Common Sense Fantasy Baseball
44 episodes - English - Latest episode: over 2 years ago - ★★★★★ - 15 ratingsApplying a little common sense to your fantasy baseball team
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Episodes
Ep 44: Dave McD -- risk evaluation process
November 19, 2021 14:37 - 1 hour - 88.7 MB@rundmcd is back to talk about evaluating risk! (AKA "Dave tells me the 3 pitchers I'm allowed to draft this year!") 11:20 Carlos Rodon 22:05 Jacob deGrom 31:15 Shane Bieber 38:50 Chris Sale 44:15 Luis Severino 54:05 Clevinger vs Verlander 1:14:43 Clayton Kershaw, and Dinelson Lamet "When I see PRP, I'm out." - Dave 1:27:30 Zac Gallen Find us on Twitter! He's @rundmcd, and I'm @commonsensefbb.
Ep 43: Greg Jewett -- closers to draft, RPs to stash
March 30, 2021 00:07 - 1 hour - 57 MBGreg (@gjewett9) helps me size up EVERY team once again, as I do last minute cramming for my Main Event draft tomorrow. 2:05 Baltimore Orioles 3:20 Boston Red Sox 5:25 Chicago White Sox 5:50 Cleveland 9:45 Detroit Tigers 10:45 Houston Astros 12:20 KC Royals 13:50 LA Angels 15:10 Minnesota Twins 16:30 NY Yankees 17:10 Oakland A's 18:15 Seattle Mariners 19:55 Tampa Rays 25:35 Texas Rangers 26:55 Toronto Blue Jays 27:40 Arizona Diamondbacks 29:20 Atlanta Braves 30:25 Chicago C...
Ep 42: Rob DiPietro the DC Champ!
March 02, 2021 19:35 - 1 hour - 78.8 MBRob and I talk about his podcast and his leagues, and how we're building our teams in DC leagues and FAAB leagues. 06:20 Differences in drafting strategies for Draft and Hold (Draft Champions) leagues vs FAAB leagues 11:00 Catchers 16:45 Closers 22:45 Stolen Bases 31:25 Luis Robert 37:55 Keston Hiura and Javy Baez (and other swing and miss guys) 44:25 Tim Anderson 51:10 Prospects 58:00 Pitchers (Means, Urquidy, Yarbrough, Minor) 1:12:00 Late DC picks He's @deadpullhitter, I'm @com...
Ep 41: Dave McDonald - Less Than Risky
December 21, 2020 23:07 - 1 hour - 58.1 MBDave (@RunDMcD) shares what he's learned through years of experience, about how to assess players' risks in fantasy baseball. 1:45 Verlander, going into 2020 6:00 How to think about taking a guy off your board completely 9:35 Sale, Syndergaard, and Severino (don't draft guys who won't be playing) 11:45 Taillon (it can take a while to get back your skills) 18:10 deGrom (we can disagree on how much risk there is, but don't ignore it as a part of the assessment) 27:40 Scherzer (we all see...
Ep 40: Matt Wi77iams returns to talk early ADP
November 18, 2020 17:45 - 59 minutes - 54.9 MB@MattWi77iams and I discuss some players we think are going too early: 3:40 Jose Abreu around pick 30 and Luke Voit around pick 60 - Matt 8:25 Pablo Lopez around pick 100 - Drew 15:45 Walker Buehler around pick 20 - Matt 20:30 Kyle Lewis around pick 75 (but even at pick 100-120) - Drew 26:05 Randy Arozarena around pick 60 - Matt -- 32:20 an aside on Mondesi -- Then we discuss some players we think are going too late: 38:00 Austin Meadows and Yoan Moncada (around pick 85) - Matt 41:4...
Ep 39: Closers for EVERY team with Greg Jewett
November 03, 2020 22:28 - 1 hour - 69.5 MBGreg (@gjewett9) and I look at every MLB team and discuss the closer situation, as best we can tell in November. AMERICAN LEAGUE 1:30 Baltimore Orioles 3:40 Boston Red Sox 6:20 Chicago White Sox 8:25 Cleveland Indians 11:10 Detroit Tigers 13:50 Houston Astros 15:50 Kansas City Royals 18:10 Los Angeles Angels 20:10 Minnesota Twins 21:30 New York Yankees 23:50 Oakland Athletics 26:20 Seattle Mariners 27:35 Tampa Bay Rays 29:10 Texas Rangers 31:45 Toronto Blue Jays NATIONAL LEA...
Ep 38: Zack is back! Early ADP targets and avoids!
October 16, 2020 18:38 - 1 hour - 90.1 MBZack and I take a look at early ADP from Justin Mason's "2 Early Mock Drafts" and Zack's draft and hold leagues that are drafting for real already. 4:10 We gently poke fun at mock drafts and point out some shortcomings Then we discuss players we think are going too early (AVOIDS): 7:10 Mike Clevinger at ADP 61 (Zack) 19:40 Pete Alonso at ADP 53 (Drew) 25:55 Sixto Sanchez at ADP 80 (Zack) 34:00 Gleyber Torres at ADP 63 (Drew...Zack disagrees) 40:05 Gary Sanchez at ADP 169 (Zack) 45:35...
Ep 37: A BatFlip crazy 2020 season
October 01, 2020 15:13 - 1 hour - 89.9 MBToby returns to talk about some up and coming players! 1:10 the keys to Toby's success in 2020 4:45 Off season prep begins! We start by discussing some lessons learned. Then we discuss some breakout players: 16:10 Corey Seager 27:40 Luke Voit 34:45 Teoscar Hernandez 42:05 Kyle Lewis 49:20 Dominic Smith 56:00 An aside about Stolen Bases 1:00:50 Austin Nola 1:05:40 Some other guys (Slater, Santander, Cronenworth, Arozarena, Walsh, Happ, Moore) 1:21:40 Who could be the Corbin Burne...
Ep 36: Striking out
September 03, 2020 23:41 - 6 minutes - 5.63 MBSome thoughts on strike out rate, BABIP, and what they mean for batting average. Connect with me on Twitter @commonsensefbb!
Baseball. Is. Back!!!!
July 23, 2020 18:20 - 2 minutes - 1.06 MBConnect with me on Twitter @commonsensefbb!
Ep 34: Greg Jewett returns! Baseball will too.
March 26, 2020 17:58 - 1 hour - 60.1 MBOpening day didn't happen...yet. But @gjewett9 and I discuss baseball anyway! 2:00 Greg's current project 6:05 Bo Bichette - SS 20:35 Isiah Kiner-Falefa - C 25:35 Josh Bell - 1B (and a great call out by Greg, CJ Cron) 30:30 Jeff McNeil - 2B (with Cesar Hernandez call out by Greg) 35:35 Yandy Diaz - 3B 39:00 OFs (Judge, Eloy, Stanton, Soler, Franimal, Schwarber) 45:00 Luzardo and Urias - SPs (Greg's call out: Rich Hill) 48:35 RPs 56:15 Rougned Odor 59:05 Ian Happ (or Dansby Swanso...
Ep 33: Zack Waxman takes us through ADP 300!
March 03, 2020 13:44 - 1 hour - 69.1 MBWelcome back @zackroto! We start off talking some strategy: 1:40 Top SPs - Aces, Pocket Aces and how we draft them 5:10 The case for an Ace 10:50 Draft Champions vs FAAB leagues -- the point in the draft where strategy changes Then we discuss rounds 19 and 20: 18:05 Avoid AJ Pollock at 272 19:45 Avoid Joey Votto at 271 20:55 Buster Posey or Danny Jansen? 23:35 Gregory Polanco and his risks vs Solak, Wil Myers, or others and their risks 26:35 What if Solak wasn't UT only? 27:45 Pla...
Ep 32: John (@MLBMovingAVG) and rounds 17 - 18
February 24, 2020 22:39 - 2 hours - 117 MBPlease welcome John (@MLBMovingAVG) as we discuss our draft process and talk some ADP. 1:15 It's all about PRICE. As John says, "You can't force your will on the market." 2:25 Drafting in reverse 7:15 Take the value (when you have players whose skills are close, going far apart) 10:50 Jim Cramer show up briefly 13:30 AJ Puk aka Axl Rose Then we get into round 17 and 18... 15:35 Adrian Houser (ADP 248) and his pitch-mix changes (sinkers for GBs, curveballs for Ks) 34:10 Shin-Soo Choo...
Ep 31: Colin Weatherwax Returns!
February 18, 2020 11:37 - 1 hour - 69.1 MBPlease welcome Colin back to the podcast! He's on Twitter at @CWeatherwax13. We discuss some pitcher risers https://twitter.com/RyanBHQ/status/1229121960308690945 2:05 Elite SPs moving up 3:20 Jose Berrios up from ADP 95 (Nov) to 79 (Feb) 5:10 Edwin Diaz up from 140 to 116 8:30 Doolittle and Nick Anderson moving up Then we turn to some hitter risers https://twitter.com/RyanBHQ/status/1229218664160931840 13:50 Luis Robert up from 106 (Nov) to 77 (Feb) 15:45 Bo Bichette up from 79 to ...
Ep 30: Max Freeze - Earned HRs, Oscar Mercado, and Rd 15
February 15, 2020 16:54 - 54 minutes - 50.6 MBPlease welcome Max! He's @FreezeStats on Twitter. We talk about: 0:40 Max's blog and research 4:40 Players who earned more HR than they achieved 9:15 We consider what Dodger Stadium could do for Mookie Betts 14:50 "Not all barrels are created equal" (Launch angle and pulling the ball matter a ton) 20:25 Ozuna - example of a pull hitter who "earned" more than he achieved 22:35 Adding in Alex Chamberlain's "Deserved Barrels" 25:00 We move on to a player debate on Oscar Mercado Then w...
Ep 29: Rounds 13 and 14 with Mike (SP Streamer)
February 11, 2020 21:30 - 1 hour - 57.5 MBPlease welcome Mike! Twitter: @SPStreamer First we take a quick look back at earlier rounds and some guys Mike targets and avoids: 1:40 Target Sonny Gray at 98 8:20 Target Carlos Santana at 144 10:35 Avoid Chris Paddack at 51 13:45 Avoid Keston Hiura at 42 Then we get into rounds 13 and 14: 19:00 Target Kenta Maeda (currently 184) 25:00 Target Hunter Dozier (186) 27:35 Bryan Reynolds / PIT discussion 30:45 Carlos Martinez discussion 33:15 Avoid Lance McCullers (194) 34:40 Luke W...
Ep 28: Matt Wi77iams and our targets in rounds 11 and 12
February 09, 2020 14:07 - 1 hour - 69.6 MBBig thanks to Matt (@MattWi77iams) for joining me to discuss a couple very full rounds of ADP! We discuss a few of Matt's #2020PlayerBreakdowns: 4:45 Lourdes Gurriel 11:30 Jeff McNeil 12:50 Projecting growth 15:50 Garrett Hampson 19:30 Max Kepler Then we look at players going in the 11th and 12th rounds (ADP 151 - 180). 30:15 Target: Corey Seager at ADP 156 33:55 Target: Scott Kingery at 159 39:00 Potential Target: Gavin Lux at 161 41:25 Avoid: Emilio Pagan at 151 42:25 Target: ...
Ep 27: The need for speed
February 06, 2020 20:27 - 7 minutes - 6.74 MBI talk speed vs power. Let me know what you think on Twitter @commonsensefbb.
Ep 26: Player values with Brian Rudd
February 03, 2020 20:09 - 1 hour - 66.8 MBPlease welcome Brian (@RuddHQ on Twitter) and enjoy our discussions about the following players! 1:25 Tyler Glasnow at ADP ~68 (4:35 vs Paxton or Woodruff) 6:50 Hector Neris at ~140 (10:25 vs Iglesias, Kimbrel, Jansen, and Diaz) 13:50 Yasiel Puig at ~115 (19:15 vs Benintendi, Mercado, and Luis Robert) 25:25 Rhys Hoskins at ~116 (33:05 vs Carlos Santana or Edwin Encarnacion) 39:10 Adalberto Mondesi at ~35 (50:30 vs Villar or Robles) 57:35 What do you do later with SBs if you take Mondesi...
Ep 25: Ranking Closers with Greg Jewett
January 30, 2020 13:10 - 1 hour - 69.6 MBPlease welcome Greg (https://twitter.com/gjewett9) and enjoy our conversation on all things Closers (and other RPs). Here's a link to his closer charts: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YQLeAKTjBGGerTdKUMQHYhxfVHi73Y9eJcEGlFh7Lr0/edit#gid=2012002294 3:45 Josh Hader, Aroldis Chapman, Kirby Yates, Roberto Osuna -- The closest you can get to actual safety you can find at the closer position. Already things start to get riskier... 8:40 Edwin Diaz 13:50 Taylor Rogers (with Sergio Romo shou...
Ep 24: Mike Kurland and Rounds 8 - 10
January 28, 2020 17:11 - 1 hour - 68.9 MBPlease welcome Mike! (https://twitter.com/Mike_Kurland) Mike and I discuss players we're avoiding or targeting at their current price in rounds 8 - 10 (in 15-team 5x5 roto). Targeting 8:50 Yasiel Puig at 110 - Both Mike and Drew targeting 9:25 Nicholas Castellanos at 113 - Both 10:20 Trey Mancini at 108 - Both 23:05 Lance Lynn at 128 - Mike (with bonus Ryu discussion) 27:10 Amed Rosario at 125 - Drew 38:35 Soler and Moncada bonus talk! 39:30 Cavan Biggio at 136 - Both (more on Biggio at 44:...
Ep 23: Colin Weatherwax and rounds 5 - 7
January 24, 2020 14:03 - 1 hour - 74.5 MBPlease welcome Colin! (https://twitter.com/CWeatherwax13) Colin and I discuss players we're avoiding or targeting at their current price in rounds 5 - 7 (in 15-team 5x5 roto). Avoiding 2:10 Victor Robles at ADP 57 -- both Colin and Drew avoiding at this price 7:50 Luis Severino at ADP 59 -- Colin 11:45 Kris Bryant at 61 -- both 16:00 Josh Hader at 64 (and any RP this early) -- both 17:20 Manny Machado at 65 -- both 57:40 Gary Sanchez at 89 -- both 1:03:55 Corey Kluber at 100 -- both...
Ep 22: Zack and I discuss rounds 1 - 4
January 21, 2020 20:08 - 1 hour - 94.1 MBPlease welcome Zack! (Twitter.com/zackroto and Twitter.com/draftchampagne) Zack and I discuss players we're avoiding at their current price... Both Zack and Drew avoiding... 13:45 Alex Bregman at ADP 10 ...and to some extent Arenado at ADP 14 and Freeman at ADP 15. 44:45 Pete Alonso at ADP 30 and (Drew) Gleyber Torres at ADP 29 55:00 Villar at ADP 36, and Mondesi at ADP 40 1:00:15 Yordan Alvarez at ADP 37 1:09:00 Whitt Merrifield at ADP 50 1:31:50 Giancarlo Stanton at ADP 57 Zack avoiding... ...
Ep 21: Roster Resource creator Jason Martinez!
January 07, 2020 20:19 - 1 hour - 85.4 MBJason and I discuss his work with Roster Resource and FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/offseason-tracker https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/free-agent-tracker ...and discuss some teams and players! https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/white-sox https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/mariners Enjoy the episode! Also, find me on Twitter at https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb!
Ep 20: Toby's Back!
December 27, 2019 16:44 - 1 hour - 71.6 MBToday I talked with Toby of BatFlip Crazy about draft strategy -- specifically in NFBC Draft Champions (Draft and Hold) leagues. The format is 5x5 standard roto, 15 teams. I hope you enjoy our discussion! Hit me up on Twitter at https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb!
Ep 19: Draft this guy, not that guy
December 09, 2019 12:09 - 20 minutes - 9.86 MB:10 Thanks @yancyeaton! 2:05 Catcher (Realmuto or wait) 4:10 Clarification: This is 15 team, standard 5x5 Roto. 4:25 First Base (Alonso vs Olson, Abreu, Bell, Mancini) 6:30 Second Base (Torres vs Escobar) 8:20 Shortstop (Tatis -- I mean he had about 80 games, not 80 PA's -- vs Anderson or Rosario) 10:50 Third Base (Bregman, Arenado, Rendon, or Devers vs Turner or JD Davis) 14:05 Outfield (JD Martinez or Judge vs Soler or Mancini) 15:30 Starting Pitcher (Flaherty or Bieber vs Giolito)...
Ep 18: Players to avoid in early rounds
November 20, 2019 16:46 - 11 minutes - 5.7 MB0:00 Every major league baseball player is amazing. They made it! But in fantasy we have to value them vs each other. In this episode I identify some players that may be getting drafted too early, and point out some other players who you might want to draft later instead. 9:40 Closer Update (thoughts on the Will Smith signing) Let me know what you think: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb!
Ep 17: Closers for 2020
October 31, 2019 23:28 - 11 minutes - 5.53 MBClosers I feel good about: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb/status/1190047506689921026 Closer situations I'm avoiding: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb/status/1190041723646480384 Let me know what you think!
Ep 16: First Pitch Arizona and Draft and Hold Strategy
October 14, 2019 19:52 - 29 minutes - 14.2 MBI discuss my recent trip to AZ and the first 23 rounds of my first 2020 draft (draft and hold format)! Let me know what you think: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb!
Ep 15: 2019 Lessons Learned
October 04, 2019 20:08 - 13 minutes - 6.53 MBLessons for 15-team roto! (@theNFBC main event style) 1:30 Lesson 1: Pitching volume over upside 4:20 Lesson 2: You can pick up certain categories through FAAB, but others, not so much 9:00 Lesson 3: Balance. Bully hitting, but also employ a "barbell" strategy with starting pitchers Let me know what you think: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb!
Ep 14: Batflip Crazy
September 15, 2019 18:56 - 1 hour - 86.9 MBOn this episode I am very excited to prevent Toby from Batflip Crazy! We discuss: 1:45 Justin Mason's Too-Early Mock Drafts 4:15 Draft Strategy 29:20 Hitters going too early (?) in mock drafts 56:45 Hitters going too late (?) in mock drafts 1:16:30 Pitchers going too early (?) in mock drafts 1:20:00 Pitchers going too late (?) in mock drafts 1:28:25 Resources Toby uses Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb
Ep 13: Skills fluctuate
September 03, 2019 21:15 - 10 minutes - 4.91 MBJust some quick thoughts on how we should update our beliefs about players: hint — buy the skills, but realize they’re never completely stable. Hit me up on Twitter @commonsensefbb!
Ep 12: Roto category management
August 06, 2019 16:40 - 5 minutes - 2.6 MBIn this episode I ramble for a few minutes about roto categories and how I’m managing them as we go into the last two months of the season.
Ep 11: Max Exit Velo
June 20, 2019 23:31 - 10 minutes - 9.57 MBIn this episode I describe why and how I use the statcast data on each player's Maximum Exit Velocity. I cover several players including Nolan Arenado, Jose Ramirez, Joey Votto, Paul Goldschmidt, and Bryce Harper. Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb I'm always happy to answer baseball questions, and I love getting suggestions for future episodes.
Ep 10: Second Chance Leagues
June 12, 2019 00:42 - 21 minutes - 10.5 MBA look at the NFBC second chance leagues and which players I think may be undervalued or overvalued. Check out the average draft pick in the NFBC drafts: https://nfc.shgn.com/adp/baseball (Instead of "All Drafts (Non-Auction" select "In Season") 2:30 First Base 5:30 Second Base 7:45 Shortstop 10:20 Third Base 13:30 Outfield 16:45 Pitcher Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb
Ep 9: 2019 draft day bargains and overpays
May 13, 2019 23:30 - 8 minutes - 7.73 MB0:35 Top 4 Bargains 6:55 Top 4 Overpays Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb
Ep 8: Launch Angle
May 11, 2019 17:51 - 25 minutes - 23.4 MB0:15 Random Thoughts (Tyler Glasnow, Julio Urias, Kyle Tucker) 4:35 Making me look Smart / Stupid (Jose Peraza, Kenta Maeda) 8:00 Launch Angle Savants 17:55 Player Analysis - Joey Gallo 20:35 Player Analysis - Tyler Skaggs Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb
Ep 7: More Player Analysis!
May 02, 2019 17:53 - 12 minutes - 11.7 MB0:40 Making me look smart / Making me look stupid (H Dozier and D Santana) Two players to consider selling 2:05 Jose Peraza 5:00 Kenta Maeda Pitchers who are turning my head 7:40 Chris Bassitt 10:30 Griffin Canning Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb
Ep 6: Happy Vlad Jr Day!
April 26, 2019 20:54 - 15 minutes - 14.1 MB0:45 You're making me look stupid/smart (Vogelbach, Bellinger, Cano, Votto) 4:20 Diving deeper into each batted ball with Statcast 5:40 Player analysis (Devers, Aguilar, Heyward, Chapman) 11:55 Pitching Thoughts Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb
Ep 5: Plate Discipline
April 18, 2019 14:56 - 16 minutes - 15 MB0:00 Intro to predicting results from small samples 1:30 Jose Ramirez 6:20 Jose Peraza 9:20 Other players some of you were worried about (Shaw, Nimmo, Votto, Cano, Betts, Correa, Bryant, Marte, Carpenter) 14:15 A couple players to add: Brandon Lowe and Hunter Dozier Find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb
Ep 4: Unexpected Top 10 Hitters
April 10, 2019 17:34 - 17 minutes - 16.3 MB0:00 Intro 1:30 Cody Bellinger 5:15 Domingo Santana (I said .335...he's actually hitting .345!) 8:00 Tim Beckham 10:05 Dan Vogelbach 13:00 Tim Anderson 14:45 Trey Mancini
Ep 3: NFBC Main Event Draft!
March 26, 2019 21:10 - 12 minutes - 11.1 MB0:15 Rd 1 Yelich! 2:00 Rd 2 - Rd 5 Freeman / Bogaerts / G Sanchez / Robles 4:25 Rd 6 - Rd 12 J Turner / Pollock / A Rosario / Cano / Maeda -- SP1 in Round 10! / Strickland / Braun 7:00 Rd 13 - Rd 20 Urias / Burnes / Skaggs / McNeil / Soler / F Peralta / Chirinos / R Zimmerman 9:30 Rd 21 - 30 Caleb Smith / Whitley / Minor / Parker / B Lowe / Morales / D Castillo / Vargas / K Zimmer / T Rogers Hit me up on Twitter with your feedback! https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb
Episode 2: Bully Hitting
March 21, 2019 20:41 - 5 minutes - 4.96 MB0:00 Intro and NFBC 0:50 Reasons 1 - 5 2:35 Reasons 6 - 10 Hit me up on Twitter with your feedback! https://twitter.com/commonsensefbb
Episode 1: Leagues and Resources
March 15, 2019 17:17 - 21 minutes - 19.9 MB0:00 Intro 1:10 Competitive Leagues 9:45 Resources! (Getting Baseball News) 12:30 Resources! (General Fantasy Analysis) 15:35 Resources! (Prospects) 18:25 Resources! (Twitter) 20:30 Tweet at me!