The Lion's Edge artwork

The Lion's Edge

488 episodes - English - Latest episode: 5 months ago - ★★★★★ - 22 ratings

BetMGM handicapping expert Chase Kiddy dives into sports betting every week with knowledgeable guests. We're talking college football, NFL, hoops, baseball, tennis and more, with lines provided by the BetMGM online sportsbook. Listen for betting strategies, weekly picks and thoughtful analysis.

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Episodes

Best Bets: NFL Week 15 & FCS Playoffs

December 16, 2021 07:00 - 37 minutes - 34.7 MB

Thursday Night Football One side and one prop for Chiefs-Chargers. NFL Week 15 Breaking down our favorite bets for Rams-Seahawks, Falcons-49ers, Cardinals-Lions, and more games this weekend. FCS Playoffs Why Chase is on James Madison and Montana State this weekend. Celebration Bowl Betting against the narrative of Jackson State?

Value in Betting on Bowl Games

December 13, 2021 07:00 - 43 minutes - 39.5 MB

We open with Monday Night Football (Rams at Cardinals -2.5) before breaking down odds for the first wave of bowl games, including our favorite bets for: L.A. Bowl: Oregon State vs. Utah State Cure Bowl: Northern Illinois vs. Coastal Carolina Boca Raton Bowl: App State vs. Western Kentucky Gasparilla Bowl: Florida vs. UCF

Best Bets: NFL Week 14, Army-Navy, FCS Playoffs

December 09, 2021 07:00 - 46 minutes - 42.2 MB

Thursday Night Football Injuries and buy-low, sell-high spots for Steelers at Vikings (-3). Army-Navy Total plummeted but is now climbing ... can you take advantage of a public narrative on Unders for service academy games? FCS Playoffs Chase Kiddy gives betting advice on this weekend's four FCS games, including Montana at James Madison. NFL Week 14  Why we love the Bears-Packers under, debating the sides in Bucs-Bills, rolling with Washington, and making sense of funky numbers.

Early Leans for Playoff Odds, NFL Post-Bye Trends

December 06, 2021 07:00 - 32 minutes - 29.5 MB

Monday Night Football Is it finally time to bet against the Patriots (+3)? What's the right side for an over/under total that's plummeting for a cold, windy night in Buffalo? CFB Playoff Odds Breaking down our early leans for Alabama (-14) vs. Cincinnati and Georgia (-7) vs. Michigan. Should you bet Georgia because a different book had a look-ahead line of -9? NFL Bye Trends The bye week is often overvalued in NFL betting, but there's a sweet spot with road favorites after a bye.  

Favorite CFB & NFL Bets This Weekend

December 02, 2021 07:00 - 46 minutes - 42.5 MB

After opening with Thursday Night Football betting (Cowboys at Saints), we discuss our favorite odds for conference championships, including the SEC Championship and AAC Championship. Also, in Week 13 NFL betting: First-half plays on the Colts and Vikings, some ugly dogs, and more. Free Bets: $5 Free Bet if you leave a review for The Lion's Edge on your podcast player, screen shot and send to us on Twitter (@TheLionsEdge). Twitter Spaces: Friday at 3:30 p.m. ET  

Most Likely "You're In" Scenario for 7 Playoff Contenders

November 29, 2021 07:00 - 39 minutes - 36.3 MB

College Football Playoff We go line-by-line with seven College Football Playoff contenders – Georgia, Michigan, Alabama, Cincinnati, Oklahoma State, Notre Dame, and Baylor – with the most likely scenario that guarantees each a playoff spot. Monday Night Football Trends and betting strategy for Seattle at Washington. Lincoln Riley Riley's impact on the Pac-12, and what's the next program to take a gigantic swing on a hire? Conference Championship Odds An early look at odds, including a...

Best Bets: NFL Unders, Ohio State-Michigan, Iron Bowl

November 25, 2021 07:00 - 51 minutes - 47.4 MB

We give our favorite college football and NFL bets of the weekend, which include the Chase Kiddy STAMP OF GUARANTEE. Among them: Thanksgiving NFL unders, bizarre underdog lines for Michigan and Auburn,  sharp money on the Broncos, and more. Twitter Spaces: Saturday at 11 a.m. ET Mailbag Questions: @TheLionsEdge  

NFL Dog Trends, Oklahoma State's Playoff Path

November 22, 2021 07:00 - 43 minutes - 39.9 MB

MNF: Trends for dog of 10+, Tom Brady's ATS numbers as a big favorite, why Chase likes the Bucs to cover. NFL Dogs: Using trends to predict success for underdogs over the final seven weeks, the sweet spot for money line dogs, and more. Air Horn: KANSAS! CFB Playoff: Oklahoma State's playoff path is clear ... can they climb to the 3-seed? Florida: Ripple effect of Dan Mullen's firing.  

CFB & NFL Odds: Ugly Dogs, Ohio State, Bizarre Trend

November 18, 2021 07:00 - 58 minutes - 53.2 MB

We open with Thursday Night Football betting (NE-ATL) and the Virginia Tech opening before discussing our favorite college football and NFL bets this weekend, including: -Three hideous NFL underdogs -Back on Ohio State and Clemson? -Capitalizing on narrative games -Bizarre Pac-12 and Mountain West trend Twitter Spaces: Sunday at Noon ET  Mailbag Questions: @TheLionsEdge 

Which CFB & NFL Fans Are the Most Pissed Right Now?

November 15, 2021 08:00 - 40 minutes - 37.5 MB

From Texas and Florida to the Jets and UMass, we discuss which college football and NFL fans are the most pissed off right now.  Also: Predictions for Tuesday's College Football Playoff Rankings, and 5 bets across college football, college basketball, and the NHL. Mailbag Questions: @TheLionsEdge  

Best Bets for NFL & College Football This Weekend

November 11, 2021 08:00 - 48 minutes - 44.4 MB

Breaking down our favorite NFL and college football bets this weekend, including notes on Chiefs-Raiders, Ohio State-Purdue, Rams-Titans, and Tennessee-Georgia. Join us at 11 a.m. ET Saturday on Twitter Spaces (@BetMGM) for more college football betting talk. And send any mailbag questions to @TheLionsEdge on Twitter.

What the F*ck NFL, Simplifying CFB Playoff Debate

November 08, 2021 08:00 - 33 minutes - 30.8 MB

Monday Night Football: Breaking down trends, sides, and a potential first-half bet for the Bears-Steelers. What the F*ck was that? The Chiefs are trash, nice effort Bills, maybe the Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers aren't good... Air Horn: Vikings-Chargers, Louisiana-Troy Playoff Debate: Simplifying the scenarios by highlighting 6 remaining games. Mailbag Questions: @TheLionsEdge BetMGM Odds: NFL Odds & College Football Odds  

Favorite CFB & NFL Bets for This Weekend

November 04, 2021 07:00 - 54 minutes - 50.1 MB

We discuss our favorite NFL and college football bets this weekend, including breakdowns for the Packers-Chiefs, Titans-Rams, Auburn-Texas A&M, and Michigan State-Purdue.  Twitter Spaces: Thursday at 7 p.m. ET Mailbag Questions: @TheLionsEdge 

Why Cincinnati Will Be No. 2 in Playoff Rankings

November 01, 2021 07:00 - 47 minutes - 43.6 MB

Predictions for the first CFP Rankings on Tuesday: Sorting through the mess behind Georgia, and why Chase believes Cincinnati will be No. 2. Buying & selling NFL teams: Explaining why we're selling the Browns and Packers (seriously...just listen), buying the Steelers and Seahawks. Also: Revisiting the right read but wrong result on UL Monroe-App State. Air Horn: Army-Air Force UNDER Mailbag Questions: @TheLionsEdge Twitter Spaces: Thursday at 6:30 p.m. ET

20+ NFL & College Football Bets This Weekend

October 28, 2021 07:00 - 53 minutes - 48.8 MB

We run through Week 8 NFL and Week 9 college football betting, including breakdowns for Michigan-Michigan State, Iowa-Wisconsin, Cowboys-Vikings, and Titans-Colts. Also: Why Chase believes UL Monroe +27.5 is a steal and the book is begging you to take Boise State -2.5. Twitter Spaces: Saturday at 10:30 a.m ET Mailbag Questions: @TheLionsEdge

College Football Betting Trends & Strategy

October 25, 2021 06:00 - 48 minutes - 44.6 MB

Eight weeks into the college football season, it's time to reset the betting table: -Strategy of predicting covers for winless ATS teams -Historical rends for ATS winning & losing streaks -Garbage teams can cover -Checking in on our children, including Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Oregon State -Over/under trends  Twitter Spaces: Saturday at 10:30 a.m. ET Mailbag Questions: @TheLionsEdge

Best Bets for NFL Week 7, CFB Week 8

October 21, 2021 07:00 - 55 minutes - 50.5 MB

We run through more than 20 bets for this weekend, including UCLA-Oregon, Pittsburgh-Clemson, and Oklahoma-Kansas in college football odds, and Bucs-Bears, Raiders-Eagles, and Packers-Washington in NFL odds. Twitter Spaces: 10:30 a.m. ET on Saturday Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: NFL Odds & College Football Odds

LSU Search, NFL Teams Better & Worse Than Record

October 18, 2021 08:00 - 42 minutes - 38.9 MB

After opening Monday Night Football betting (Bills at Titans) we discuss Ed Orgeron's departure from LSU: Has a championship coach ever received less credit than Orgeron? LSU has money but is it actually a better job for someone like Luke Fickell?  How do you bet on teams with fired/interim head coaches? And NFL teams are better and worse than their record? Air Horn: Colorado State at Utah State Mailbag: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds & NFL Odds

Favorite Bets for NFL Week 6, CFB Week 7

October 14, 2021 07:00 - 59 minutes - 54.5 MB

We run through more than 20 college football  and NFL games to discuss our  favorite bets for the weekend, including several unders, the Chargers in Baltimore, Colorado's team total, and Air Force at Boise State. Air Horn: Indian Wells & Pacers' win total Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: NFL Odds & College Football Odds

Most Likely Playoff Scenario for Cincinnati

October 11, 2021 07:00 - 46 minutes - 42.9 MB

After the Alabama and Penn State losses, what is the most likely scenario that gets Cincinnati – with 100% certainty – into the College Football Playoff? We discuss the lowest possible threshold for the Bearcats. Also: Cashing out, weighing on-field concerns and scheduling for the Chiefs, revisiting NFL underdog trends,  and asking who's a real contender in the NFC. Air Horn: Chiefs-Washington and Indian Wells Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: NFL Odds & College Football Odds

NFL Dogs, Win-And-You're-In CFB Teams

October 04, 2021 10:00 - 54 minutes - 49.7 MB

We start with Monday Night Football betting and discuss: -PSA: Never pay for picks -NFL underdogs are winning at a staggering rate -NFL Tiers: 8+ teams in top tier of contenders -College Football Tiers: Parity below Bama-Georgia? -There are only 8 win-and-you're-in teams Air Horn: Early play on Bucs (-10.5) in Week 5 Mailbag: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: NFL Odds & College Football Odds  

Favorite NFL & College Football Bets This Weekend

September 30, 2021 07:00 - 59 minutes - 54 MB

Teaser bet on Lions-Bears, crazy movement for Chiefs-Eagles, funky lines for Wisconsin-Michigan and Boston College-Clemson, and more in this weekend betting preview for NFL and college football. Air Horn: Round Robin Under on Rookie QBs Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: NFL Odds & College Football Odds

CFB Playoff Picture, Top 2 Teams in AFC

September 27, 2021 11:00 - 46 minutes - 42.6 MB

After breaking down Thursday Night Football odds, we discuss college football: -We're done talking about Clemson -Oregon in a pole position for a playoff spot -There's a pool of 7 contenders beyond Bama, Georgia, Oregon -Are Arkansas and Ole Miss being unfairly evaluated because of upcoming schedule? And we look back at NFL Week 3: -Who are the top two teams in the AFC? -The Chiefs have real issues in a loaded division -Reality check for Bucs' team with flaws Mailbag Questions: @HighMoto...

Favorite Bets for NFL & College Football This Weekend

September 23, 2021 07:00 - 59 minutes - 54.5 MB

From the Thursday Night Football over/under and NFL game props to Wisconsin-Notre Dame and buying low on college football teams, we discuss  our favorite bets for this weekend. Air Horn: Steelers vs. Bengals First-Half Total Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: NFL Odds & College Football Odds    

Buying, Selling CFB Stock, Best 0-2 (& Worst 2-0) NFL Teams

September 20, 2021 13:55 - 1 hour - 60.5 MB

Should we ease the "Feels like 2007" comparisons for college football? But if this is 2007, who's Kansas? Which college football stock and are we buying and selling entering Week 4? It's not too early to say Clemson's problems are real. Who's the best 0-2 team in the NFL? And who's the worst 2-0 team? Shaky defense and AFC West landscape are concerning for Chiefs. AND: Early picks for Bucs-Rams and West Virginia-Oklahoma. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football...

25 NFL & CFB Bets for This Weekend

September 16, 2021 07:00 - 55 minutes - 51.2 MB

From the  89 NFL and college football games this weekend, we discuss 25 bets we're taking.  Including: Chiefs (-3.5), Boise State (-3.5), Cardinals (-4.5), Notre Dame (-7), Toledo (-14.5), and the under in the Raiders-Steelers game. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: NFL & College Football

10 Questions on NFL & CFB

September 13, 2021 13:40 - 59 minutes - 54.1 MB

We ask and answer 10 questions after Week 1 of the NFL and Week 2 of college football, including: How strong is the Pac-12 playoff picture? Long-term concern for Iowa State? Are the Chiefs and Browns clearly the best teams in the AFC? What's the power structure in the SEC West? Level of concern for Packers and Bills? Coming Thursday: Week 2 NFL betting, Week 3 college football betting Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: NFL & College Football 

Best Bets for NFL & College Football

September 09, 2021 07:00 - 56 minutes - 51.3 MB

Andrew Doughty and Chase Kiddy run through their favorite bets for Week 1 in NFL odds and Week 2 in college football odds, including Packers-Saints, Chargers-Washington, Broncos-Giants, and Iowa-Iowa State. $2K Parlay: $5, 16 legs, $2,200 payout Air Horn: Rutgers-Syracuse Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod Visit the BetMGM sportsbook for updated NFL odds and college football odds.

CFB Conference Resets & NFL Teaser Parlay

September 06, 2021 07:00 - 33 minutes - 30.9 MB

After Week 1 in college football, we go conference-by-conference in resetting the table and asking how much stock should be put into certain results, including Clemson's loss, Iowa's demolition of Indiana, and underwhelming wins from Iowa State & Oklahoma. Also, victory laps on UCLA, Vandy, and betting the Unders. The AIR HORN is back: How to create a unique parlay bet for Thursday Night Football. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod  Visit the BetMGM sportsbook for updated college football a...

38 Bets for Week 1 (Plus the $2K Parlay)

September 02, 2021 07:00 - 54 minutes - 50.2 MB

Chase Kiddy and Andrew Doughty discuss nearly 50 college football games (and giving 38 bets) and dropping the first $2K Parlay of the season. From the Minnesota-Ohio State UNDER and Indiana -3.5 (at Iowa) to Liberty -41 (vs. Campbell) and San Diego State (-31.5) vs. New Mexico State, listen to 54 minutes of rapid-fire college football betting breakdowns. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds  

Week 1 Leans, Week 0 Betting Lessons

August 30, 2021 07:00 - 33 minutes - 30.6 MB

Scott Frost might've lost his job in Week 0 but Saturday was otherwise uneventful from a pure football standpoint. It was, however, an important day for betting lessons. Chase Kiddy breaks down good lessons, takeaways, and reminders from the first five college football games of the season. And for Week 1: Reacting to line movement for LSU-UCLA after the Bruins' beatdown of Hawaii, and leans for Jacksonville State-UAB, Ohio State-Minnesota, and South Florida-NC State. Mailbag Questions: @Hi...

Best Bets of College Football Week 0

August 26, 2021 07:00 - 31 minutes - 29.1 MB

Andrew Doughty and Chase Kiddy break down betting odds for each Week 0 game and give their favorite bets for the first weekend of college football, among them: Illinois +7 (vs. Nebraska), Fresno State -27.5 (vs. UConn), and San Jose State -22.5 (vs. Southern Utah). Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds

20 College Football Predictions

August 23, 2021 07:00 - 45 minutes - 41.6 MB

1. Which under-.500 team from 2020 is most likely to win 10 games in 2021? 2. Which team with a win total of fewer than 6 is most likely to win 10 games in 2021? 3. Which 10-win team won't be THAT good? 4. Which preseason top-10 team is most likely to implode? 5. Who will be the first coach fired? 6. Which P5 program are you most certain will have a new coach in 2022? 7. What are your playoff predictions? 8. What's your favorite win total bet? 9. What's your favorite non-win total fu...

College Football Futures

August 19, 2021 07:00 - 37 minutes - 34.6 MB

We break down our favorite bets in Heisman odds, College Football Playoff odds, conference division winner odds, and more that we didn't discuss in our conference previews. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds

FCS Preview

August 16, 2021 07:00 - 41 minutes - 38 MB

Sam Herder (HERO Sports) joins the show for an FCS preview, talking about the FCS' most likely wins over FBS teams this year, the effects of a bizarre fall/spring season on this year's outlook, top tier of national championship contenders, and more. Sam Herder on Twitter: @SamHerderFCS Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds  

Group of Five Betting Preview

August 12, 2021 07:00 - 42 minutes - 38.6 MB

Cincinnati is the G5's best-ever chance at a playoff bid ... does that mean you should bet on it at +1100? We discuss Cincinnati futures and other odds in the American in a conference-by-conference Group of Five Preview that includes notes on Houston, ECU, Nevada, Coastal Carolina, and more. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds

SEC Betting Preview

August 08, 2021 07:00 - 33 minutes - 31 MB

Chase Kiddy explains why he's all over Ole Miss this season and willing to throw a dart on the Rebels to win the SEC. Also: Buying the Texas A&M over, trying (and failing) to find four wins on Vandy's scheduling, explaining why Georgia is the best value pick in SEC odds, and more. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds

Big 12 Betting Preview: Sorting Through Mediocrity Behind Oklahoma, Iowa State

August 05, 2021 07:00 - 37 minutes - 34.7 MB

In BetMGM's Big 12 Championship odds, there's a gigantic gap between Oklahoma/Iowa State and everyone else. Is it that simple? Will the Sooners and Cyclones roll to the championship game? Also: Debating over vs. under on Kansas, if Oklahoma's win total (11) is too big to take, and searching for value with TCU, West Virginia, and others.

Big 12 Betting Preview

August 05, 2021 07:00 - 37 minutes - 34.7 MB

In BetMGM's Big 12 Championship odds, there's a gigantic gap between Oklahoma/Iowa State and everyone else. Is it that simple? Will the Sooners and Cyclones roll to the championship game?  Also: Debating over vs. under on Kansas, if Oklahoma's win total (11) is too big to take, and searching for value with TCU, West Virginia, and others. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds

Pac-12 Betting Preview: High on Oregon & UCLA, Low on Colorado and Arizona

August 02, 2021 07:00 - 22 minutes - 20.8 MB

Why we're taking the unders on Arizona and Colorado, overs on Oregon, Arizona State, and UCLA. And differing opinions on Stanford.

Pac-12 Betting Preview

August 02, 2021 07:00 - 22 minutes - 20.8 MB

Why we're taking the unders on Arizona and Colorado, and overs on Oregon, Arizona State, and UCLA. And differing opinions on Stanford.  

Big Ten Betting Preview: Indiana to Win the Big Ten YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST

July 29, 2021 07:00 - 30 minutes - 28 MB

Chase Kiddy is buying ALL the Indiana stock this year, picking the Hoosiers to hit the over on 7.5 wins, beat Ohio State, and make a dark horse run at the Big Ten title. Also: Under on Nebraska, parlaying the Oklahoma ML vs. the Huskers, under on Purdue, and more in the BetMGM Big Ten betting preview.

Big Ten Betting Preview

July 29, 2021 07:00 - 30 minutes - 28 MB

Chase Kiddy is buying ALL the Indiana stock this year, picking the Hoosiers to hit the over on 7.5 wins, beat Ohio State, and make a dark horse run at the Big Ten title. Also: Under on Nebraska, parlaying the Oklahoma ML vs. the Huskers, under on Purdue, and more in the BetMGM Big Ten betting preview. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds

ACC Betting Preview: Buying Boston College, Miami, North Carolina

July 26, 2021 07:00 - 40 minutes - 37.1 MB

Why we're buying North Carolina (over 9.5), Boston College (over 7), and Miami (over 9.5), but not Florida State (under 5.5), Duke (under 4), and others. Also: Are North Carolina and Miami worth dart throws in ACC Championship odds?

ACC Betting Preview

July 26, 2021 07:00 - 40 minutes - 37.1 MB

Why we're buying North Carolina (over 9.5), Boston College (over 7), and Miami (over 9.5), but not Florida State (under 5.5), Duke (under 4), and others. Also: Are North Carolina and Miami worth dart throws in ACC Championship odds? Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds

10 College Football Questions

July 22, 2021 07:00 - 47 minutes - 43.9 MB

From conference realignment and the hot seat to concerns about Alabama's departures and a potentially great season from the Pac-12, we ask and answer 10 questions on college football. Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: College Football Odds  

Betting for Idiots: Reverse Line Movement, Types of Bets, What to Avoid

July 15, 2021 07:00 - 44 minutes - 40.4 MB

Chase Kiddy breaks down the basics of sports betting. From types of bets and watching for reverse line movement to mindset and things to avoid, the betting guide for idiots entering the football season.

Sports Betting for Idiots

July 15, 2021 07:00 - 44 minutes - 40.4 MB

From types of bets and watching for reverse line movement to mindset and things to avoid, Chase Kiddy reviews the Betting Guide for Idiots entering the football season. Submit Mailbag Questions: @HighMotorPod BetMGM Odds: NFL Odds  and College Football Odds

NFL Futures: Browns-49ers Super Bowl, Packers' Value, & More

July 12, 2021 07:00 - 30 minutes - 28.1 MB

We break down NFL futures by revisiting some BetMGM odds from the divisional previews and giving new futures we like, including a Bucs-Panthers finish atop the NFC South, 49ers-Browns Super Bowl, and more.

NFL Futures

July 12, 2021 07:00 - 30 minutes - 28.1 MB

We break down NFL futures by revisiting some BetMGM odds from the divisional previews and giving new futures we like, including a Bucs-Panthers finish atop the NFC South, 49ers-Browns Super Bowl, and more.

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Proof of Concept
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