominique Dwor-Frecaut is a Senior Macro Strategist for Macro Hive based in Los Angeles. She has been producing alpha-generating trade ideas in FX and rates in EM and G10 at established and startup macro hedge funds in the US since 2011, including at Bridgewater. She has also produced in-depth analysis of central banks policies and procedures drawing on her experience at the New York Fed, the IMF and the World Bank as well as on the buy- and sell-side. Before moving to the US, she covered A...
Mustafa Chowdhury on Fed Policy, US Industrial Policy and Housing Risks
September 01, 2023 11:14 - 44 minutes - 103 MBMustafa is a rates guru and member of the research team at Macro Hive. Before this, Mustafa was the Head of Rates, FX, and Derivatives at Voya Investments, where he helped manage $40 billion of assets. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director and Head of US Rates and MBS Strategy at Deutsche Bank. And in the 1990s, he was Co-head of Asset-Liability Management at Freddie Mac, where he was responsible for managing one of the world’s largest fixed income derivatives portfolios and trading desk...
Professor Adrian Williams on Everything You Wanted to Know About Sleep [Replay]
August 25, 2023 08:48 - 1 hour - 59.2 MBDr. Adrian Williams is the UK’s first Professor of Sleep Medicine. Adrian graduated from University College, London, UK, and after a lectureship at The Cardiothoracic Institute, Brompton Hospital in 1975 took up an appointment at Harvard, Boston, USA, followed by an invitation to University of California (UCLA) in 1977. In 1985 Professor Williams became tenured Professor of Medicine at UCLA and co-Director of the UCLA Sleep Laboratory. In 1994 he returned to London where he developed the Sle...
Denise Shull on Emotions as a Dataset and Avoiding Investment Mistakes [Replay]
August 18, 2023 08:28 - 59 minutes - 52.9 MBDenise Shull is the Founder and CEO of ReThink. In that role, she uses neuroscience and modern psychoanalysis to help clients become successful in investing, trading, and leading teams. She has consulted on the development of Showtime’s BILLIONS, coached Olympic champions, and often appears on CNBC, Bloomberg and in the Wall Street Journal. Before ReThink, Denise worked in finance. She started at one of the first electronic trading firms in Chicago, then traded at Schonfeld Securities before...
Michael Schrage on How Recommendation Engines Create Value
August 11, 2023 08:22 - 47 minutes - 108 MBMichael is a research fellow with the MIT Sloan School of Management's Initiative on the Digital Economy. His research focuses on the behavioural economics of models, prototypes, and metrics as for managing innovation risk and opportunity. He is author of the award-winning book The Innovator’s Hypothesis and most recently Recommendation Engines. In this podcast we discuss the interaction of tech and capital, the architecture choice, time on board of Match.com, and much more. Follow us...
Bill Bernstein On the Four Essentials To Investing Successfully
August 04, 2023 08:11 - 36 minutes - 83.7 MBBill Bernstein is a neurologist turned investment advisor. He is also the author of several books, including The Intelligent Asset Allocator, The Four Pillars of Investing, If You Can: How Millennials Can Get Rich Slowly, and The Delusion of Crowds. Bill has just come out with a new edition of The Four Pillars of Investing. In this podcast we discuss understanding the business of investing, how to set up your portfolio at different ages, knowing your history, and much more. Follow us ...
Stephen Roach on US and China’s Accidental Conflict
July 28, 2023 08:36 - 33 minutes - 76 MBStephen is a faculty member at Yale University and former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia. He is the author of Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China and most recently Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives. In this podcast we discuss the problem with US savings, w hy Biden continues Trump policies, China’s failed rebalancing, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/...