Expected Points artwork

Expected Points

240 episodes - English - Latest episode: almost 3 years ago - ★★★★★ - 16 ratings

A brief look at insightful stats, trends, and trivia in the world of tennis. A daily podcast with Jeff Sackmann from @tennisabstract.

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Episodes

A Familiar List of Grand Slam Winners

July 12, 2021 08:45 - 3 minutes - 6.08 MB

Novak Djokovic adds to the long list of players he’s beaten three times, Ashleigh Barty gets the most out of a small package, and Elise Mertens lays more groundwork for a remarkable doubles career.

A Familiar List of Grand Slam Winners

July 12, 2021 08:45 - 3 minutes - 6.08 MB

Novak Djokovic adds to the long list of players he’s beaten three times, Ashleigh Barty gets the most out of a small package, and Elise Mertens lays more groundwork for a remarkable doubles career.

The Impenetrable Matteo Berrettini

July 09, 2021 08:19 - 4 minutes - 6.84 MB

Berrettini and Novak Djokovic make the most of their first two shots, Karolina Pliskova finds some magic out wide, and the Croatian doubles team of Mektic and Pavic chases the Bryan brothers.

The Impenetrable Matteo Berrettini

July 09, 2021 08:19 - 4 minutes - 6.84 MB

Berrettini and Novak Djokovic make the most of their first two shots, Karolina Pliskova finds some magic out wide, and the Croatian doubles team of Mektic and Pavic chases the Bryan brothers.

Aryna Sabalenka Lights Up the Radar Gun

July 08, 2021 08:28 - 3 minutes - 6.43 MB

Sabalenka serves faster than many men, Denis Shapovalov steps up his return game, and Jule Niemeier is the hottest player you’re not watching this week.

Aryna Sabalenka Lights Up the Radar Gun

July 08, 2021 08:28 - 3 minutes - 6.43 MB

Sabalenka serves faster than many men, Denis Shapovalov steps up his return game, and Jule Niemeier is the hottest player you’re not watching this week.

Novak Djokovic Usually Beats These Guys

July 07, 2021 08:26 - 3 minutes - 6.26 MB

Djokovic holds an encouraging record against the rest of the quarter-final field, Ashleigh Barty has gotten here without many top-ten wins, and a Swedish doubles specialist excels in his first grand slam.

Novak Djokovic Usually Beats These Guys

July 07, 2021 08:26 - 3 minutes - 6.26 MB

Djokovic holds an encouraging record against the rest of the quarter-final field, Ashleigh Barty has gotten here without many top-ten wins, and a Swedish doubles specialist excels in his first grand slam.

Karolina Muchova Doesn’t Need Warmups

July 06, 2021 09:11 - 3 minutes - 6.44 MB

Muchova brings almost no grass-court experience to today’s battle with Angelique Kerber, Karen Khachanov advances despite a serve gone missing, and Ons Jabeur leaves a raft of high-profile losers in her wake.

Karolina Muchova Doesn’t Need Warmups

July 06, 2021 09:11 - 3 minutes - 6.44 MB

Muchova brings almost no grass-court experience to today’s battle with Angelique Kerber, Karen Khachanov advances despite a serve gone missing, and Ons Jabeur leaves a raft of high-profile losers in her wake.

Alexander Zverev’s Favorite Matchup

July 05, 2021 08:23 - 3 minutes - 6.16 MB

Hubert Hurkacz has been unbreakable, Madison Keys is poised for a grass-court breakthrough, and Zverev couldn’t ask for a better fourth-round draw.

Alexander Zverev’s Favorite Matchup

July 05, 2021 08:23 - 3 minutes - 6.16 MB

Hubert Hurkacz has been unbreakable, Madison Keys is poised for a grass-court breakthrough, and Zverev couldn’t ask for a better fourth-round draw.

Angelique Kerber, Iron Woman

July 02, 2021 08:59 - 3 minutes - 6.3 MB

Kerber pulls out a marathon second-round win, Cam Norrie lines up with another top-ranked opponent, and Sorana Cirstea gets some long-awaited revenge.

Angelique Kerber, Iron Woman

July 02, 2021 08:59 - 3 minutes - 6.3 MB

Kerber pulls out a marathon second-round win, Cam Norrie lines up with another top-ranked opponent, and Sorana Cirstea gets some long-awaited revenge.

Madison Brengle Is Happy To Wait

July 01, 2021 08:39 - 3 minutes - 6.66 MB

Everything is going Karolina Pliskova’s way, Denis Kudla pushes his grass-court experience to the max, and Brengle finds a pair of opponents willing to beat themselves.

Madison Brengle Is Happy To Wait

July 01, 2021 08:39 - 3 minutes - 6.66 MB

Everything is going Karolina Pliskova’s way, Denis Kudla pushes his grass-court experience to the max, and Brengle finds a pair of opponents willing to beat themselves.

Kyrgios and Humbert Race To the Finish

June 30, 2021 08:32 - 3 minutes - 6.14 MB

Nick Kyrgios has outplayed Ugo Humbert through four and a half sets, Garbine Muguruza is your bottom-half favorite, and Kiki Bertens plays her final match at Wimbledon.

Kyrgios and Humbert Race To the Finish

June 30, 2021 08:32 - 3 minutes - 6.14 MB

Nick Kyrgios has outplayed Ugo Humbert through four and a half sets, Garbine Muguruza is your bottom-half favorite, and Kiki Bertens plays her final match at Wimbledon.

Novak Djokovic Is Unreturnable

June 29, 2021 08:37 - 3 minutes - 6.29 MB

Djokovic posts his best-ever ace mark at Wimbledon, Veronika Kudermetova bows out early of another major, and Dominik Koepfer is a savant when it comes to breaking monster serves.

Novak Djokovic Is Unreturnable

June 29, 2021 08:37 - 3 minutes - 6.29 MB

Djokovic posts his best-ever ace mark at Wimbledon, Veronika Kudermetova bows out early of another major, and Dominik Koepfer is a savant when it comes to breaking monster serves.

Jelena Ostapenko Controls Her Aggression

June 28, 2021 07:42 - 3 minutes - 6.55 MB

Ostapenko swings big and wins big, Sam Querrey needs his second serve back, and the women’s field at Wimbledon sets a new record.

Jelena Ostapenko Controls Her Aggression

June 28, 2021 07:42 - 3 minutes - 6.55 MB

Ostapenko swings big and wins big, Sam Querrey needs his second serve back, and the women’s field at Wimbledon sets a new record.

The Many Paths To the Eastbourne Semi-Finals

June 25, 2021 10:22 - 3 minutes - 5.83 MB

Marc Polmans and Ramkumar Ramanathan fight out an old-school Wimbledon marathon, an unlikely unseeded foursome remains in the Eastbourne women’s draw, and African tennis is alive in Brazzaville.

The Many Paths To the Eastbourne Semi-Finals

June 25, 2021 10:22 - 3 minutes - 5.83 MB

Marc Polmans and Ramkumar Ramanathan fight out an old-school Wimbledon marathon, an unlikely unseeded foursome remains in the Eastbourne women’s draw, and African tennis is alive in Brazzaville.

Alize Cornet is So Close

June 24, 2021 11:28 - 3 minutes - 6.23 MB

Cornet keeps almost beating Victoria Azarenka, Max Purcell is the season’s most surprising quarter-finalist, and the women’s field at Wimbledon is so deep that there are contenders in qualifying.

Alize Cornet is So Close

June 24, 2021 11:28 - 3 minutes - 6.23 MB

Cornet keeps almost beating Victoria Azarenka, Max Purcell is the season’s most surprising quarter-finalist, and the women’s field at Wimbledon is so deep that there are contenders in qualifying.

Matteo Berrettini Works Fast

June 23, 2021 08:55 - 3 minutes - 6.64 MB

Berrettini’s serve-plus-one is made for grass, Sam Querrey has a penchant for narrow margins, and Eastbourne needs to reconsider its prize pools.

Matteo Berrettini Works Fast

June 23, 2021 08:55 - 3 minutes - 6.64 MB

Berrettini’s serve-plus-one is made for grass, Sam Querrey has a penchant for narrow margins, and Eastbourne needs to reconsider its prize pools.

Daniil Medvedev Tries Another Natural Surface

June 22, 2021 08:48 - 3 minutes - 6.5 MB

Medvedev is the favorite in Mallorca despite sparse grass-court results, Dan Evans is flying beneath the radar, and Karolina Muchova can’t go to Tokyo.

Daniil Medvedev Tries Another Natural Surface

June 22, 2021 08:48 - 3 minutes - 6.5 MB

Medvedev is the favorite in Mallorca despite sparse grass-court results, Dan Evans is flying beneath the radar, and Karolina Muchova can’t go to Tokyo.

Ludmilla Samsonova Serves Her Way To Wimbledon

June 21, 2021 10:52 - 3 minutes - 6.12 MB

Samsonova puts on a week-long service clinic, Ugo Humbert wins all the break points, and the newly-enlarged WTA winner’s circle isn’t likely to keep growing anytime soon.

Ludmilla Samsonova Serves Her Way To Wimbledon

June 21, 2021 10:52 - 3 minutes - 6.12 MB

Samsonova puts on a week-long service clinic, Ugo Humbert wins all the break points, and the newly-enlarged WTA winner’s circle isn’t likely to keep growing anytime soon.

The Grand Old Man of Halle

June 18, 2021 08:52 - 3 minutes - 6.25 MB

Garbine Muguruza leads the remaining pack in Berlin, Philipp Kohlschreiber is the unlikely veteran success story in Halle, and a Belarussian duo preps for Tokyo.

The Grand Old Man of Halle

June 18, 2021 08:52 - 3 minutes - 6.25 MB

Garbine Muguruza leads the remaining pack in Berlin, Philipp Kohlschreiber is the unlikely veteran success story in Halle, and a Belarussian duo preps for Tokyo.

Pliskova. Pegula. Again.

June 17, 2021 08:32 - 3 minutes - 6.32 MB

Karolina Pliskova opens the grass court season against her least favorite opponent, Richard Gasquet holds a unique Challenger-level winning streak, and it’s been 60 years since Margaret Court started winning titles in Britain.

Pliskova. Pegula. Again.

June 17, 2021 08:32 - 3 minutes - 6.32 MB

Karolina Pliskova opens the grass court season against her least favorite opponent, Richard Gasquet holds a unique Challenger-level winning streak, and it’s been 60 years since Margaret Court started winning titles in Britain.

CoCo Vandeweghe is Serving Big

June 16, 2021 07:22 - 3 minutes - 6.17 MB

Marin Cilic keeps winning on his favorite surface, Vandeweghe is deep sleeper pick for Wimbledon, and Sebastian Korda joins an impressive list of multi-faceted stars.

CoCo Vandeweghe is Serving Big

June 16, 2021 07:22 - 3 minutes - 6.17 MB

Marin Cilic keeps winning on his favorite surface, Vandeweghe is deep sleeper pick for Wimbledon, and Sebastian Korda joins an impressive list of multi-faceted stars.

The Man Who Almost Beat Both Federer and Nadal

June 15, 2021 10:40 - 3 minutes - 6.5 MB

Ilya Ivashka posts another career-best performance in a losing effort, Barbora Krejcikova has risen the ranks with unusually good clutch play, and Jannik Sinner suffered a dose of his own medicine.

The Man Who Almost Beat Both Federer and Nadal

June 15, 2021 10:40 - 3 minutes - 6.5 MB

Ilya Ivashka posts another career-best performance in a losing effort, Barbora Krejcikova has risen the ranks with unusually good clutch play, and Jannik Sinner suffered a dose of his own medicine.

The Evolution of Novak Djokovic

June 14, 2021 09:01 - 3 minutes - 6.6 MB

Novak Djokovic continues to win without a dominant down-the-line backhand, Barbora Krejcikova is a throwback to earlier generations of two-event stars, and Felix Auger Aliassime has played a lot of late-round matches by age 20.

The Evolution of Novak Djokovic

June 14, 2021 09:01 - 3 minutes - 6.6 MB

Novak Djokovic continues to win without a dominant down-the-line backhand, Barbora Krejcikova is a throwback to earlier generations of two-event stars, and Felix Auger Aliassime has played a lot of late-round matches by age 20.

Not Quite Peak Pavlyuchenkova

June 11, 2021 08:14 - 4 minutes - 6.77 MB

Anastasia Pavlyuchenova is into her first grand slam final despite not playing her best-ever tennis, Alexander Zverev needs a good day on return, and this year’s French Open mixed doubles title didn’t require much work.

Not Quite Peak Pavlyuchenkova

June 11, 2021 08:14 - 4 minutes - 6.77 MB

Anastasia Pavlyuchenova is into her first grand slam final despite not playing her best-ever tennis, Alexander Zverev needs a good day on return, and this year’s French Open mixed doubles title didn’t require much work.

Experience Wins In the French Open Quarters

June 10, 2021 08:51 - 3 minutes - 6.63 MB

The women’s final four has paid their dues, Rafael Nadal keeps the bakery open, and Tamara Zidansek has a knack for winning matches during the second half of the French Open.

Experience Wins In the French Open Quarters

June 10, 2021 08:51 - 3 minutes - 6.63 MB

The women’s final four has paid their dues, Rafael Nadal keeps the bakery open, and Tamara Zidansek has a knack for winning matches during the second half of the French Open.

Matteo Berrettini Seeks Revenge

June 09, 2021 09:01 - 4 minutes - 6.82 MB

Berrettini was crushed by Novak Djokovic last time they played, today’s women’s quarterfinals feature a quartet of players who cruised through their last matches, and the WTA ranking system is barely rewarding this week’s stars.

Matteo Berrettini Seeks Revenge

June 09, 2021 09:01 - 4 minutes - 6.82 MB

Berrettini was crushed by Novak Djokovic last time they played, today’s women’s quarterfinals feature a quartet of players who cruised through their last matches, and the WTA ranking system is barely rewarding this week’s stars.

The Return of Diego Schwartzman

June 08, 2021 08:08 - 3 minutes - 6.57 MB

Schwartzman is once again negating the server advantage, Elena Rybakina beat Serena by playing like Serena, and Daniil Medvedev aims to remain unbeaten in clay-court quarter-finals.

The Return of Diego Schwartzman

June 08, 2021 08:08 - 3 minutes - 6.57 MB

Schwartzman is once again negating the server advantage, Elena Rybakina beat Serena by playing like Serena, and Daniil Medvedev aims to remain unbeaten in clay-court quarter-finals.