2 YEAR POD ANNIVERSARY! Climate Change; Missouri Is b-a-n-a-n-a-s; 2022 Senate Races; Last Call preview

Previous Episode: Flyover View - July 8, 2022 - Heartland Politics News and Views

Next Episode: Missouri Draws Attention - A Chat With Mica Soellner of The Washington Times

Hosts Adam Sommer, Rachel Parker, and Sean Diller bring their particular analysis and "middle out approach" to issues from and impacting the heartland of America and politics.

1. Adam's Open - "The Decent of Descent"
2. Climate Change Impacting Heartland Voters?
3. Missouri Senate Race, 2022 - Holy Shit, and Trump weighed in
4. 2022 Midterms - Senate update
5. Last Call Preview

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True or False: An very dry and hot June in the midwest helps move the needle for climate change with heartland voters?

People glued themselves to art in London

https://twitter.com/davenewworld_2/status/1544422582337912840?s=20&t=EkRBsMXkzwzjISbSyOOhRA

Lake Mead has become so dried up people are treasure hunting

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/06/27/lake-mead-reservoir-drought/

The Midwest resettlement for climate refugees?

Yeah…No… The Missouri Senate Race - Real Clear Politics has moved this race to LEANS GOP

Ad spending is at $10 Million in the primary alone https://missouriindependent.com/2022/07/07/tv-ad-spending-approaches-10-million-in-missouri-u-s-senate-primary/

Eric Schmitt’s desperate flame thrower ad

https://twitter.com/Eric_Schmitt/status/1544331405013942276?s=20&t=qKzOZTBdwxwkB_a5jcx3WA

Friend calls on Greitens to drop out https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/old-friend-calls-on-greitens-to-drop-out-of-missouri-s-us-senate-race/article_ebf2bde7-1cbc-5af1-a743-6e8a8b83d061.html#tracking-source=home-top-story?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter_stltoday

“Independent Candidate” John Wood, who supports Mitch McConnell https://www.businessinsider.com/jack-danforth-john-wood-missouri-senate-alternative-eric-greitens-2022-6

Debate for Dems was set up for only Kunce and TBV, excluding the rest of the entire field

https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/no-trudy-busch-valentine-no-tv-debate/article_4e3a18ac-1634-5937-9786-7bdedecb1a0b.html

Screen shot of the “polling” used to determine viable candidates paired with having enough individual donors

Great example of the kind of behavior that burns trust in Media and discourages folks from running who aren’t already established with access or the money to buy that access

Our updated twitter polling

2022 Midterms Decision Desk Check In - Senate edition

Five thirty Eight forecast for reference:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

Real Clear Politics Map for Senate

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map.html

Iowa - Grassley looks to have it in the bag

Indiana - Todd Young (R) over Thomas McDermott

Wisconsin - still a primary to finish but looks like Ron Johnson (Trump connected) v. Mandela Barnes (D)

Ohio - JD Vance currently favored over Tim Ryan in about ta 10 pt race but some polling shows different

https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1544814878237638657?s=21&t=Wd0W8oZMPnuohGJkzfm2dg

Nevada - Catherine Cortez Masto (D) narrow favorite over Adam Paul Laxat

Pennsylvania - Fetterman (D) v. Oz - toss up state

Oz misspelled his alleged home county

One poll in June from USA today showed Fetterman at +9

Arizona - Rated as a toss up - Mark Kelly, an astronaut, up for reelection after the special election in 2020 which he won, this time against Blake Masters most likely, their primary is in August

Nothing super recent but all prior polling showed Kelly as likely winner

Georgia - Herschel Walker (r) v. Raphael Warnock - somehow a tossup

Other states not mentioned: Kansas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kentucky all have races but would need some kind of massive shift to be in play at all

Reports of Walker lying to campaign staff about his undisclosed children

Recent polling shows from a tie to as much as +10 for Warnock

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Co-Hosts
Adam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Post)

Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Threads)

Sean Diller (no social)