Episode 842 Part 1 - What to Look For

Host: Justin Mason @JustinMasonFWFB
Co-Host: Dave McDonald @RunDMCD

Recent MLB NewsArraez traded to SDParker Meadows demoted to AAABuxton knee to ILMusgrove elbow inflammation ILKwan hamstring ILLangford hamstring ILLane Thomas knee ILTrout knee IL - “should be back this season”Evan Phillips hamstring ILYelich, Bellinger, Suzuki, Sano all getting close to returning later this week or nextSteele back, Ben Brown to bullpen, Wesneski staying in rotation for nowWoo, Garrett, Pivetta and Bello likely returning this weekChristian Scott, Mason Black, Jack Leiter, Jordan Beck, Joey Loperfido, Tyler Black, Kyle Manzardo, Bryan Ramos, PCA all upGasser coming up to start Friday?Skenes not coming up this week?Holliday, Mervis, Clase, Jordan Walker sent down
What to look for at this point in the season:PitchersSIERA not ERAWHIP will stabilize eventually but it’s too earlyKs and BBs stabilize early, but SwStrk% is more telling for Ks earlyCheck HR rate, BABIP and LOB% for luckHittersCheck AVG vs xBAFor AVG look at Contact% Z-Con% LD% BABIP HH% K% not AVGFor power, look at EV50, Pull%, barrel%, FB%, HR/FB not HRsAlso look at historical results and compare how they’re doing in these stats vs historical trendsHave to be able to figure out what just looks like a hot streak and what’s sustainable legitimate growthAdell: K% and SwStrk% way down, barrel% and HH% way up, contact% way up, Z-Con% way up, BABIP normal
Don’t just look at results - look under the hoodConnor Wong vs Logan O’HoppeWong: 98.9 EV50 (206) / HH: 33% / 6.7% barrel / xBA .248O’Hoppe: 100.6 EV50 (100) / HH: 47% / 8.3% barrel / xBA .270check HR/FB, BABIP

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