Turn Two Fantasy Baseball Podcast
192 episodes - English - Latest episode: almost 2 years ago - ★★★★★ - 54 ratingsFantasy baseball explained through sabermetrics and sarcasm by host Matt Williams of The Athletic.
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Episodes
Starting Pitcher Breakouts w/ Steve Gardner
April 27, 2022 17:25 - 1 hour - 87.9 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Steve Gardner of USA Today to discuss early season breakouts in fantasy baseball. - Detroit's Walk-off Nightmare - Rizzo Power Surge - Kyle Wright's Value - Buy High Candidates - Is Cody Bellinger Back?
Slow Starts & Low HR Totals w/ Grey Albright
April 20, 2022 20:02 - 1 hour - 84.2 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Grey Albright of Razzball to discuss: - Buy Low on Gerrit Cole? - Robbie Ray's Slider - Low HR Totals - Early Season Slow Starters - Pitch Clocks and Goofy Rules
Early Season Trends w/ guests Joe Pisapia & John Laghezza
April 13, 2022 14:57 - 1 hour - 102 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Joe Pisapia of FantasyPros and John Laghezza of The Athletic to discuss early season trends. - Players off to hot/cold starts - Metrics to minor early in the season - Early buy low/sell high
Players To Watch Early w/ guests Frank Stampfl and Sara Sanchez
April 06, 2022 19:32 - 1 hour - 91.8 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Frank Stampfl of CBS and Sara Sanchez of Bleed Cubbie Blue to discuss early season strategy in fantasy baseball. - Things to watch for - How to manage a roster during the first month - Players with a short leash - Award Predictions - Outlandishly Bold Predictions
Projection Outliers & Bold Predictions w/ guest Derek Carty
March 30, 2022 15:42 - 1 hour - 85.7 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Derek Carty, creator of The Bat and The Bat X, to discuss outliers in 2022 MLB projections. - How The Bat/Bat X differentiates from other projections - How to evaluate & project rookies - Outliers who should outperform ADP - Environmental impact of projections - 2022 Bold Predictions - "Draft Justin Turner or you are a bad fantasy player"
How To Find A Discount Ace w/ guest Nick Pollack
March 23, 2022 17:30 - 1 hour - 89.4 MBMatt (MattWi77iams) is joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) to discuss methods of locating a discount ace in fantasy drafts. - What analytics/metrics to watch for - The Andrew Heaney conundrum - Context is key for understanding - Using Stat Parameters to Locate Value - Opportunity, Stuff, and Consistency
Evolution of Analytics & Modern Fantasy Baseball w/ Ron Shandler
March 16, 2022 17:21 - 1 hour - 78.1 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Ron Shandler from Baseball HQ to discuss the evolution of analytics and modern-day fantasy baseball analysis. - How fantasy baseball has changed in recent years - Is there too much data? - Favorite analytics for hitters/pitchers - Tips for new fantasy managers - What is missing is data analysis? - How proposed rule changes can change baseball - Latest news in MLB
Bullpen Strategy & Saves w/ guests Greg Jewett & Doug Dennis
March 10, 2022 02:25 - 1 hour - 88.9 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Greg Jewett of The Athletic and Doug Dennis of Baseball HQ to discuss how to value relief pitchers in fantasy this season. - Are elite closers worth the investment? - FAAB/Waivers vs Draft & Hold - Closer Handcuffs - Talent vs Opportunity - Late Round RP Options - Elite Middle Relievers
Projected Lineup Discussion & How To Deal With A Delayed Season
March 03, 2022 02:30 - 1 hour - 82.1 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) was joined by Matty Kiwoom of SPStreamer and Christopher Torres to discuss how the delayed season may impact fantasy baseball and talk about some of their disagreements with popular lineup projections like Roster Resource. - How the delayed season may impact player value - Be careful with platoons when projecting playing time - Value could change drastically with activity following the lockout - Disagreements with Roster Resource - We've been Nootbaar'd
Opportunity Cost & Draft Strategy w/ guest Ariel Cohen
February 23, 2022 19:42 - 1 hour - 95 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Ariel Cohen, the creator of ATC projections, to discuss opportunity cost and how to apply it to draft strategy in fantasy baseball. - What is opportunity cost? - Using ADP & projections to your advantage - Positon/Category scarcity - Position by position examples
AL West Under/Overvalued Players with guests Nando di Fino & Russell Withers
February 16, 2022 18:32 - 1 hour - 91.9 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by guests Nando di Fino of The Athletic & Russell Withers of Armchair Roto to discuss the AL West. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Adolis Garcia, Noah Syndergaard, Justin Verlander, Shohei Ohtani, Jo Adell, Mitch Haniger, Spencer Howard, Jeremy Pena, and more!
AL Central Under/Overvalued Players with guest Jeff Erickson
February 10, 2022 02:39 - 1 hour - 101 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guest Jeff Erickson from RotoWire to discuss the AL Central. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Shane Bieber, Jose Abreu, Andrew Benintendi, Casey Mize, Tarik Skubal, Matt Manning, Adalberto Mondesi, Zach Plesac, Robbie Grossman, and...Brent Rooker?
AL East Under/Overvalued Players with guests Rob Silver & Jason Collette
February 03, 2022 04:02 - 2 hours - 154 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Rob Silver from the Launch Angle Podcast and Jason Collette from RotoWire to discuss the AL East. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Trey Mancini, Wander Franco, Teoscar Hernandez, Brandon Lowe, John Means, Kevin Gausman, Shane Baz, Aaron Judge, and more!
NL West Under/Overvalued Players with guests Vlad Sedler & Jorge Montanez
January 27, 2022 04:08 - 1 hour - 79.7 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Vlad Sedler from FTN and Jorge Montanez from NBC Sports Edge to discuss the NL West. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Julio Urias Cody Bellinger, Logan Webb, Charlie Blackmon, Mike Yastrzemski, Yu Darvish, Jake Cronenworth, Zac Gallen, and more!
NL Central Under/Overvalued Players with guests Derek Van Riper & Jenny Butler
January 20, 2022 02:38 - 1 hour - 88.8 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Derek Van Riper from The Athletic and Jenny Butler from Fantrax to discuss the NL East. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Jesse Winker, Nolan Arenado, Tyler O'Neill, Tommy Edman, Sonny Gray, Kyle Hendricks, Giovanny Gallegos, and More!
NL East Under/Overvalued Players with guests Chris Clegg and Peter Pratt
January 12, 2022 18:39 - 1 hour - 76 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Chris Clegg from Fantrax and Peter Pratt from the Locked On Marlins Podcast to discuss the NL East. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Pablo Lopez, Elieser Hernandez, Max Meyer, Jazz Chisholm, Pete Alonso, James McCann, Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Will Smith, and more.
How to WIN money at Best Ball
January 03, 2022 20:47 - 1 hour - 77.1 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss the strategy of playing best ball vs draft & holds & redraft. - High-volume vs Stand Alone - Price Point and Bankroll - Diversification Strategy - Find Your Advantage - How To Be Successful Long-Term
Our Process of Player Evaluation
December 22, 2021 17:10 - 1 hour - 85.3 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by John Laghezza (@MLBMovingAvg) to discuss our player evaluation process and how you can do you own player breakdowns. - Matt's player breakdown series - Batted Ball Data vs Plate Discipline - Noise vs Signal - Player Examples
Early Draft Season Strategy Session
December 16, 2021 16:48 - 1 hour - 87.5 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss the player pool and strategy to navigate early fantasy baseball drafts. A strategy after going: - Pocket Aces - Hitter/Hitter - OF/OF - How to attack RP - Best positions to be "weak" on - Favorite KDS
A Look Ahead: Outfield ADP (Part Two)
December 14, 2021 13:07 - 1 hour - 124 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP breakdown by taking a look at the outfield position (Part 2) and making predictions on value for next season. - OF's 50-100 in NFBC ADP - Massive tier if risky power/speed options - Conforto bounceback? - Boring production vs Upside - Raimel Tapia's outlook - Riley Greene & the DET outfield - Disagree w/ Steamer PT
Pre-Lockout Pandemonium - Which Players Gained/Lost Value
December 01, 2021 18:16 - 1 hour - 90.6 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) and @BrianJSeymour discuss all of the last-minute transactions before the lockout to judge which players have seen a boost or drop in fantasy value. - Mad Max to Queens - Mets OBP outfield - Semien/Seager to TEX - Ray vs Gausman - Late bargains for power
A Look Ahead: Outfield ADP (Part One)
November 24, 2021 18:46 - 2 hours - 157 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP breakdown by taking a look back at the outfield position and make predictions on value for next season. - Tucker vs Robert - Mullins a 2nd Rounder? - Yordan vs Judge - Teoscar Underrated - Is Carlson Worth His ADP? - Death by 1000 Papercuts
Fantasy Impact of Early Offseason Moves
November 18, 2021 18:42 - 1 hour - 110 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @ZackRoto & @MLBMovingAvg to discuss how early offseason hot stove may shape the fantasy baseball season. - Berrios extension & Current ADP - Berrios vs Stroman vs E-Rod - Verlander & Thor Outlook After New Deals - The Show Gets Gomber'd - Matt Olson's Ceiling - How to Value Seiya Suzuki
A Look Back at ADP: Third Base
November 03, 2021 17:30 - 1 hour - 98.5 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for third base and make predictions on value for next season. - How early to take JRam? - Worth paying up for Devers/Machado? - Where should Riley be taken? - Bounceback Candidates: Moncada, Hayes, Suarez - Bottom Heavy but Not Shallow
A Look Back at ADP: Shortstop
October 19, 2021 18:11 - 1 hour - 117 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for shortstop and make predictions on value for next season. - Tatis or Turner - Xander vs Seager - Tim Anderson always underrated - How early to take Wander? - Bounceback for Lindor? - Will Polanco repeat? - Rockies infield siutation
A Look Back at ADP: Second Base
October 13, 2021 17:39 - 1 hour - 91.8 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for second baseman and make predictions on value for next season. - Is Semien worth a 2nd round pick? - Albies vs Altuve vs Whit vs Lowe - Massive mid-tier - Marte's Health - Edman Undervalued? - 2nd Season for Jazz
A Look Back at ADP: First Base
October 06, 2021 17:30 - 1 hour - 103 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for first baseman and make predictions on value for next season. - Production vs ROI? - Should you invest in Vlad/Freeman? - Embarrassment of riches - Vlad vs Olson - Olson vs Alonso - Alonso vs Walsh - Walsh vs Mountcastle
A Look Back at ADP: Catchers
September 22, 2021 17:34 - 1 hour - 107 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for catchers and make predictions on value for next season. - Will Realmuto be a "value" next season? - How early should Perez go? - The catcher cliff - Matt changes his mind several times on Varsho - The value of at-bats
A Look Back at ADP: Starting Pitchers Part 3
September 15, 2021 18:05 - 1 hour - 93.2 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for starting pitchers and make predictions on value for next season. - Where Ohtani the SP should be drafted - Gallen bounceback? - Mahle solid/underappreciated? - Civale vs Stroman - Montas vs Peralta - Taillon post-Tommy John
A Look Back at ADP: Starting Pitchers Part 2
September 08, 2021 21:12 - 1 hour - 104 MBMatt (MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their preseason ADP review and make predictions on value for next season. - How early should you take Wheeler? - How to value Pablo Lopez if he does not return - Sonny Gray vs Framber Valdez - Charlie Morton: Ageless Wonder - Patrick Corbin...
A Look Back at Preseason ADP: Starting Pitchers
August 18, 2021 17:50 - 1 hour - 83.9 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) and @BrianJSeymour review preseason NFBC Main Event ADP to see what went right and what went wrong. - Preview 2022 Rankings - Predicting Early 2022 SP ADP - Strategy and Pitfalls in drafting SP early
Chasing Categories & A Discussion About Burnout
August 11, 2021 21:18 - 1 hour - 84 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) & @BrianJSeymour discuss how to attack stolen bases down the stretch in fantasy baseball and end with a discussion about mental health and burnout. - Under The Radar SB Options - Teams With Best SB Matchups - How To Leverage "Dead" Teams - Discipline to Make Hard Choices At the 42-min:42-sec mark starts a discussion on burnout, mental health, & its impact on fantasy sports/ real life.
Trade Deadline Value Shifts and Slow Draft Etiquette
August 04, 2021 17:04 - 35 minutes - 41.6 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss value shifts heading out of the trade deadline and slow draft etiquette - Braves crowded outfield - How to handle Kyle Gibson - Kimbrel vs Hendriks - Park Factors - Brian's Solution for Slow Drafts
K-BB Leaders Since Substance Crackdown/Trade Deadline
July 28, 2021 17:44 - 1 hour - 83.7 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @BrianJSeymour to discuss: - K-BB Leaderboard since June 21 Crackdown - Command and Home Run Suppression - Importance of using FIP vs xFIP correctly - SP to be worried about - Marte/Luzardo & Other Trades
Injury Analysis and Victory Laps
July 21, 2021 17:16 - 59 minutes - 69.4 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) break down injury analysis in fantasy sports. - Risk vs Value when drafting injury - Shocking PA comparisons - Human element vs Business Element - Prediction vs Blind Faith (The Vlad Jr Debate)
Rule Changes, Interleague Play, and Under The Radar Hitters
July 14, 2021 17:50 - 1 hour - 115 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @BrianJSeymour to discuss: - All-Star Game/ HR Derby - Rule Changes for 2021 - 7-Inning DHs, Man on 2nd, Shift - Interleague Play - Under the Radar Hitters
Player Analysis vs Strategic Analysis
July 07, 2021 17:27 - 1 hour - 79.3 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by his new co-host Brian Seymour (@BrianJSeymour) to discuss their different views on the importance of player analysis in different formats versus the use of strategic analysis in volume play. - Get to know Brian Seymour (4 min 44 sec) - Player Analysis Debate (15 min 48 sec) - Matt's 2nd Half Best Ball Draft (46 min 33 sec)
Foreign Substance Fallout: Arsenal Adjustments
June 30, 2021 18:02 - 1 hour - 110 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by John (@MLBMovingAvg) to discuss pitching performances during the first week of the foreign substance crackdown. - Breakdown of Matt's article - Change in Pitch Mix - Stuff vs Command - Sample size concerns - Buy, Sell, or Hold
Joe Girardi and How Infinity Stones Can Save Baseball
June 23, 2021 15:46 - 1 hour - 73 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) of RotoBaller to discuss: - Joe Girardi has a screw loose - Gamesmanship - Dungeons and Dragons - How The Shift Has Evolved in Baseball - Mike calls Matt Thanos - How/when to attack standings/categories in you league
How The New Baseball & Foreign Substance Ban Impact Fantasy
June 16, 2021 17:55 - 1 hour - 82.2 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino (@pmamminofantasy) of RotoFanatic.com to discuss the impact that the new baseball and foreign substance ban have on fantasy baseball. - Glasnow Injury - Bauer's Sweat/Rosin Argument - Registered RPM's - Reduced COR Baseball - The Fly Ball Problem - Not All Barrels Are Equal - Players Who Can Avoid Drag
Rest Of Season Outlook (Outfielders)
June 02, 2021 17:42 - 1 hour - 86.3 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss our rest of season outlook on outfielders. - Trade or Hold Casty? - WIll Adolis stay hot? - Canha Underrated - Mullins vs Meadows - Buy low on Soler? - Outlook on Yelich
Rest Of Season Lookout (Infield)
May 26, 2021 18:42 - 1 hour - 73.2 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano and Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss our rest of season outlook for infield hitters. - Can Posey maintain? - Vlad vs Freeman - Semien minus Dunedin - Chapman vs Riley - Jazz ceiling
Early Plate Discipline Standouts
May 12, 2021 18:07 - 41 minutes - 48.7 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano (@CarmsClubhouse) of RotoFanatic to discuss early season standouts in plate discipline metrics. - Evan Longoria renaissance - Cedric Mullins legit? - Eduardo Escobar's future - Buy low on Piscotty?
Pitching Analysis Using ERA Estimators
May 05, 2021 17:02 - 53 minutes - 59.5 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss StuffERA and ERA estimators for early season pitcher analysis. - Is Kluber back? - Believe in Luis Garcia? - Eovaldi's Blueprint - Trust Dane Dunning? - Pitchers to "Buy High" on
Strategy vs the MLB Batting Average Drought
April 28, 2021 18:02 - 38 minutes - 45.9 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano of @Roto_Fanatic to discuss the league-wide offensive struggle to begin the 2021 season. - Historical Marks - BABIP Variables - LD vs FB hitters - Players To Target/Avoid
Behind the Numbers - Early/Surprising Pitching Standouts
April 20, 2021 19:35 - 48 minutes - 53.6 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Chris (@baseballpods) to discuss early season pitching standouts crafted through custom early-season metric parameters. - Early look at O-Swing, Z-Contact, SwStr% - Narrow down the field through CSW, K-BB, and Barrel% - Surprising standouts and omissions - Check show notes for player list* All pitchers (42) have above league average O-Swing%, Z-Contact%, SwStr% (24)*also have CSW above 30% (18)**also have K-BB% above 20% (5)***also held opponents to ...
Fantasy Intervention w/ Dave McDonald
April 13, 2021 18:35 - 1 hour - 70.5 MBMatt Williams (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Dave (@RunDMCd) to perform a fantasy intervention after the first week of the season. - Player evaluation mistakes - Spirit of Buy Low/Sell High - Fast/Slow Starters - Revolving bench door
Early Season Bullpen & Closer Breakdown
April 06, 2021 21:33 - 1 hour - 83.5 MBMatt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Greg Jewett of The Athletic to discuss the current state of each MLB bullpen and hierarchy for saves - Breakdown every MLB bullpen - Arizona committee - No update on Rosenthal - Merryweather vs Romano - Left-handed Roadblocks
Week One Start/Sit & Streamers
March 30, 2021 17:06 - 1 hour - 88 MBMatt (@MattWI77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino (@pmamminofantasy) to discuss week one of the fantasy baseball season! - Shortened first week - 3 vs 4 game schedules - May/Price/Gonsolin - The Yastrzemski Line - CJ Cron vs everyone
Fantasy Baseball "Warm Takes" w/ MLBMovingAvg
March 23, 2021 17:41 - 1 hour - 93.8 MBMatt is joined by @MLBMovingAvg to discuss some "warm takes" in fantasy baseball. Basically hot takes that are confident have a chance to actually happen. - Alcantara vs Fried - Urshela top-10 3B? - Alonso returns value? - Willi Castro ROI - Wheeler > Snell? - Franmil Reyes hype