The Cloudcast #234 - 2015 WrapUp + 2016 Predictions

Aaron and Brian do their annual 2015 WrapUp show. They look at the most interesting shows, trends and topics from 2015, as well as making predictions for 2016.



Show Notes:

Krispy Kreme Challenge Donations

Topic 1 - Is Public Cloud making any money?
Topic 2 - Is Open Source Software making any money
Topic 3 - Everything is becoming an integrated solution.
Topic 4 - Bi-Modal vs. Tri-Modal IT
Topic 5 - The continued rise of SaaS applications (and who manages them)
Topic 6 - The continued rise of non-vendor companies recruiting developers

Show Stats and Interesting Facts 

60 Shows
 
Official Podcast at Cloud Foundry Summit, MesosCon, LinuxCon, DockerCon, VelocityConf, OSCON
 
Went over $5B in VC + M&A Funding for Guests
 

Most Popular Show(s) of 2015:

Eps.200 (Future of Connected Cloud; Christian Reilly) 
 
Eps.199 (Docker Security; Diogo & Nathan) 
Eps.208 (DevOps; Nathan Harvey)
 

Aaron’s 2015 Predictions - From 2014 show 

Container ecosystem is beginning to mature
 
Docker needs to go through Trough of Disillusionment
 
Skill Sets Changing - Blogging will become a lost art
 
GitHub or “GetOut” - people need to learn GitHub - see 30 Days of Commitmas (GitHub learning)
 
Existence of Bi-Modal IT - There is no migration path between the two.
 
“Infrastructure as a Code” replaces “Software-Defined” terminology
 Infrastructure jobs will become the operations portion of DevOps (automate everything)
 

Brian’s 2015 Predictions - From 2014 show

Containers, Containers, Containers - competition for Docker in containers (VMware, CoreOS, etc.)? Moved from Containers to Systems.

Containers/Docker were mentioned everywhere (AWS, Tutum, Microsoft, DigitalOcean)
 
VMware pushes that “containers need VMs”
 
AWS is finally starting to understand the Enterprise; bundling/integrating services
 
Nobody values Cloud Management software
 
How do the VCs justify all this investment in companies that drive open-source projects?
 
What happens to all the SaaS tools platforms on AWS, can they survive economically?
 

Our Grades on Various Topics/Companies/Themes

OpenStack
 
AWS
 
Azure
 
Google
 
Cisco
 
Other Public Clouds
 
Private Cloud or Hybrid Cloud
 
VMware
 
Docker
 
Cloud Foundry
 
Open Source centric companies (CoreOS, Hashicorp, Mesosphere)
  
Cluster-Management and Schedulers (Kubernetes, Mesos, Swarm)
 
SaaS Applications
 

Brian’s 2016 Prediction Notes:

We’ll continue to see big bets (legacy vendors) and big failures 
Very curious to watch the open-source VMware-replacements (Hashicorp, CoreOS, Docker, etc.) monetize their business
 
We’ll begin to hear about some IoT success stories
 

Aaron’s 2016 Prediction Notes: 

Industry Predictions:


Docker Trough of Disillusionment will happen (push from last year) in favor of Open Standards
 
We will consolidate down to a handful of large hardware and software vendors in one (Oracle, Cisco, Dell) and pr