Re-Opening: Understanding Risk, NY state antibody testing, Italian data
Two Bridges, One Bypass
English - April 25, 2020 03:00 - 9 minutes - 6.72 MBPlaces & Travel Society & Culture Leisure outer banks obx outerbanks nags head duck kitty hawk kill devil hills hatteras Homepage Download Google Podcasts Overcast Castro Pocket Casts RSS feed
North Carolina
https://www.ncdhhs.gov/divisions/public-health/covid19/covid-19-nc-case-count#by-age
Age of Infected:
0-17:2%
18-24:7%
25-49:40%
50-64:28%50-infinity: 52%
65+:24%
Deaths:
Deaths by Age Group
0-24 0%
25-29 4%
50-64 11%
65+ 85%
•Remember U.K. statistics: 2 or more co-morbidities is HIGH risk.
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Dr. John Campbell recap: 24 April 2020
N.Y. state antibody testing and Data out of Italy
N.Y state antibody testing
Link: https://www.dropbox.com/s/cd1628cau09288a/SARS-CoV-2_Serology_Manuscript.pdf
•Randomized, 3000 people tested for antibodies to COVID-19
•Grocery stores/ Shopping areas.
•19 counties, 40 localities.
•13.9% of tested were positive for the antibody.
•21% in N.Y. city, single digits in other areas.
•Use this as an initial test to compare to upcoming data, need trends=more confidence.
•CFR: 0.72% Deaths/ population NY state x 13.9%
Italy
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-decessi-italia
From a sample of 23188 lost souls to SARS_Cov2 (PCR tested)
Mean age: 79 y/o
Men: 63% Women: 37%
Co-morbidities: 61% had 3+ co-morbidities, 21% had 2. (82% 2+)
Most common co-morbidities:
•HTN: 69%
•CAD, Afib, Hx CA last 5y, Kidney issues: 20% range
•DM2: 30%
•Obesity: 12%
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Re_Opening Plans:
•Got to happen sometime
•We know the high-risk demographic
•The older with more co-morbidities
•Hand washing, masks to protect high risk, distancing
•Donning/Doffing