Dantes Outlook Market Podcast
20 episodes - English - Latest episode: almost 2 years ago - ★★★★★ - 6 ratingsInterviewing experts in global markets and investing. Our goal is to help both individuals and institutions realize global market opportunities and the factors that drive them.
Conversations will focus on global market events, trading and investing strategies, risk management, and wealth. We'll also dive into decision making and the psychology behind investing.
This podcast is for educational purposes only, and is not investment advice.
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Episodes
Russia's Energy Dominance and Implications for Europe
May 26, 2022 17:56 - 26 minutes - 24.2 MBToday, we explore global energy through the lens of Russia, the world’s largest exporter of oil and gas. And to the west is Europe, which is heavily reliant on Russian gas supplies. According to some estimates, Russia is earning roughly $500 million per day on oil and another $400 million on gas all together. But gas flows from Russia to Europe were already declining into the Q4 heating season last year. Flows flattened out earlier this year, and are now ticking downward. To help us under...
Commodity Market Update, 2Q 2022
April 04, 2022 23:25 - 3 minutes - 3.45 MBMost price signals have extended into overbought territory, although pullbacks could be temporary over the next quarter. Elsewhere, metals have stabilized and oversold signals could present buying opportunities. Trading performance was positive in Q1, built on the success of Q4. Short palladium and long soybean oil were the best performing trades, while sharp moves in wheat and oil detracted from overall gains. At times, volatility can lead to frequent or contradictory signals. Evident...
Investing During Geopolitical Conflict and Rising Rates
March 09, 2022 03:04 - 25 minutes - 23.6 MBIn the December podcast, we warned that 2022 could resemble 2018 – a year when the Federal Reserve tried to taper, which triggered a mini stock market crash. And now, we start the year with great turbulence. This time, however, a mix of macroeconomic and geopolitical risk emanating from Russia and Ukraine have kept investors on edge. And of course, the threat of rising inflation lingers. Supply chain disruptions and record low inventories contributed to a surge in prices. But fighting inf...
Carry Trades and Volatility Shocks
February 24, 2022 22:46 - 1 hour - 60.9 MBTim explains that carry trades (borrowing at low interest rates to finance higher-yield investments, and assuming market stability), are behind recurring booms and busts. Tim and his fellow authors argue that market crashes are not the result of economic recessions – rather, market crashes cause recessions. Currently, there is risk of another carry crash, which was in development before the Russia-Ukraine crisis.
Commodity Market Update, 1Q 2022
January 04, 2022 23:11 - 3 minutes - 2.9 MBCommodity rally appears overbought, expect some pullbacks The commodity price rally appears to be slowing, which could point to lower returns this year. Several overbought signals were confirmed over the past few months, especially in natural gas, which declined more than 30% in Q4. As expected, the dispersion in commodity returns narrowed over the past quarter as earlier declines in metals and agriculture stabilized. The US dollar remains a wildcard, which has strengthened along with commo...
Venture Capital Investing with Lydia Idem
December 20, 2021 18:45 - 32 minutes - 30.1 MBFM Capital Group website Twitter: faithmight Lydia's LinkedIn Show notes We discussed Lydia's background in computer science and how she pivoted into trading and investing. Lydia started blogging and engaged with a community of traders online. She eventually started her own investment advisory firm, FM Capital Group, to apply her analysis and make investment decisions on behalf of clients. We discussed the importance of investor suitability and how FM Capital Group blends private and...
Technical Methods and Outlook for 2022
November 23, 2021 20:57 - 15 minutes - 13.7 MBKatie spent more than 20 years on Wall Street providing technical research and advice to institutional investors. She is the managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a technical research firm. Here is a brief rundown of our conversation. Started with a strong affinity for mathematics given the need for concise analysis – a binary takeaway that can be applied to markets. Technical analysis provides a visual element to help understand the markets, driven solely by price action. Worked as a...
Technical Methods and Market Signals
November 23, 2021 20:57 - 15 minutes - 13.7 MBKatie spent more than 20 years on Wall Street providing technical research and advice to institutional investors. She is the managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, a technical research firm. Here is a brief rundown of our conversation. Started with a strong affinity for mathematics given the need for concise analysis – a binary takeaway that can be applied to markets. Technical analysis provides a visual element to help understand the markets, driven solely by price action. Worked as a...
Financial Inclusion for Gen Z
November 01, 2021 20:27 - 25 minutes - 23.5 MBJoão is a graduate of Babson College where he concentrated in finance. He also completed a venture capital program at the UC Berkeley Haas School of Business. João worked in investment banking at Itau BBA and worked in financial planning at Kraft Heinz. And before Z1, he co-founded Vereda, a start-up providing low-cost, high-quality K-12 education for Brazil’s middle class. We discussed the origins of Z1 and the importance of financial inclusion, especially for young adults. João also talks...
Q4 Commodity Market Guide
October 06, 2021 20:08 - 1 minute - 1.74 MBAccess the commodity market report here The broad commodity complex continues to rally after breaking above a decade-long downtrend. However, underlying returns are mixed, with natural gas, oats, coffee, and cotton leading the way higher, while industrial commodities such as platinum and palladium sold off in the third quarter. Indicators suggest the divergence in returns could narrow in the months ahead as leaders appear significantly overbought relative to laggards.
Tactical Idea Generation
August 25, 2021 00:23 - 16 minutes - 15.1 MBVisit MarketDesk Research to find out more about their service. Connect with the MDR Team: Matt Clements Jon Clements Matt discussed his roots in St.Louis, MO and what drew him to accounting. We unwrapped MDR's evidenced-based research process and how to filter out market noise. Matt walked us through how MDR uses tactical signals to construct model portfolios. Lastly, we discussed MDR's favorable outlook on Chinese equities relative to the EM basket and other ideas. Join the Dantes ...
Community Leadership with Beth Wright
July 11, 2021 21:47 - 23 minutes - 21.7 MBFor our global audience of traders and investors, I figured we take a step back and learn about the importance of looking at the world beyond your work screen. Beth is based in Hong Kong and is also a board advisor to the Women in Finance Asia Committee which provides networking and skills based events for men and women in the finance industry. We discussed the importance of volunteer work, self improvement, and leadership lessons for the next generation of leaders in finance. Beth's f...
Q2 Market Report
June 30, 2021 15:46 - 2 minutes - 2.08 MBA bounce in the U.S. dollar could reduce inflationary pressures into the second-half of the year. However, upside remains limited after breaking a decade long uptrend last year. Commodities, including oil and metals are testing initial resistance, while corn and soybeans suffered sharp declines recently. Pullbacks are expected to continue over the short-term, which could provide timely entry points along the broader commodity upcycle. The copper/gold ratio, an important gauge of risk-on ...
Generating Wealth For The Caribbean Diaspora
May 11, 2021 21:58 - 21 minutes - 19.8 MBCedric and Phil discussed the story behind PTG, current services and types of clients they work with. We also covered technical analysis and how it is used to manage risk across portfolios. Learn more about our combined trading strategies here: https://www.dantesoutlook.com/trading-team.html Website: https://www.philthegap.co LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/philthegap/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/philthegaptt/
Q1 Market Outlook: Reflation Pause
April 05, 2021 14:33 - 2 minutes - 2.4 MBThe copper/gold ratio is used as a barometer for risk-on versus risk-off. The ratio is now testing long-term resistance, which could signal a pull-back in the reflation trade. Equities are still preferred over bonds, especially given a series of relative breakouts in the SPY/TLT ratio. However, it appears that long-duration bonds are deeply oversold, which means Treasury yields could recede over the short-term. US growth stocks are oversold versus value stocks, but the broader uptrend is...
Wealth Management for Athletes
February 16, 2021 05:00 - 20 minutes - 18.7 MBGAVIN Group's website: https://gavingroup.ca -- Topics discussed What happens during the post-athlete transition? The importance of maintaining a support network on and off the ice Current challenges facing athletes (salary caps, taxes, pay disparities, deferrals) Managing financial uncertainty A glimpse into the hockey industry in Canada - its importance, culture, and what makes an athlete such a unique client? Matt's current market views (Canadian equities, cannabis industry), an...
Global Macro: Unpacking the Reflation Trade
January 10, 2021 19:58 - 53 minutes - 48.8 MBTopics discussed: History of The Daily Shot newsletter Lev's process for finding relevant info and scanning markets. Equity valuations and remaining opportunities. The reflation trade. Pros and cons of rising inflation from both a market and economic perspective. (level vs. speed) The Fed's strategy to get ahead of an inflation surprise. Implications for the credit market given high corporate bond issuance. Inflation outlook for Europe and Japan. Economic improvements in LatAm and o...
Cryptocurrency Trading: Strategy Development and Institutional Involvement
December 16, 2020 20:09 - 43 minutes - 40 MBBruce Powers is a trader and fellow chartered market technician (CMT) currently based in Florida. You can interact with him via Twitter or LinkedIn. He has been involved in the financial markets for over 25 years. Bruce has an active media presence, including a column for Wealth Monitor magazine, where he covered commodities, forex, and global markets, and a separate weekly column for Gulf News, plus many more. And we look forward to his updates on the Dantes Outlook podcast throughout the...
Using Technical Analysis to Identify Market Turning Points
November 19, 2020 06:33 - 47 minutes - 43.7 MBIdeas discussed, heading into 2021: TIPS approaching support (inflation protection) 10-year Treasury yield in a bottoming process Tech shows consistent leadership, but stellar gains are limited Energy remains a laggard, but could soon offer value S&P 500 consolidating along an uptrend Bitcoin is breaking out, similar to 2017 About Cedric Cedric hails from the Caribbean islands, where he pursued a bachelor of science degree in actuarial science. He then completed the CMT designation w...
Managing Volatility And Protecting The Financial System
October 16, 2020 03:56 - 44 minutes - 40.8 MBDantes Outlook provides portfolio advisory and trading strategies. On this podcast, we'll interview investment professionals. Our goal is to help both individuals and institutions realize global market opportunities and the factors that drive them. -- Learn more about Demand Derivatives Own part of the exchange! Invest in Demand Derivatives