Yield Curve Inversion False Signal? | Competing Economic Data Points | About to Get Earnings Tsunami

Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial and Derek are back to talk about how there is conflicting bullish and bearish data in the economy. Jobs data vs manufacturing tells a different story. Plus, digging into the labor force participation rate conundrum. This week Campbell Harvey who came up with the 3 month over 10 year treasury yield curve inversion indicator said despite being right every time on recessions, this time may be different.

Cambell Harvey yield curve inversion signals false this time?

3 Month Treasury inverted against the 10 Year Treasury Bond

Labor force participation rate explained.

Is low unemployment rate because a few million people are not looking for work?

PMI data shows things are slowing while employment is strong.

Wage growth revised lower a bullish sign for markets?

Has Spain’s stock market really gone nowhere for past 13 years?

It’s about to get real for earnings seasons once again.

Banks are first up for earnings which may give hints around the economy

Don’t overlook Taiwan Semiconductor earnings as an econ barometer for economy.

And recommendations for a few movies, shows, and books.

Mentioned in this Episode:

Yield curve inversion false signal this time according to Cambell Harvey? https://finance.yahoo.com/finance/news/pioneering-yield-curve-economist-sees-151304568.html

Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag

Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr

Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://www.amazon.com/Buy-Hedge-Iron-Rules-Investing/dp/1087941849/ref=nav_signin?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=&asin=1087941849&revisionId=&format=4&depth=1

Contact Derek [email protected]