The Basewinner Podcast
158 episodes - English - Latest episode: almost 1 year ago - ★★★★★ - 12 ratingsOur approach is to simplify complex sabermetrics into actionable MLB baseball betting information. MLB betting picks, trends, and tips. MLB baseball handicapping software, systems, and advanced sabermetrics.
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Episodes
2023 Season, Episode 2
April 28, 2023 21:59 - 29 minutes - 40.6 MBScott talks with the Basewinner about how great the 2023 model is doing (up more than 12 units!) and about the current state of starting pitching in the leagues. Charts for Show Make sure to go to basewinner.com and sign up for the premium package - it's only $99 for the season.
2023 Season, Episode 1
March 31, 2023 20:24 - 31 minutes - 44 MBScott talks with Basewinner about his modeling for the 2023 season. Charts for the show
2022 Season, Episode 11
October 06, 2022 23:13 - 34 minutes - 47.8 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming wildcard playoff games. Show Charts
2022 Season, Episode 10
September 09, 2022 21:58 - 31 minutes - 44.2 MBScott talks with the Basewinner about the importance of the 3-man starting rotation and its implications for the postseason. Charts for the Show
Basewinner Crunch 8-12-2022
August 12, 2022 23:13 - 10 minutes - 48.4 MB VideoThe Log Cutter is back baby! After too long of a hiatus, the Basewinner has worked long hours, some even under candlelight to bring back this classic handicapping tool back to power the Crunch model. The new version more detailed and sustainable. BW gives you a sneak peek on this podcast. Basewinner shows you how he used the log cutter to adjust the numbers for Kutter Crawford, who is Boston's starter for the focus game which is the Yankees vs. Red Sox. The BW Crunch pod helps you bre...
2022 Season, Episode 9
August 05, 2022 18:25 - 27 minutes - 37.7 MBScott talks with the Basewinner about the current status of Basewinner Crunch, then they look at the divisional futures and discuss the importance of bullpens. Charts for the Show
Basewinner Crunch 7-28-2022
July 27, 2022 22:48 - 13 minutes - 43.6 MB VideoBasewinner looks at an AL West matchup on the Thursday card between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros. BW looks at the detailed BW game logs for Logan Gilbert and Jose Urquidy. He also digs into the Crunch model numbers for each man in each lineup. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner Crunch 7-27-2022
July 27, 2022 00:32 - 16 minutes - 52.7 MB VideoBasewinner looks at an AL matchup on the Wednesday card between Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox. BW looks at the detailed BW game logs for Cal Quantril and Nate Eovaldi. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner Crunch 7-16-22
July 16, 2022 00:35 - 14 minutes - 26.8 MB VideoBasewinner looks at an NL West matchup on the Saturday card between Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres. BW digs into both starters numbers and ratings. He also talks about both team's bullpens and goes over the invidual and team numbers for each team's relief corps. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner Crunch 7-15-2022
July 14, 2022 23:50 - 14 minutes - 45.9 MB VideoBasewinner looks at good pitching matchup on the Friday card between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants. BW digs into Brandon Woodruff's s game logs, xxxERA and bwERA. He also talks in good detail about the Brewers bullpen individual ratings and the difference between the top part and underbelly of this team's relief corps. Also, the pros and cons of betting games early as opposed to waiting are talked about The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card ...
Basewinner Crunch 7-14-2022
July 14, 2022 00:22 - 14 minutes - 24.3 MB VideoBasewinner dives into a game on the Thursday card between the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals. BW goes over both starters game logs, xxxERA's and bwERA's. He also talks in good detail about both teams bullpen individual ratings and how they are set up in the Crunch model for this game. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner Crunch 7-13-22
July 13, 2022 00:39 - 14 minutes - 41 MB VideoOn this quick hitter, Basewinner dives into a game on the Wednesday card between the Seattle Mariners and Washington Nationals. BW gives you a quick look at how he injects a teams bullpen into the model. He also talks in good detail about the Seattle bullpen as a whole and the strength and weakness of the individuals that make up the Mariner relief corps. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner Crunch 7-9-2022
July 09, 2022 00:58 - 14 minutes - 32 MB VideoOn this quick hitter, Basewinner dives into a game on the Saturday card between the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves. He talks in good detail about some important numbers for Patrick Corbin and the Nationals offense. He points out a couple of things to consider in this game and when betting on the Nationals in general. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner Crunch 7-8-22
July 08, 2022 00:10 - 15 minutes - 35.1 MB VideoOn a quick hitter, Basewinner deals out 1 game for tomorrow's very tight lined card. BW does go into good depth on Wheeler and Wainwrights YTD game logs and xxxERA and xERA. As a bonus, BW looks at the status of his pre-season group of 5 players he bet to win in the MLB HR Home Run future market. Two guys are in the hunt and BW goes into his thoughts on Schwarber. Could there be more Schwarbombs on the horizon? The BW Crunch pod will help you break down the daily MLB betting card and giv...
Basewinner Crunch 7-7-2022
July 07, 2022 00:56 - 17 minutes - 43.6 MB VideoOn this quick hitter, Basewinner deals out 3 games for tomorrow's card. He also talks about the Braves Spencer Strider's BW numbers. BW laments about the current AL Cy Young odds and explains why he is befuddled. The BW Crunch pod will help you break down the daily MLB betting card and give you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner Crunch 7-6-2022
July 06, 2022 00:58 - 19 minutes - 48.1 MB VideoBasewinner talks about the key numbers on the daily chart and how to read each column to help you with your daily handicap. The NL Cy Young market is touched upon and BW discusses why he thinks there are better options than the current favorite. If you haven't signed up for the chart and daily plays, please visit basewinner.com. All numbers from chart and plays will be complimentary for at least the next two weeks.
2022 Season, Episode 8
June 03, 2022 23:56 - 34 minutes - 48.2 MBScott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify offensive "luck". Show Charts
2022 Season, Episode 7
May 27, 2022 14:40 - 34 minutes - 47.5 MBScott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify defensive "luck" and what makes a pitcher "lucky". Episode Charts
2022 Season, Episode 6
May 20, 2022 03:09 - 25 minutes - 35.5 MBScott talks with the Basewinner about the starter "Stuff+" metric from The Athletic and how it can be used for betting. Show Charts The Athletic Article on Stuff+
2022 Season, Episode 5
May 13, 2022 16:35 - 27 minutes - 39 MBScott talks with the Basewinner about bullpens and the "Bullpen Stuff" metrics. Charts from this Episode
2022 Season, Episode 4
May 05, 2022 23:59 - 31 minutes - 44 MBScott talks with the Basewinner about how standardizing the humidification and temperature of stored balls affect their travel. Basewinner also looks at hard Hard Hit vs. OPS numbers to see which teams might regress. Here's the link to The Athletic article on MLB's plan to standardize humidors at all parks. This week's chart
2022 Season, Episode 3
April 29, 2022 02:45 - 35 minutes - 48.3 MBOn this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss the futures for home run leaders and the current OPS vs OPS with RISP. Episode Charts
2022 Season, Episode 2
April 14, 2022 23:08 - 28 minutes - 39.2 MBOn this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss how to use OPS with RISP to identify teams that are candidates for regression and the current futures markets for NL Cy Young awards. Episode Charts
2022 Season, Episode 1
April 07, 2022 22:44 - 18 minutes - 25.7 MBOn this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss the Basewinner Pre-Season Component Ranks and the projected Division Win Percentages versus what the sportsbooks are offering. Download Episode Content
2021 Season, Episode 16
October 29, 2021 23:20 - 21 minutes - 30.5 MBScott talks with Basewinner about Atlanta and Houston's bullpens for the upcoming World Series games. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 15
October 15, 2021 23:00 - 28 minutes - 40.3 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the LDS recap with cumulative series BaseRuns and Basewinner ERAs, playoff projections, and the Bullpen command ratings. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 14
October 02, 2021 13:36 - 31 minutes - 43.3 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming playoff race and identifying where his numbers show an edge over the book prices. They also discuss what Mark expects to see in the next two weeks. Will it be the Rays and the Dodgers again this year? Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 13
September 18, 2021 03:35 - 31 minutes - 43.6 MBScott talks with Basewinner about dismal swing betting results with the Tigers and the Astros, a new five-inning model Mark is developing, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 12
September 04, 2021 04:38 - 28 minutes - 40.3 MBScott talks with Basewinner about swing betting results with the Tigers and the Blue Jays, the expected standings going into the playoffs, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 11
August 21, 2021 04:37 - 30 minutes - 42.8 MBScott talks with Basewinner about swing betting results with the Cardinals, how the league futures are shaping up as we get closer to the playoffs, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 10
August 07, 2021 05:06 - 32 minutes - 45.7 MBScott talks with Basewinner about swing betting the Tigers and Cardinals, the effect the recent trades will have on the standings, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 9
July 24, 2021 05:16 - 25 minutes - 36.2 MBScott talks with Basewinner about Mariners swing betting, the effect the upcoming trades might have on the standings, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 8
July 08, 2021 16:38 - 24 minutes - 33.8 MBScott talks with Basewinner about Astros swing betting, the next team to play on/fade based on expected standings plus 3M starter numbers, Home Run Derby strategy for Monday, and the 3M bullpen numbers. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 7
June 26, 2021 03:32 - 44 minutes - 60.6 MBScott talks with Basewinner about using applying financial trading concepts to sports betting and how MLB's crackdown on "sticky stuff" is going to affect pitching stats. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 6
June 12, 2021 05:16 - 36 minutes - 50.4 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the effect on OPS when a batter can get to 2-1 in the count. Then they discusses the new baseball weather site they built. Episode Web Page
2021 Season, Episode 5
May 29, 2021 00:47 - 34 minutes - 47.6 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model. Also find out why Mark thinks the Cardinals are the luckiest team in baseball. Show Notes and Charts
2021 Season, Episode 4
May 15, 2021 00:49 - 31 minutes - 43.7 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 3
May 01, 2021 20:45 - 44 minutes - 61.2 MBScott talks with Basewinner about his the three-metric bullpen pitcher rating tool (3MBP), the league-wide standard vs. component-based standings, league-wide WRC+ RISP vs full, and the top 20 starting pitchers. Download Charts Episode Website
2021 Season Episode 3
May 01, 2021 20:45 - 44 minutes - 61.2 MBScott talks with Basewinner about his the three-metric bullpen pitcher rating tool (3MBP), the league-wide standard vs. component-based standings, league-wide WRC+ RISP vs full, and the top 20 starting pitchers. Download Charts Episode Website
2021 Season, Episode 2
April 17, 2021 03:01 - 37 minutes - 52.8 MBScott talks with Basewinner about his new three-metric pitcher ranking tool, moneylines and their implied implied odds, and WRC+ vs RISP WRC+. Show Notes
2021 Season, Episode 1
March 25, 2021 19:50 - 24 minutes - 34.1 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming season, the NL West projections, team salaries, and what deadened ball controversies we can look forward to this year. Show Notes
2020 Season, Episode 12
October 20, 2020 00:40 - 28 minutes - 39.7 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the LCS results and gets his thoughts on the upcoming World Series. Download episode charts
2020 Season, Episode 11
October 10, 2020 00:47 - 35 minutes - 50 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the LDS results and thoughts about the upcoming league championship series. They also discuss why some people choose to play with legal sportsbooks despite having worse lines. Download Episode Charts
2020 Season, Episode 10
October 03, 2020 19:53 - 34 minutes - 47.3 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the wildcard series results and thoughts about the upcoming league division series. They also discuss the pitcher rating tool and MLB weather tool on basewinnner.com. Download episode content
2020 Season, Episode 9
September 29, 2020 03:02 - 40 minutes - 55 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the playoffs and we give final numbers and thoughts regarding the 2020 NL West Season. The guys talk about how to how to calculate house margin for playoff futures and why betting futures most likely is not the best available bet. Also, Basewinner goes over all playoff wild-card series calculations and tells you what he would bet if he was playing these and what he would do if investing in the Playoff futures market. Also, Basewinner talks about the weight...
2020 Season, Episode 8
September 19, 2020 04:33 - 28 minutes - 39.2 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming playoffs and Chris Paddack from the Padres. Is he having as bad a season as everyone says? Plus, the podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Sabermetric and Weekly standings and review of RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. Download episode charts
2020 Season, Episode 7
September 12, 2020 05:29 - 41 minutes - 57.6 MBScott talks with Basewinner about 2020 MLB home and away splits. Basewinner takes a look at the leaders in home/away splits involving two stats he feels are very important. How can you use these stats and splits as a baseball handicapper? Also, we takes a look at the Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen. What will be Basewinner's general betting approach when looking at his games? Plus, the podcast regular segment of in-depth NL West standings, sabermetric, and weekly standings. Download show ch...
2020 Season, Episode 6
September 05, 2020 05:14 - 33 minutes - 45.7 MBScott talks with Basewinner about the Los Angeles Angels and answers two member questions: Why does Basewinner still have the Angels offense rated so high, and why is he backing off them now despite the daily model projections usually still showing value on them? Also, BW revisits Madison Bumgarner as he makes his return back to the D'Backs rotation. What is Basewinner's take away from MadBum's awful start to his D'Back career. Plus, podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Standings, Sa...
2020 Season, Episode 5
August 29, 2020 06:13 - 35 minutes - 49.2 MBBasewinner and Scott review the 2020 teams that hit the best vs. specific pitch types. This could be helpful with pitch mix game analysis. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric, and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Kenley Jansen. Basewinner still likes him goes over the reasons why plus a quick but important lesson in MLB analyzing him has brought out again...
2020 Season, Episode 4
August 22, 2020 06:10 - 34 minutes - 46.7 MBBasewinner and Scott review the teams that have outperformed or fallen behind their pre-season expectations. This could be helpful to identify potential regression candidates. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Merril Kelly. Basewinner is upbeat on him and goes over the reasons why. Download extra content