@pahowdy’s makes up some rulz about rookie drafts


lit


RULZ:


Rookie theory – All things being equal


SF, PPR, TE Premium


Things: ADP, Evaluation, Trends,


QB > RB

Mahomes Vs Barkley

Darnold VS Chubb


– QBs play longer

– Value as likely to remain the same

– even mediocre return has high value


RB > WR

Barkley VS Justin Jefferson

Harry VS Trent Richardson


-Rb more likely to increase in value

-RB more likely to produce

-Rb upside harder to find and maintain


WR > TE

Justin Jefferson VS Evan Engram

David Njoku VS Denzel mims


All things being equal, draft Rbs in rookie drafts, late, deep, early everywhere.


ADP>Evaluation>Trends


Players drafted outside the first four rounds of the NFL draft can probably be added later, if time and room permits


Trade up to target your Tier 1 players

or

Trade out


But try not to let players fall to you


IF I player loses value by the off season of their sophomore year, sell

If a WR player loses 5RDs of startup adp in their sophomore offseason, buy

If an RB drops by a round in Sophmore ADP, without really good reason, buy

Buy Tight end in their sophomore season

Always be selling running backs after their rookie draft


Links:

– Database: https://www.patreon.com/posts/46218140

– Jake Anderson (@NFLdrafttalker) made most of my graphics

– Zac Reed (@tacitassassin13) made the intro and some fo the background music

– Gabe Geering (@FFmanbun) made the “Chicken or Crow” theme song for @dynastycrossroads


You can support pahowdy and find more content in the places and links below…if you, like, want to, or something


Patreon: www.patreon.com/pahoward

Youtube: youtube.com/c/PeterHowardPahowdy

Twitch: twitch.tv/pahowdy

Twitter: @phowdy

Instagram: pahowdyff


pahowdy writes for dynastyleaguefootball.com.