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A friend and long time listener texted me this morning to ask a question: what did I think was going to happen with regards to the Ukraine War?

I have to be honest here, I am not very optimistic about it. History and human nature tell me that we both misunderstand and misapply the lessons of the past in such a way that cloud our judgment. In my view, we are being inexorably dragged into a world wide war that is going to make things very, very bad…