Storage Unpacked 240 – Predicting the HDD to SSD Transition Timeline

Storage Unpacked Podcast

English - November 04, 2022 12:00 - 44 minutes - 60.5 MB - ★★★★★ - 21 ratings
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Previous Episode: #239 – Unpacking the details of PCI Express 7.0 with Al Yanes

Next Episode: Storage Unpacked 241 – Kubernetes Database Performance Testing and Container Native Storage

In this episode, Chris is joined by Phison CTO Sebastien Jean to discuss the transition from HDD to SSD. As pricing for the two media types comes close to reaching parity, this conversation looks at how the two media are evolving and how NAND flash SSDs are set to become the de facto choice for the enterprise data centre. The transition to an all-flash data centre has been predicted for some time, however end game could be on the horizon as soon as 2025 or 2026.

The Phison blog discussed by Sebastien can be found here - https://phisonblog.com/

Elapsed Time: 00:44:01

Timeline

00:00:00 - Intros

00:02:45 - Predictions of the death of the hard drive are overdone

00:04:15 - Enterprise SSD prices continue to drop - but don’t HDDs do that too?

00:05:30 - 2020 was the cutover year for units produced (SSD vs HDD)

00:06:45 - HDD capacity growth has slowed

00:07:50 - SSD growth is being achieved with 3D techniques

00:09:15 - Floors could be used to increase layer count

00:11:00 - Latency is increasing in newer flash designs

00:13:05 - What is the “acceptable” limit for SSD capacity?

00:14:15 - Dense SSDs will be the norm with NVMe connectivity

00:15:30 - New form factors will drive greater drive capacities

00:17:00 - Is $/GB too simple a measure?

00:19:40 - SSD rebuilds are quick, avoiding the need for RAID-6

00:20:45 - SSD failure is not predictable

00:25:00 - Are HDD shipping costs relevant?

00:26:30 - How are the hyper-scalers using HDDs and driving change?

00:29:15 - Where do we go next - PLC?

00:32:00 - Could an entire SSD be dynamic between SLC and QLC?

00:35:45 - What about new technology Optane 4.0 or MRAM?

00:40:30 - Look out for CXL-enabled SSDs

00:42:40 - 2Tb NAND dies will bring HDD parity

The Phison blog discussed by Sebastien can be found here – https://phisonblog.com/

Elapsed Time: 00:44:01

Timeline

00:00:00 – Intros
00:02:45 – Predictions of the death of the hard drive are overdone
00:04:15 – Enterprise SSD prices continue to drop – but don’t HDDs do that too?
00:05:30 – 2020 was the cutover year for units produced (SSD vs HDD)
00:06:45 – HDD capacity growth has slowed
00:07:50 – SSD growth is being achieved with 3D techniques
00:09:15 – Floors could be used to increase layer count
00:11:00 – Latency is increasing in newer flash designs
00:13:05 – What is the “acceptable” limit for SSD capacity?
00:14:15 – Dense SSDs will be the norm with NVMe connectivity
00:15:30 – New form factors will drive greater drive capacities
00:17:00 – Is $/GB too simple a measure?
00:19:40 – SSD rebuilds are quick, avoiding the need for RAID-6
00:20:45 – SSD failure is not predictable
00:25:00 – Are HDD shipping costs relevant?
00:26:30 – How are the hyper-scalers using HDDs and driving change?
00:29:15 – Where do we go next – PLC?
00:32:00 – Could an entire SSD be dynamic between SLC and QLC?
00:35:45 – What about new technology Optane 4.0 or MRAM?
00:40:30 – Look out for CXL-enabled SSDs
00:42:40 – 2Tb NAND dies will bring HDD parity