In this week’s podcast Grizzle was joined by Warren Pies, the Co-founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to help us make sense of both the equity and commodity markets, and why he believes we are in the midst of a bear market rally. Key topics discussed:




Why The Market Hasn't Bottomed  

Earnings Still Falling
Yield Curve Still Inverted
Fed Still Hiking
Lack of Market Breadth

Why Pies Remains Long Oil

Inventory Draws Are Improving  
OPEC Cuts Take Effect in May
China Demand Picking Up
US Recession Won’t Be Drastic

Will The Fed Pause?

Historically Fed Doesn’t Pause When Markets Rally
5-10% Correction Comes at End of Hike Cycle
What Happens in June Will Be Dictated By Market Performance  
If CPI Remains Sticky A Pause From The Fed Will Be Harder

3Fourteen Research: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/WarrenPies / https://twitter.com/3F_Research


Grizzle Research & Quant Substack: https://grizzleresearch.substack.com


Follow Grizzle on Twitter: @grizzlemedia @margot_rubin @thomasg_grizzle @scottw_grizzle





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