The Pathway to Victory for Trump & Biden w/ Politico’s Charlie Mahtesian

The Pathway to Victory for Trump & Biden

A huge thank you to Charlie Mahtesian for joining me and sharing his insight on the election.

Joe Biden is up in the polls, both nationally and in most swing states. But does that mean he has this in the bag? No. Trump still has a pathway to victory and it’s due to the electoral college and the math that goes with it.

Regarding polls, remember to look at the averages of polls, not just the individual polls.

Example of why the map looks so good for Biden. He’s competitive in Georgia and in the slight lead in Arizona. That opens up the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt. And there’s always that weird Nebraska electoral vote due to the way they allocate electoral votes (which is different from the rest of the country aside from Maine).

Trump is trailing in the swing states but some are in the margin of error. If luck goes his way, we could be in for a surprise. That said, Trump is in a defensive position. So much so that he’s trying to find votes in Minnesota and New Hampshire late in the game just to see if they could create some unexpected luck elsewhere.

Also, voter registration is up big for Republicans because they’ve been willing to go door to door. Democrats decided not to as a way to protect people from COVID. What does that mean for voting?

As for turnout, it’s huge for Dems so far, but Republicans aren’t too worried, especially in Florida, because they’re confident so many people will vote on election day.

The red mirage: that on election night, it looks like Trump won because his supporters will mostly vote in person and those votes will be counted first. Trump and others declare victory but it turns out that Biden wins. This is a huge fear of democrats.

Plus, how did the candidates perform in the final debate? HINT: They both did better. Watch to find out if it’ll have an impact.

Comment below with questions or thoughts!