Expected Points artwork

Expected Points

240 episodes - English - Latest episode: almost 3 years ago - ★★★★★ - 16 ratings

A brief look at insightful stats, trends, and trivia in the world of tennis. A daily podcast with Jeff Sackmann from @tennisabstract.

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Episodes

Daniil Medvedev Almost Cracks the ATP Top Two

February 22, 2021 11:12 - 3 minutes - 5.8 MB

Rafael Nadal has a fight on his hands to retain a spot just behind Novak Djokovic in the rankings, Naomi Osaka’s second-week performance at slams defies historical precedent, and Coco Gauff is no standard-issue qualifier at this week’s Adelaide International.

Daniil Medvedev Almost Cracks the ATP Top Two

February 22, 2021 11:12 - 3 minutes - 5.8 MB

Rafael Nadal has a fight on his hands to retain a spot just behind Novak Djokovic in the rankings, Naomi Osaka’s second-week performance at slams defies historical precedent, and Coco Gauff is no standard-issue qualifier at this week’s Adelaide International.

Looking Beyond #18 For Novak Djokovic

February 21, 2021 12:37 - 3 minutes - 5.89 MB

Djokovic brushes aside Daniil Medvedev with a performance for the ages, Roger Federer should get comfortable with the idea of a lower place on the all-time slam list, and a flurry of younger prospects have excelled this week at Challengers around the world.

Looking Beyond #18 For Novak Djokovic

February 21, 2021 12:37 - 3 minutes - 5.89 MB

Djokovic brushes aside Daniil Medvedev with a performance for the ages, Roger Federer should get comfortable with the idea of a lower place on the all-time slam list, and a flurry of younger prospects have excelled this week at Challengers around the world.

Naomi Osaka Wins Her Fourth Grand Slam Title

February 20, 2021 12:47 - 3 minutes - 5.72 MB

The 23-year-old Japanese star continues her dominance in the biggest matches, Rajeev Ram and Barbora Krejcikova are the king and queen of Melbourne doubles, and Daniil Medvedev enters tomorrow’s final with scary numbers.

Naomi Osaka Wins Her Fourth Grand Slam Title

February 20, 2021 12:47 - 3 minutes - 5.72 MB

The 23-year-old Japanese star continues her dominance in the biggest matches, Rajeev Ram and Barbora Krejcikova are the king and queen of Melbourne doubles, and Daniil Medvedev enters tomorrow’s final with scary numbers.

Daniil Medvedev Defies Another Unfriendly Crowd

February 19, 2021 12:35 - 3 minutes - 2.93 MB

The fast-rising Russian extends his array of win streaks, Sabalenka and Mertens win a farewell title, and Naomi Osaka looks ahead to yet another match against a player ranked outside of the top ten.

Daniil Medvedev Defies Another Unfriendly Crowd

February 19, 2021 12:35 - 3 minutes - 2.93 MB

The fast-rising Russian extends his array of win streaks, Sabalenka and Mertens win a farewell title, and Naomi Osaka looks ahead to yet another match against a player ranked outside of the top ten.

Naomi Osaka Makes the Hardest Things Look Easy

February 18, 2021 11:03 - 3 minutes - 2.8 MB

Osaka continues to be the only active player with Serena’s number, Jennifer Brady advances to her first major final by the narrowest of margins, and Novak Djokovic is back in his happy place.

Naomi Osaka Makes the Hardest Things Look Easy

February 18, 2021 11:03 - 3 minutes - 2.8 MB

Osaka continues to be the only active player with Serena’s number, Jennifer Brady advances to her first major final by the narrowest of margins, and Novak Djokovic is back in his happy place.

Stefanos Tsitsipas Climbs an Impossible Mountain

February 17, 2021 13:11 - 3 minutes - 5.65 MB

Rafael Nadal suffers a rare five-set defeat, Daniil Medvedev continues to beat the best in the game, and the 22nd and 25th seeds set up an unlikely women’s semi-final.

Stefanos Tsitsipas Climbs an Impossible Mountain

February 17, 2021 13:11 - 3 minutes - 5.65 MB

Rafael Nadal suffers a rare five-set defeat, Daniil Medvedev continues to beat the best in the game, and the 22nd and 25th seeds set up an unlikely women’s semi-final.

Novak Djokovic Unleashes Yet Another Weapon

February 16, 2021 13:57 - 3 minutes - 5.87 MB

The men’s top seed continues to battle through injury with an impressive display of serving, Serena Williams moves one match closer to her 24th slam, and no one is asking Aslan Karatsev the tough questions.

Novak Djokovic Unleashes Yet Another Weapon

February 16, 2021 13:57 - 3 minutes - 5.87 MB

The men’s top seed continues to battle through injury with an impressive display of serving, Serena Williams moves one match closer to her 24th slam, and no one is asking Aslan Karatsev the tough questions.

Russians Advance On a Day of Men’s Duds

February 15, 2021 10:47 - 3 minutes - 5.58 MB

The men’s fourth round concludes with two drubbings and two injuries, Karolina Muchova keeps on winning the close ones, and Bianca Andreescu leads the field in a de facto resuscitation of the grand slam consolation draw.

Russians Advance On a Day of Men’s Duds

February 15, 2021 10:47 - 3 minutes - 5.58 MB

The men’s fourth round concludes with two drubbings and two injuries, Karolina Muchova keeps on winning the close ones, and Bianca Andreescu leads the field in a de facto resuscitation of the grand slam consolation draw.

Simona Halep Survives a Scare and Stops a Streak

February 14, 2021 11:51 - 3 minutes - 5.84 MB

Iga Swiatek’s grand slam set streak ends, Aslan Karatsev goes from qualifier to quarterfinalist, and Hsieh Su Wei sets a new standard for what a 35-year-old doubles specialist is capable of.

Simona Halep Survives a Scare and Stops a Streak

February 14, 2021 11:51 - 3 minutes - 5.84 MB

Iga Swiatek’s grand slam set streak ends, Aslan Karatsev goes from qualifier to quarterfinalist, and Hsieh Su Wei sets a new standard for what a 35-year-old doubles specialist is capable of.

Rafael Nadal Remains King of the Left-Handers

February 13, 2021 12:35 - 3 minutes - 6.28 MB

Rafa records another in a long line of victories against his fellow southpaws, Jessica Pegula takes another big step forward, and the Australian Open starts a five-day spell without fans

Rafael Nadal Remains King of the Left-Handers

February 13, 2021 12:35 - 3 minutes - 6.28 MB

Rafa records another in a long line of victories against his fellow southpaws, Jessica Pegula takes another big step forward, and the Australian Open starts a five-day spell without fans

Dominic Thiem Out-Serves Nick Kyrgios

February 12, 2021 12:50 - 3 minutes - 5.83 MB

The third seed ousts a home favorite with a glittering serving display, the bottom half of the women’s draw is more than half full of former slam champions, and Su-Wei Hsieh wins an upside-down match against Sara Errani.

Dominic Thiem Out-Serves Nick Kyrgios

February 12, 2021 12:50 - 3 minutes - 5.83 MB

The third seed ousts a home favorite with a glittering serving display, the bottom half of the women’s draw is more than half full of former slam champions, and Su-Wei Hsieh wins an upside-down match against Sara Errani.

Kaia Kanepi Continues Her Giant-Killing Ways

February 11, 2021 11:01 - 3 minutes - 6.31 MB

Sofia Kenin’s Australian Open title defense ends at the hands of the Estonian upset master, Thanasi Kokkinakis offers four hours of evidence that he’s finally healthy, and Andy Murray toils 9,000 miles away at a Challenger in Italy.

Kaia Kanepi Continues Her Giant-Killing Ways

February 11, 2021 11:01 - 3 minutes - 6.31 MB

Sofia Kenin’s Australian Open title defense ends at the hands of the Estonian upset master, Thanasi Kokkinakis offers four hours of evidence that he’s finally healthy, and Andy Murray toils 9,000 miles away at a Challenger in Italy.

Serena Williams on Cruise Control, Just Like Old Times

February 10, 2021 11:10 - 3 minutes - 6.52 MB

Serena takes two easy steps toward her 24th major title, Reilly Opelka fires another barrage of aces in a losing effort, and Barbora Krejcikova opens her pursuit of a first unmixed title in Australia.

Serena Williams on Cruise Control, Just Like Old Times

February 10, 2021 11:10 - 3 minutes - 6.52 MB

Serena takes two easy steps toward her 24th major title, Reilly Opelka fires another barrage of aces in a losing effort, and Barbora Krejcikova opens her pursuit of a first unmixed title in Australia.

A Perfect Opener for Ashleigh Barty

February 09, 2021 10:52 - 3 minutes - 6.48 MB

The women’s top seed records a flawless start to the tournament, the experienced Feliciano Lopez withstands belated newcomer Li Tu, and Sloane Stephens finds a new way to lose.

A Perfect Opener for Ashleigh Barty

February 09, 2021 10:52 - 3 minutes - 6.48 MB

The women’s top seed records a flawless start to the tournament, the experienced Feliciano Lopez withstands belated newcomer Li Tu, and Sloane Stephens finds a new way to lose.

Andreescu and Kyrgios Post Strong Day 1 Results

February 08, 2021 12:14 - 3 minutes - 6.04 MB

Bianca Andreescu has a winning return after a 15-month layoff, Nick Kyrgios defies the odds with success on both sides of the ball, and almost everybody—even Bernard Tomic—gets through day one injury-free.

Andreescu and Kyrgios Post Strong Day 1 Results

February 08, 2021 12:14 - 3 minutes - 6.04 MB

Bianca Andreescu has a winning return after a 15-month layoff, Nick Kyrgios defies the odds with success on both sides of the ball, and almost everybody—even Bernard Tomic—gets through day one injury-free.

Time to Embrace the Russian Future

February 07, 2021 11:54 - 3 minutes - 6.09 MB

Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev place Team Russia at the top of the international heap, Felix Auger Aliassime’s final-round struggles continue, and Serena Williams chases a record that, adjusted for common sense, she has already passed.

Time to Embrace the Russian Future

February 07, 2021 11:54 - 3 minutes - 6.09 MB

Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev place Team Russia at the top of the international heap, Felix Auger Aliassime’s final-round struggles continue, and Serena Williams chases a record that, adjusted for common sense, she has already passed.

Garbine Muguruza Destroys the Field

February 06, 2021 12:32 - 3 minutes - 5.77 MB

Garbine Muguruza posts her fourth-straight easy victory, Felix Auger Aliassime is hitting untouchable first serves, and Sofia Kenin will have to beat the odds to defend her Australian Open title.

Garbine Muguruza Destroys the Field

February 06, 2021 12:32 - 3 minutes - 5.77 MB

Garbine Muguruza posts her fourth-straight easy victory, Felix Auger Aliassime is hitting untouchable first serves, and Sofia Kenin will have to beat the odds to defend her Australian Open title.

A Two-Match Day Leaves Karen Khachanov the Top Man Standing

February 05, 2021 10:54 - 3 minutes - 5.65 MB

Some of the biggest names on the women's tour advance via the just-instituted third-set match tiebreak, Khachanov will play Jannik Sinner in the only meeting between seeds in Saturday's men's semi-finals, and Tony Trabert leaves a legacy of excellent play and longtime service to the game.

A Two-Match Day Leaves Karen Khachanov the Top Man Standing

February 05, 2021 10:54 - 3 minutes - 5.65 MB

Some of the biggest names on the women's tour advance via the just-instituted third-set match tiebreak, Khachanov will play Jannik Sinner in the only meeting between seeds in Saturday's men's semi-finals, and Tony Trabert leaves a legacy of excellent play and longtime service to the game.

A Bad Day For Positive Tests

February 04, 2021 13:04 - 4 minutes - 6.87 MB

Thursday's action in Melbourne was canceled due to a positive coronavirus test, Dayana Yastremska won't be returning to action anytime soon, and Benoit Paire gets back in the swing of things with an ignominious service game.

A Bad Day For Positive Tests

February 04, 2021 13:04 - 4 minutes - 6.87 MB

Thursday's action in Melbourne was canceled due to a positive coronavirus test, Dayana Yastremska won't be returning to action anytime soon, and Benoit Paire gets back in the swing of things with an ignominious service game.

Carlos Alcaraz Is Not Your Usual 17-Year-Old

February 03, 2021 20:11 - 3 minutes - 3.26 MB

We begin the countdown to Roger Federer's return, a teenager goes where only Richard Gasquet has gone before, and a passel of grand slam winners fail to reach this week's quarter-finals. The pilot episode of Expected Points from @tennisabstract.

Carlos Alcaraz Is Not Your Usual 17-Year-Old

February 03, 2021 20:11 - 3 minutes - 3.26 MB

We begin the countdown to Roger Federer's return, a teenager goes where only Richard Gasquet has gone before, and a passel of grand slam winners fail to reach this week's quarter-finals. The pilot episode of Expected Points from @tennisabstract.