The Fed Put Still Lives | Vincent Daniel

Vincent Daniel of Seawolf Capital returns to Forward Guidance to share his latest thinking on bank stocks, market structure, and long/short investing.
Immortalized in “The Big Short,” Vincent’s interview with Jack and his partner Porter Collins in January 2022 can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b_HCd0ir3k&t=10s
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Today's show is sponsored by Public.com: Get a 5.4% yield when you open a government-backed Treasury Account by going to https://public.com/forwardguidance
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Follow Vincent Daniel on Twitter https://twitter.com/VD718
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

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Timestamps:
(00:00) The Current Setup
(06:49) Did SVB Response Fuel Recent Stock Market Rally?
(09:22) The Perils Of Shorting Stocks
(13:07) Debt Ceiling Resolution
(21:17) Public.com
(22:21) Passive & Vol Targeting Funds
(26:24) Outlook on Stocks
(29:47) Importance of Stop-Losses
(31:12) How Much Research Before Taking A Position?
(32:33) Concentration Risk/Reward: How Many Positions?
(34:10) Why Vincent (and Porter) Shorted Banks Before Silicon Valley Bank Collapse
(39:31) Banks' Moats Are Less Valuable Now, Says Vincent
(42:58) Bank Run Risk Is Higher Now Than During Great Financial Crisis
(44:52) Core Tier 1 Is Nonsense
(54:01) Private Equity
(01:02:30) Can High Debt Levels Hanlde High Interest Rates?
(01:06:09) Slaying The Inflation Dragon
(01:07:57) Vincent's Views On Bank Stocks Going Forward
(01:12:46) Energy Stocks
(01:17:00) "The Fed Put Never Died”
(01:19:19) Views On Recession Risk: "It's Hard For Me To See A Reflationary Boom"
(01:21:52) Uranium
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Vincent Daniel of Seawolf Capital returns to Forward Guidance to share his latest thinking on bank stocks, market structure, and long/short investing.

Immortalized in “The Big Short,” Vincent’s interview with Jack and his partner Porter Collins in January 2022 can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b_HCd0ir3k&t=10s

____

Today's show is sponsored by Public.com: Get a 5.4% yield when you open a government-backed Treasury Account by going to https://public.com/forwardguidance

____

Follow Vincent Daniel on Twitter https://twitter.com/VD718

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96

Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

____

Timestamps:

(00:00) The Current Setup

(06:49) Did SVB Response Fuel Recent Stock Market Rally?

(09:22) The Perils Of Shorting Stocks

(13:07) Debt Ceiling Resolution

(21:17) Public.com

(22:21) Passive & Vol Targeting Funds

(26:24) Outlook on Stocks

(29:47) Importance of Stop-Losses

(31:12) How Much Research Before Taking A Position?

(32:33) Concentration Risk/Reward: How Many Positions?

(34:10) Why Vincent (and Porter) Shorted Banks Before Silicon Valley Bank Collapse

(39:31) Banks' Moats Are Less Valuable Now, Says Vincent

(42:58) Bank Run Risk Is Higher Now Than During Great Financial Crisis

(44:52) Core Tier 1 Is Nonsense

(54:01) Private Equity

(01:02:30) Can High Debt Levels Hanlde High Interest Rates?

(01:06:09) Slaying The Inflation Dragon

(01:07:57) Vincent's Views On Bank Stocks Going Forward

(01:12:46) Energy Stocks

(01:17:00) "The Fed Put Never Died”

(01:19:19) Views On Recession Risk: "It's Hard For Me To See A Reflationary Boom"

(01:21:52) Uranium

____

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.