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How to make financial decisions in times of high uncertainty

Investopoly

English - April 15, 2020 22:00 - 16 minutes - 11.2 MB - ★ - 1 rating
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If there is one certainty in life, it’s that there’s always going to be some uncertainty.
Of course, there are times in our lives where there’s higher levels of uncertainty, which can be very stressful. But, to a degree, we all have to become comfortable with some level of ‘uncertainty’ and learn how to dance with it.
This is especially true with financial decisions. Markets never exhibit zero risk (i.e. no uncertainty). This blog considers how to financially navigate uncertain times, much like we are experiencing today.
Uncertainty can exist in three ways being (1) personal circumstances, (2) domestic uncertainty and (3) global uncertainty. Each is different and requires a different approach.
Personal uncertaintyPersonal uncertainly relates to your personal financial position. This can include things such as the risk of a change in your income, losing your job, unexpected bills, relationships and so on.
How to deal with personal uncertaintyWhen it comes to personal uncertainty, the best thing is to put all material financial decision making on hold. Typically, the uncertainty resolves itself within a few months or possibly a year. That is, your fears are either realised, or the risk evaporates. Either way, it is likely that sometime in the near future you will be able to resume normal decision making (management).
Remember, investing and building wealth is a marathon, not a sprint. There’s no need to put yourself under any undue time pressure. Instead, you must make deliberate and well thought out decisions – there’s no need to rush. However, of course, at the same time, you must consciously avoid unnecessarily procrastinating too.
It is possible (although rare), that the passage of time does not in fact eliminate the uncertainty. An example of this is when one of my clients was facing the prospect of his employer cancelling his project (i.e. redundancy) for many years. In this situation, we just had to accept this higher risk and proceed with implementing his financial plan. We held larger than usual cash buffers to mitigate some of these risks. In the end, the redundancy did eventuate, but not for many years.
Domestic uncertaintyDomestic uncertainty relates to matters that are unique to Australia. These can include things such as changes to taxation rules or economic health. A recent example o

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